South American Leagues · resolved market
Universidad Central de Venezuela FC vs. Independiente del Valle: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfba09a56cd0c6ede10ac6fead655399fc9ff9142e54fd689c0dfe6d413ce4d70
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $78,748
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $83,079
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $78,748 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdb22…6478backed Over | 51c | 54,008$27,534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,533.78 | 294 | 46.6%137 W · 157 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f7…0c5abacked Under | 50c | 28,608$14,297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,311.6 | 107 | 41.1%44 W · 63 L | -6.3wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 49c | 10,286$5,044 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,242.22 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a66…ae5ebacked Under | 49c | 6,122$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,122.45 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 50c | 6,028$3,016 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,012.75 | 1,290 | 42.8%552 W · 738 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Over | 50c | 6,000$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 171 | 46.2%79 W · 92 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Under | 49c | 2,573$1,261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,312.32 | 650 | 58%377 W · 273 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 46c | 2,422$1,104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,104 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…40d5backed Under | 49c | 2,055$1,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,048.26 | 83 | 51.8%43 W · 40 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Under | 49c | 2,018$989 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,029.18 | 166 | 47%78 W · 88 L | +11.8wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf658…655ebacked Under | 57c | 1,749$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$748.87 | 110 | 55.5%61 W · 49 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f37…281bbacked Over | 31c | 1,574$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488 | 116 | 18.1%21 W · 95 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -21%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 49c | 1,469$721 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$748.68 | 1,302 | 50.2%653 W · 649 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 49c | 1,180$584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$596.35 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 80c | 805$644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161 | 1,328 | 57%757 W · 571 L | +57.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 28c | 680.35$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.63 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6114…69dbbacked Over | 47c | 400$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.95 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | +3.7wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 63c | 369.03$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.92 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc482…b505backed Under | 61c | 352.41$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.57 | 102 | 50%51 W · 51 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Under | 50c | 350$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175 | 422 | 50.2%212 W · 210 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Under | 49c | 338$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.38 | 228 | 53.1%121 W · 107 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb4…4576backed Under | 49c | 315.01$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.66 | 104 | 67.3%70 W · 34 L | +12.8wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +25%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Over | 23c | 229.18$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.45 | 200 | 22.5%45 W · 155 L | -13.1wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -34%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2e4e…2564backed Under | 39c | 227.54$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.98 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ce4…da39backed Over | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc11…c87bbacked Under | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 196 | 59.7%117 W · 79 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 34c | 137$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.95 | 852 | 20.7%176 W · 676 L | -85.2wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Under | 74c | 136.49$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.49 | 117 | 63.2%74 W · 43 L | +9.7wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0199…4e86backed Under | 54c | 130.09$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.84 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Over | 34c | 115.97$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 270 | 31.5%85 W · 185 L | -12.2wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fa…3b36backed Under | 49c | 104.08$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.08 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.5 | 787 | 56.4%444 W · 343 L | +23.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…f729backed Over | 48c | 92.65$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.4 | 145 | 35.9%52 W · 93 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc93c…95cabacked Under | 49c | 91.73$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.78 | 58 | 62.1%36 W · 22 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55e7…4fb9backed Over | 48c | 84.73$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.67 | 65 | 41.5%27 W · 38 L | -9.0wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 49c | 80$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.8 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Over | 47c | 71.4$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.56 | 143 | 35.7%51 W · 92 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23bc…5487backed Under | 49c | 69.39$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.39 | 129 | 48.1%62 W · 67 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Under | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 148 | 44.6%66 W · 82 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x550c…55fdbacked Under | 49c | 60$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.6 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…51e5backed Over | 49c | 54.1$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.77 | 134 | 57.5%77 W · 57 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Under | 64c | 54.04$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.36 | 308 | 58.4%180 W · 128 L | +11.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed Under | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 388 | 61.3%238 W · 150 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe372…6a34backed Under | 49c | 36.73$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.73 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda50…4f3bbacked Under | 49c | 31.84$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0a…50adbacked Over | 39c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a0e…c7a6backed Over | 35c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc353…30a8backed Over | 48c | 29.9$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.35 | 99 | 36.4%36 W · 63 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5c9…a4fcbacked Under | 49c | 28.86$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.72 | 64 | 51.6%33 W · 31 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9221…9419backed Over | 52c | 25.23$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.12 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 49c | 23.22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.84 | 452 | 53.1%240 W · 212 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5012…4d3ebacked Under | 54c | 21.98$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.02 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | +5.2wins | +0.16per pick | 49cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5a91…7ebabacked Over | 53c | 20.75$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 162 | 66%107 W · 55 L | +10.3wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf689…3e3fbacked Under | 79c | 15.37$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.23 | 60 | 61.7%37 W · 23 L | +5.7wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Universidad Central de Venezuela FC vs. Independiente del Valle: O/U 2.5this page
- Spread: Independiente del Valle (-1.5)Universidad Central de Venezuela FC won
- Spread: Independiente del Valle (-2.5)Universidad Central de Venezuela FC won
- Universidad Central de Venezuela FC vs. Independiente del Valle: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Universidad Central de Venezuela FC vs. Independiente del Valle: O/U 1.5Over won
- Universidad Central de Venezuela FC vs. Independiente del Valle: O/U 3.5Under won
- Universidad Central de Venezuela FC vs. Independiente del Valle: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.