MLB · resolved market
KBO: SSG Landers vs. LG Twins
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfbb183b23a2fc38c8a119482971bba6d46e9a2e53aa444de58227ad2738a7e6b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- LG Twinsof SSG Landers, LG Twins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,491
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,595
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,491 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked SSG Landers | 32c | 1,380$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.93 | 105 | 44.8%47 W · 58 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed LG Twins | 57c | 955.15$543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.1 | 852 | 35.8%305 W · 547 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed SSG Landers | 44c | 803.38$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.06 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed SSG Landers | 59c | 770$452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$452.2 | 718 | 50.1%360 W · 358 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked LG Twins | 38c | 407.58$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.78 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa39a…1246backed LG Twins | 66c | 400$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.91 | 282 | 58.5%165 W · 117 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed LG Twins | 46c | 382.93$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.33 | 753 | 44.1%332 W · 421 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked SSG Landers | 64c | 351.19$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224 | 1,912 | 53%1,014 W · 898 L | +42.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed LG Twins | 70c | 310.76$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.78 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d29…f683backed SSG Landers | 30c | 269.99$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 260 | 49.6%129 W · 131 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed SSG Landers | 30c | 233.64$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.99 | 590 | 38.8%229 W · 361 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked SSG Landers | 59c | 208.63$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.75 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2e…7c7bbacked LG Twins | 73c | 202.59$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.71 | 32 | 71.9%23 W · 9 L | +6.2wins | +0.19per pick | 52cpaid | +37%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed LG Twins | 56c | 162.63$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.56 | 707 | 35.1%248 W · 459 L | -31.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x460d…9d5fbacked LG Twins | 57c | 148$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.92 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.14per pick | 22cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89b6…886ebacked LG Twins | 68c | 147.6$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.6 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked LG Twins | 70c | 126$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.44 | 1,814 | 49.1%891 W · 923 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d20…d646backed SSG Landers | 16c | 125$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3f5…42cabacked LG Twins | 68c | 120$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.23 | 55 | 65.5%36 W · 19 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27ca…e628backed SSG Landers | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 105 | 46.7%49 W · 56 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb1e5…264fbacked LG Twins | 31c | 97.16$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.16 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed SSG Landers | 31c | 86.6$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.58 | 206 | 47.1%97 W · 109 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67d2…a008backed LG Twins | 72c | 83.33$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.33 | 135 | 65.2%88 W · 47 L | +9.8wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed SSG Landers | 37c | 81$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.59 | 327 | 51.7%169 W · 158 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcec1…9c0cbacked SSG Landers | 45c | 80.41$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.14 | 123 | 52.8%65 W · 58 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15d1…2f08backed SSG Landers | 32c | 65.1$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.08 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…a7a0backed SSG Landers | 32c | 57.14$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.24 | 827 | 41.1%340 W · 487 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87a4…953ebacked LG Twins | 56c | 53.21$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.21 | 473 | 48.8%231 W · 242 L | -22.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed SSG Landers | 27c | 52.85$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.27 | 614 | 50.8%312 W · 302 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fc0…7bf6backed SSG Landers | 32c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 205 | 48.8%100 W · 105 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc846…c413backed SSG Landers | 28c | 48.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.72 | 539 | 50.6%273 W · 266 L | +16.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0593…9712backed SSG Landers | 59c | 48.27$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.64 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b4b…8b6fbacked SSG Landers | 32c | 47.83$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.31 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -4.6wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed LG Twins | 71c | 47.27$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.62 | 979 | 44.4%435 W · 544 L | -22.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2465…5d84backed SSG Landers | 80c | 47$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.52 | 1,100 | 79.6%876 W · 224 L | +32.7wins | +0.03per pick | 77cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd93d…27a0backed SSG Landers | 32c | 45.38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.52 | 373 | 49.6%185 W · 188 L | +11.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed SSG Landers | 35c | 44.32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.43 | 351 | 37%130 W · 221 L | -17.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked SSG Landers | 34c | 41$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.94 | 2,545 | 45.9%1,168 W · 1,377 L | -73.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…5bdfbacked SSG Landers | 39c | 39.22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 259 | 50.2%130 W · 129 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x985d…33c9backed SSG Landers | 32c | 37.53$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 129 | 45.7%59 W · 70 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf504…0111backed SSG Landers | 38c | 35.91$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.64 | 363 | 67.8%246 W · 117 L | +33.3wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xefad…9c1bbacked SSG Landers | 30c | 33.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0de0…6358backed LG Twins | 45c | 32.98$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.98 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -5.2wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0b95…d2b7backed SSG Landers | 35c | 30$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.30per pick | 46cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51d7…516dbacked LG Twins | 40c | 29.99$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed LG Twins | 71c | 22.28$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.43 | 290 | 47.6%138 W · 152 L | -11.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4add…8f36backed LG Twins | 72c | 20.83$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.83 | 118 | 55.9%66 W · 52 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked LG Twins | 70c | 20.2$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.06 | 1,001 | 57.3%574 W · 427 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91f8…d951backed LG Twins | 69c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.17per pick | 55cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x170a…c8a9backed LG Twins | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 106 | 61.3%65 W · 41 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x868c…1703backed LG Twins | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +67.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.