South American Leagues · resolved market
Spread: Independiente del Valle (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x40280822bab5d74dbe1462957a0c24b61042d647c467ba67417a1568acc4f801
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Universidad Central de Venezuela FCof Independiente del Valle, Universidad Central de Venezuela FC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $54,085
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $54,116
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $54,085 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdb22…6478backed Independiente del Valle | 36c | 53,099$19,211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,210.92 | 294 | 46.6%137 W · 157 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Universidad Central de Venezuela FC | 63c | 31,789$20,108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,680.99 | 429 | 62.2%267 W · 162 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Universidad Central de Venezuela FC | 64c | 3,570$2,292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,278.58 | 5,762 | 45.4%2,614 W · 3,148 L | +94.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Universidad Central de Venezuela FC | 64c | 2,844$1,834 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,009.86 | 3,407 | 51.3%1,749 W · 1,658 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6687…bf8cbacked Universidad Central de Venezuela FC | 63c | 2,790$1,758 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,032.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Universidad Central de Venezuela FC | 63c | 2,003$1,262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$741 | 170 | 55.3%94 W · 76 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed Universidad Central de Venezuela FC | 66c | 1,600$1,056 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$544 | 248 | 55.2%137 W · 111 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x374a…03edbacked Universidad Central de Venezuela FC | 66c | 1,200$792 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408 | 130 | 59.2%77 W · 53 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…d584backed Universidad Central de Venezuela FC | 66c | 700$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238 | 165 | 58.2%96 W · 69 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Universidad Central de Venezuela FC | 64c | 622.67$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.95 | 650 | 58%377 W · 273 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Universidad Central de Venezuela FC | 67c | 612.99$409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.43 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…5946backed Universidad Central de Venezuela FC | 66c | 600$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204 | 240 | 53.8%129 W · 111 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Universidad Central de Venezuela FC | 68c | 471.21$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152 | 422 | 50.2%212 W · 210 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca89…7bc4backed Universidad Central de Venezuela FC | 66c | 400$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136 | 195 | 59.5%116 W · 79 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Universidad Central de Venezuela FC | 65c | 373.6$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.62 | 1,303 | 50.1%653 W · 650 L | -14.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb4…4576backed Universidad Central de Venezuela FC | 64c | 315.01$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.4 | 104 | 67.3%70 W · 34 L | +12.8wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +25%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed Universidad Central de Venezuela FC | 66c | 300$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 288 | 51.7%149 W · 139 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x288a…0048backed Universidad Central de Venezuela FC | 66c | 300$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 230 | 56.5%130 W · 100 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Independiente del Valle | 38c | 299.2$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.05 | 200 | 22.5%45 W · 155 L | -13.1wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -34%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x606f…b043backed Universidad Central de Venezuela FC | 66c | 240$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.6 | 165 | 59.4%98 W · 67 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8b…9e2dbacked Universidad Central de Venezuela FC | 66c | 240$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.6 | 158 | 57.6%91 W · 67 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6a…a7bfbacked Universidad Central de Venezuela FC | 66c | 200$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 249 | 56.6%141 W · 108 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe75e…4b67backed Universidad Central de Venezuela FC | 66c | 200$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 183 | 58.5%107 W · 76 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47c7…cac7backed Universidad Central de Venezuela FC | 66c | 196$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.64 | 224 | 57.1%128 W · 96 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Universidad Central de Venezuela FC | 64c | 172$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.16 | 307 | 54.7%168 W · 139 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…e297backed Universidad Central de Venezuela FC | 66c | 160$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.4 | 213 | 58.7%125 W · 88 L | +7.1wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e0…041bbacked Universidad Central de Venezuela FC | 66c | 140$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.6 | 216 | 57.9%125 W · 91 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa1…6edbbacked Universidad Central de Venezuela FC | 66c | 140$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.6 | 203 | 60.6%123 W · 80 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Universidad Central de Venezuela FC | 63c | 135$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.95 | 172 | 55.2%95 W · 77 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…f1ccbacked Independiente del Valle | 33c | 121.21$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -62.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe479…70dfbacked Universidad Central de Venezuela FC | 63c | 98.44$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.44 | 45 | 33.3%15 W · 30 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed Universidad Central de Venezuela FC | 66c | 90.91$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.91 | 388 | 61.3%238 W · 150 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed3…0a22backed Universidad Central de Venezuela FC | 66c | 80$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.2 | 220 | 58.6%129 W · 91 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…3a74backed Universidad Central de Venezuela FC | 65c | 70$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Independiente del Valle | 28c | 63.08$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.61 | 716 | 19.7%141 W · 575 L | -49.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x39fd…3914backed Independiente del Valle | 39c | 61.54$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Universidad Central de Venezuela FC | 66c | 60$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 2,614 | 54.2%1,416 W · 1,198 L | +25.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f81…2bb7backed Universidad Central de Venezuela FC | 66c | 60$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 242 | 57%138 W · 104 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04a5…d093backed Universidad Central de Venezuela FC | 66c | 60$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 155 | 60%93 W · 62 L | +8.7wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd59…2e2fbacked Universidad Central de Venezuela FC | 66c | 60$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 189 | 59.3%112 W · 77 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0045…9007backed Independiente del Valle | 41c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.49 | 109 | 46.8%51 W · 58 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a0e…c7a6backed Universidad Central de Venezuela FC | 61c | 49.18$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.18 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Universidad Central de Venezuela FC | 60c | 47.35$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.08 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Universidad Central de Venezuela FC | 67c | 45.29$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.96 | 8,112 | 48.7%3,951 W · 4,161 L | +27.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8acc…cc29backed Universidad Central de Venezuela FC | 66c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.6 | 134 | 65.7%88 W · 46 L | +13.1wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa494…4a1fbacked Universidad Central de Venezuela FC | 66c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.6 | 153 | 59.5%91 W · 62 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddc…e874backed Universidad Central de Venezuela FC | 64c | 35$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 201 | 38.3%77 W · 124 L | -8.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Universidad Central de Venezuela FC | 64c | 34$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.1 | 228 | 53.1%121 W · 107 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff66…39cfbacked Universidad Central de Venezuela FC | 62c | 33.56$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.75 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82a5…674ebacked Universidad Central de Venezuela FC | 64c | 25.95$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.34 | 127 | 55.1%70 W · 57 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Universidad Central de Venezuela FC | 66c | 24.82$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.43 | 852 | 20.7%176 W · 676 L | -85.2wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3a4c…ad2fbacked Universidad Central de Venezuela FC | 66c | 24.72$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 35 | 71.4%25 W · 10 L | +5.1wins | +0.14per pick | 57cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x83de…1786backed Universidad Central de Venezuela FC | 64c | 23.44$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.44 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd78e…6421backed Universidad Central de Venezuela FC | 64c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 70 | 52.9%37 W · 33 L | -6.3wins | -0.09per pick | 62cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x40d0…4415backed Universidad Central de Venezuela FC | 67c | 19$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.27 | 127 | 57.5%73 W · 54 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b1f…7b4bbacked Universidad Central de Venezuela FC | 62c | 16.26$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.18 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed Universidad Central de Venezuela FC | 66c | 16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.44 | 179 | 60.3%108 W · 71 L | +8.5wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c70…f271backed Universidad Central de Venezuela FC | 72c | 14.87$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.19 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Independiente del Valle (-1.5)this page
- Spread: Independiente del Valle (-2.5)Universidad Central de Venezuela FC won
- Universidad Central de Venezuela FC vs. Independiente del Valle: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Universidad Central de Venezuela FC vs. Independiente del Valle: O/U 1.5Over won
- Universidad Central de Venezuela FC vs. Independiente del Valle: O/U 2.5Under won
- Universidad Central de Venezuela FC vs. Independiente del Valle: O/U 3.5Under won
- Universidad Central de Venezuela FC vs. Independiente del Valle: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.