Tennis · resolved market
Set Handicap: Ruud (-1.5) vs Brooksby (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfc6a6bd309a052a6011da10e2034ab66a29cac70458642a62a724f8a2555a06a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ruudof Ruud, Brooksby
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,708
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,253
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,708 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Brooksby | 25c | 4,002$1,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,004.78 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3349…c0b8backed Ruud | 75c | 3,000$2,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750 | 118 | 52.5%62 W · 56 L | -8.5wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa538…12c3backed Ruud | 74c | 2,035$1,509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$526.34 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe807…307cbacked Ruud | 69c | 1,450$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.8 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +4.8wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x34ae…cdb5backed Brooksby | 31c | 890.19$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.96 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x696a…e23abacked Brooksby | 43c | 836.61$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.56 | 72 | 41.7%30 W · 42 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3a…23f8backed Brooksby | 36c | 763.47$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.89 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Brooksby | 26c | 757.36$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.06 | 423 | 41.4%175 W · 248 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Brooksby | 26c | 577$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.02 | 810 | 47.9%388 W · 422 L | +30.1wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8191…8a35backed Brooksby | 31c | 500$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 136 | 41.9%57 W · 79 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Ruud | 65c | 405.71$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.3 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63ad…790cbacked Brooksby | 35c | 322.64$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.39 | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f57…3339backed Brooksby | 35c | 205.4$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Ruud | 64c | 200$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 1,245 | 51.9%646 W · 599 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Brooksby | 25c | 160.25$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.47 | 1,510 | 37.7%569 W · 941 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce5…a07fbacked Ruud | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0599…3c6abacked Ruud | 74c | 143.59$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.59 | 583 | 59.2%345 W · 238 L | -8.3wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Brooksby | 28c | 142.53$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.45 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Ruud | 68c | 117.64$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.64 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Ruud | 74c | 84.93$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.11 | 246 | 34.1%84 W · 162 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Brooksby | 30c | 83$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.9 | 951 | 40.1%381 W · 570 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…3a74backed Brooksby | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 387 | 41.1%159 W · 228 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a7…e5d4backed Brooksby | 26c | 77.41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.26 | 209 | 42.6%89 W · 120 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe24e…eecebacked Ruud | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.92 | 878 | 54.7%480 W · 398 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5db…b42dbacked Brooksby | 22c | 63$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.86 | 26 | 80.8%21 W · 5 L | +2.8wins | +0.11per pick | 70cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Ruud | 78c | 63$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.86 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7055…9717backed Brooksby | 29c | 53.79$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.51 | 222 | 52.3%116 W · 106 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3a…91fdbacked Brooksby | 23c | 49.95$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.49 | 1,018 | 46.8%476 W · 542 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea10…a070backed Brooksby | 25c | 48.44$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.11 | 268 | 49.3%132 W · 136 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e4…c62abacked Brooksby | 26c | 45.42$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +7.1wins | +0.15per pick | 37cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbbbf…388ebacked Brooksby | 26c | 43.62$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.34 | 54 | 61.1%33 W · 21 L | +4.3wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae45…96b9backed Brooksby | 29c | 43.13$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.51 | 752 | 62%466 W · 286 L | +25.0wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5754…cefbbacked Ruud | 74c | 36.14$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.33 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Brooksby | 29c | 35.28$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.13 | 2,247 | 42.7%960 W · 1,287 L | +33.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Ruud | 71c | 28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.22 | 335 | 50.1%168 W · 167 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9a4…3926backed Ruud | 69c | 26.33$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.16 | 593 | 66.8%396 W · 197 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1448…84abbacked Ruud | 71c | 25.35$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b30…2209backed Ruud | 71c | 24.48$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.15 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba22…4333backed Ruud | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.3 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe27c…79e0backed Ruud | 75c | 19.49$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.87 | 181 | 58.6%106 W · 75 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set Handicap: Ruud (-1.5) vs Brooksby (+1.5)this page
- Brooksby vs. Ruud: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Under won
- Brooksby vs. Ruud: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5Under won
- Geneva Open: Jenson Brooksby vs Casper RuudCasper Ruud won
- Set 1 Winner: Brooksby vs RuudRuud won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.