Valorant · resolved market
Map Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs BBL Esports (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfbf78525e8bdfa7205eeb71a288657133c35c045797ccbaea97a87af2526b240
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- G2 Esportsof G2 Esports, BBL Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,667
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,667 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcde5…32b5backed G2 Esports | 36c | 1,400$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$896.17 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee8e…0a7bbacked BBL Esports | 65c | 1,369$896 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$895.77 | 781 | 62%484 W · 297 L | +16.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4b…8a81backed BBL Esports | 66c | 1,015$670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$669.71 | 621 | 56.4%350 W · 271 L | +13.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9eb9…cb5dbacked G2 Esports | 32c | 940$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$639.2 | 151 | 45%68 W · 83 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bdd…1b11backed G2 Esports | 31c | 291.98$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.46 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x877e…8c95backed G2 Esports | 74c | 264.53$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.05 | 91 | 42.9%39 W · 52 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaadb…85f9backed G2 Esports | 34c | 147.06$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.06 | 428 | 40%171 W · 257 L | -22.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked BBL Esports | 21c | 145.24$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.96 | 192 | 48.4%93 W · 99 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc64…fc2bbacked BBL Esports | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 186 | 53.8%100 W · 86 L | -7.2wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked BBL Esports | 66c | 84.06$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.48 | 348 | 47.4%165 W · 183 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc949…022dbacked BBL Esports | 72c | 69.44$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…110bbacked BBL Esports | 39c | 57.71$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.51 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -38%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked G2 Esports | 30c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 551 | 52.5%289 W · 262 L | +20.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…f9d1backed BBL Esports | 68c | 50$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 107 | 49.5%53 W · 54 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed G2 Esports | 31c | 40$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.6 | 312 | 32.7%102 W · 210 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed BBL Esports | 69c | 40$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.6 | 109 | 59.6%65 W · 44 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed G2 Esports | 32c | 34.75$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.63 | 75 | 30.7%23 W · 52 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d03…b8a6backed BBL Esports | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 152 | 55.9%85 W · 67 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb04f…5822backed BBL Esports | 72c | 24.98$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.91 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2db2…3075backed BBL Esports | 70c | 21.43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a1…7c9dbacked BBL Esports | 65c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 86 | 46.5%40 W · 46 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c8…97b4backed BBL Esports | 68c | 19.5$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.26 | 77 | 62.3%48 W · 29 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs BBL Esports (+1.5)this page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Valorant: G2 Esports vs BBL Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters Santiago PlayoffsG2 Esports won
- Valorant: G2 Esports vs BBL Esports - Map 1 WinnerG2 Esports won
- Valorant: G2 Esports vs BBL Esports - Map 2 WinnerG2 Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.