Tennis · resolved market
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Daria Kasatkina vs Anna Blinkova
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfd61d4eaec67df007d5503b21bdf2cc5a696ea1e9468b6caee18c5b1a0790193
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Anna Blinkovaof Daria Kasatkina, Anna Blinkova
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,473
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,663
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,473 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x43f3…293cbacked Daria Kasatkina | 4c | 2,043$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.71 | 111 | 33.3%37 W · 74 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4698…d7a5backed Anna Blinkova | 39c | 1,245$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$764.63 | 536 | 55.4%297 W · 239 L | -28.6wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Daria Kasatkina | 61c | 1,079$662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$662.33 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Daria Kasatkina | 11c | 1,051$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.5 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0c…218abacked Anna Blinkova | 30c | 1,045$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$730.06 | 541 | 38.1%206 W · 335 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Daria Kasatkina | 66c | 433.32$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.99 | 1,688 | 45.4%766 W · 922 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae82…faf0backed Daria Kasatkina | 69c | 414.54$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.03 | 74 | 44.6%33 W · 41 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a4e…1ba4backed Anna Blinkova | 80c | 389.7$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.16 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Daria Kasatkina | 24c | 280.79$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.37 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Daria Kasatkina | 19c | 279.35$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.01 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72a0…9bc4backed Anna Blinkova | 78c | 237.2$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.98 | 472 | 74.4%351 W · 121 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 73cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84b8…93c7backed Daria Kasatkina | 41c | 209.83$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.97 | 76 | 44.7%34 W · 42 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Daria Kasatkina | 41c | 205.67$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.32 | 3,068 | 57.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L | +173.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf8…75e4backed Anna Blinkova | 33c | 195.89$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.89 | 193 | 43.5%84 W · 109 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61c1…0513backed Daria Kasatkina | 56c | 175.45$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.6 | 1,287 | 60.7%781 W · 506 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Daria Kasatkina | 56c | 173.73$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.17 | 4,533 | 67.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L | +306.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Daria Kasatkina | 71c | 153.01$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.64 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Daria Kasatkina | 21c | 149.96$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.85 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Daria Kasatkina | 28c | 144.08$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.62 | 1,870 | 16%299 W · 1,571 L | -314.3wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 32-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Anna Blinkova | 70c | 143.04$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.82 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ade…ed94backed Daria Kasatkina | 72c | 136.99$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.63 | 1,458 | 54%787 W · 671 L | -33.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +64.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb75e…1737backed Anna Blinkova | 31c | 135.68$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.92 | 244 | 46.3%113 W · 131 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2e…7c7bbacked Daria Kasatkina | 69c | 134.77$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.99 | 1,065 | 57.4%611 W · 454 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9888…e6febacked Daria Kasatkina | 31c | 129$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.49 | 2,447 | 45.9%1,123 W · 1,324 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28e0…2e6bbacked Anna Blinkova | 39c | 125$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.35 | 517 | 44.7%231 W · 286 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x387f…70a8backed Daria Kasatkina | 69c | 120.49$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.54 | 75 | 62.7%47 W · 28 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Anna Blinkova | 78c | 116.25$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.27 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Anna Blinkova | 62c | 110.15$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.2 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Daria Kasatkina | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1,107 | 42.8%474 W · 633 L | -20.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Anna Blinkova | 28c | 89.49$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.44 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2be…af12backed Daria Kasatkina | 30c | 87.24$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.17 | 2,032 | 46.9%952 W · 1,080 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Daria Kasatkina | 63c | 79.82$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.28 | 4,185 | 44.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L | +14.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Daria Kasatkina | 47c | 63.83$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3,220 | 40.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Daria Kasatkina | 47c | 63.83$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2,151 | 37.3%802 W · 1,349 L | -27.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Daria Kasatkina | 47c | 63.83$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3,424 | 39.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L | -12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2326…b627backed Anna Blinkova | 65c | 61.94$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.68 | 1,256 | 65.4%821 W · 435 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Daria Kasatkina | 70c | 60$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.7 | 1,588 | 47%746 W · 842 L | -24.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x103f…86dbbacked Anna Blinkova | 62c | 56.61$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.31 | 163 | 62%101 W · 62 L | -7.4wins | -0.05per pick | 66cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26d0…566ebacked Daria Kasatkina | 26c | 53.85$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 485 | 52.4%254 W · 231 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8649…ba57backed Daria Kasatkina | 48c | 52.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 796 | 46%366 W · 430 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Daria Kasatkina | 69c | 44.15$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.46 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Anna Blinkova | 41c | 41.48$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.46 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8cd…ba81backed Daria Kasatkina | 38c | 39.47$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 474 | 31.9%151 W · 323 L | -21.1wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b25…10aabacked Anna Blinkova | 31c | 34.47$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.78 | 272 | 39%106 W · 166 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Daria Kasatkina | 48c | 33.3$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.05 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a20…d606backed Anna Blinkova | 75c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 926 | 74.6%691 W · 235 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 74cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6cd3…226ebacked Daria Kasatkina | 46c | 29.69$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.66 | 234 | 27.4%64 W · 170 L | -40.1wins | -0.17per pick | 44cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x5820…b6f6backed Anna Blinkova | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 89 | 59.6%53 W · 36 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x873d…f7a9backed Anna Blinkova | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 58 | 58.6%34 W · 24 L | -4.5wins | -0.08per pick | 66cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x944c…cca2backed Anna Blinkova | 42c | 25.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.17 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6de2…d0e5backed Daria Kasatkina | 49c | 20.37$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.07 | 121 | 9.1%11 W · 110 L | -37.3wins | -0.31per pick | 40cpaid | -81.7%equal weight | 22-0.26 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Anna Blinkova | 69c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 1,626 | 52.7%857 W · 769 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5a9…3a77backed Daria Kasatkina | 59c | 19.69$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.62 | 115 | 51.3%59 W · 56 L | -5.8wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90e0…ff4cbacked Daria Kasatkina | 69c | 15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 398 | 51%203 W · 195 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x362c…67e6backed Anna Blinkova | 77c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.42 | 372 | 55.6%207 W · 165 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.