Lol · resolved market
LoL: Estral Esports vs RMD Gaming (BO1) - Circuito Desafiante Regular Season
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfbd5fc3b4c4ee2adb5d2583f5a78a650c17531a8703a273c06e25db2665a70c1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Estral Esportsof Estral Esports, RMD Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,918
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,629
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,918 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed RMD Gaming | 11c | 3,229$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.77 | 1,826 | 39.9%728 W · 1,098 L | -61.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed RMD Gaming | 13c | 2,259$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.61 | 421 | 43.9%185 W · 236 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed RMD Gaming | 10c | 1,650$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.65 | 1,389 | 37.7%524 W · 865 L | -45.7wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked RMD Gaming | 12c | 1,033$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.96 | 549 | 34.8%191 W · 358 L | -15.6wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked RMD Gaming | 6c | 1,027$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.02 | 1,971 | 30.5%601 W · 1,370 L | -170.0wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…2208backed RMD Gaming | 12c | 887.1$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.45 | 53 | 28.3%15 W · 38 L | -4.9wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -33%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…9da2backed RMD Gaming | 13c | 864.31$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.36 | 354 | 43.2%153 W · 201 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed RMD Gaming | 15c | 500.2$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.03 | 1,385 | 45.1%625 W · 760 L | -12.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked RMD Gaming | 2c | 489.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 354 | 35.3%125 W · 229 L | -12.3wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed RMD Gaming | 12c | 476.26$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.16 | 88 | 38.6%34 W · 54 L | +5.5wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb35f…cf4cbacked RMD Gaming | 10c | 450$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 448 | 46.2%207 W · 241 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed RMD Gaming | 13c | 438.95$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.36 | 344 | 48.3%166 W · 178 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10ef…7d7bbacked RMD Gaming | 11c | 313.45$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.84 | 665 | 59.5%396 W · 269 L | +72.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed RMD Gaming | 10c | 308.09$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.49 | 2,202 | 33.3%733 W · 1,469 L | -72.4wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…70e3backed RMD Gaming | 15c | 300$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 106 | 34.9%37 W · 69 L | -14.4wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5668…9af4backed RMD Gaming | 12c | 256.94$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.83 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 16cpaid | +74.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed RMD Gaming | 4c | 250$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,058 | 23.5%249 W · 809 L | -75.8wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed RMD Gaming | 11c | 234.31$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.77 | 1,207 | 43.5%525 W · 682 L | -14.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x257c…a408backed RMD Gaming | 5c | 203.6$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 364 | 52.7%192 W · 172 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed RMD Gaming | 12c | 198.33$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.8 | 1,113 | 39%434 W · 679 L | -44.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a9d…6c84backed RMD Gaming | 10c | 191.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.62 | 344 | 38.7%133 W · 211 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed RMD Gaming | 14c | 190.5$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.92 | 399 | 51.1%204 W · 195 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked RMD Gaming | 11c | 189.12$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.83 | 2,938 | 44.5%1,308 W · 1,630 L | -92.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed RMD Gaming | 10c | 186$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.37 | 637 | 42.7%272 W · 365 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5556…2759backed RMD Gaming | 13c | 180$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.9 | 624 | 51.4%321 W · 303 L | -10.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9227…7cedbacked RMD Gaming | 9c | 156.19$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 553 | 47%260 W · 293 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc1…3f1cbacked RMD Gaming | 18c | 127.56$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.51 | 447 | 45.2%202 W · 245 L | -14.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2888…f1a4backed RMD Gaming | 11c | 120$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 539 | 32.5%175 W · 364 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed RMD Gaming | 12c | 87.83$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.29 | 438 | 37.9%166 W · 272 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.