TailMyPicks

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Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Hofstra Pride vs. UNCW Seahawks

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
UNCW Seahawksof Hofstra Pride, UNCW Seahawks
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$37,419
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$40,081

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,419 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x507e…beaebacked Hofstra Pride47c12,729$5,938 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,937.595,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x38c2…d3a7backed UNCW Seahawks58c4,305$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,804.6116056.9%91 W · 69 L+0.6wins0.00per pick57cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked UNCW Seahawks59c3,962$2,338 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,623.91,51147.8%722 W · 789 L-35.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked UNCW Seahawks52c2,791$1,443 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,348.041,88745.2%853 W · 1,034 L+6.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7aa8…56dbbacked Hofstra Pride47c1,781$839 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$838.931,05855.8%590 W · 468 L+34.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-2.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed UNCW Seahawks46c1,714$785 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$928.815,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked UNCW Seahawks55c1,543$846 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$696.621,53150.1%767 W · 764 L+34.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Hofstra Pride52c1,045$543 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$543.444146.5%205 W · 236 L+7.5wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked UNCW Seahawks45c901.25$409 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$492.541,54041.3%636 W · 904 L+4.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Hofstra Pride54c803.44$435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$434.984,84852.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L+139.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4650…f3f0backed UNCW Seahawks49c716$348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$368.0822157.9%128 W · 93 L+12.6wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+9.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed UNCW Seahawks58c708.41$413 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$295.6737947.8%181 W · 198 L-26.2wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-17.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Hofstra Pride41c581.47$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.133,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee76…e67abacked UNCW Seahawks60c502.53$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.5311362.8%71 W · 42 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick65cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf819…d410backed UNCW Seahawks25c500$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$376.146550.8%33 W · 32 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0eb7…1f17backed UNCW Seahawks61c491.85$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.8514930.2%45 W · 104 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick27cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Hofstra Pride44c488.51$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.752,55541.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L-15.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed UNCW Seahawks47c460$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.692,00353.7%1,076 W · 927 L+101.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Hofstra Pride56c382.32$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.153,90558.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L+165.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Hofstra Pride40c350.44$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.1812,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Hofstra Pride26c288$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.8890645.4%411 W · 495 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a22…c3b5backed UNCW Seahawks53c287.05$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.573327.3%9 W · 24 L-2.3wins-0.07per pick34cpaid-32.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed UNCW Seahawks59c274$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.731,15550.4%582 W · 573 L-34.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Hofstra Pride41c262$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.4291848.9%449 W · 469 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d48…eca0backed Hofstra Pride78c256.41$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002373.9%17 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick72cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Hofstra Pride41c228.92$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.151,15248.9%563 W · 589 L+3.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Hofstra Pride40c204.63$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.4568254.3%370 W · 312 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Hofstra Pride40c200$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$802,19433.4%733 W · 1,461 L+19.2wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcdb8…abbebacked Hofstra Pride33c197.12$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.051,98326.4%523 W · 1,460 L-55.5wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe6a5…e95dbacked UNCW Seahawks54c184.03$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.0340252.7%212 W · 190 L-9.1wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6fc5…d36ebacked UNCW Seahawks54c174.07$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.0710043%43 W · 57 L-9.7wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-21.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed UNCW Seahawks59c169.49$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.4993447.9%447 W · 487 L-19.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-13.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a72…f81dbacked UNCW Seahawks51c131.07$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.8687047.2%411 W · 459 L-23.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed UNCW Seahawks77c128$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.441,07447%505 W · 569 L+1.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Hofstra Pride41c115.2$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.172,04832.7%670 W · 1,378 L-16.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Hofstra Pride43c100$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$431,31733.6%443 W · 874 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x700a…58a5backed Hofstra Pride33c95$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.798640.7%35 W · 51 L-0.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2dc4…0c92backed Hofstra Pride40c89.65$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.9999045.6%451 W · 539 L+9.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf263…e9c1backed UNCW Seahawks62c80.65$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.654877.1%37 W · 11 L+6.7wins+0.14per pick63cpaid+22.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xedc6…05dfbacked Hofstra Pride76c72.87$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.592951.7%15 W · 14 L-0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdf93…bdc8backed UNCW Seahawks29c68.97$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.976767.2%45 W · 22 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+11.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed UNCW Seahawks50c60$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3012642.1%53 W · 73 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca4a…338abacked UNCW Seahawks52c58.14$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.635050%25 W · 25 L-2.9wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-10.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc653…bb8cbacked UNCW Seahawks59c51.02$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.0239050.5%197 W · 193 L-34.9wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-15.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x94fa…989ebacked UNCW Seahawks57c51$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.7781453.1%432 W · 382 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+3.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4e8f…1f83backed UNCW Seahawks59c50$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.564658.8%380 W · 266 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick59cpaid+1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b12…7a77backed Hofstra Pride28c50$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1452353.5%280 W · 243 L-17.9wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-5.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x00cf…d102backed UNCW Seahawks59c49.99$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.521449.5%106 W · 108 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1787…c311backed UNCW Seahawks60c46.5$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.523363.9%149 W · 84 L+8.2wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+4.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8996…15efbacked UNCW Seahawks47c42$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.4419138.2%73 W · 118 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-11.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb16c…4ceabacked UNCW Seahawks59c40.38$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.752360.9%14 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick60cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7509…e8b4backed UNCW Seahawks80c25$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick51cpaid-8.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x68c4…d7dfbacked Hofstra Pride41c24.4$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1017634.7%61 W · 115 L+7.3wins+0.04per pick31cpaid+20.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x742f…d673backed Hofstra Pride51c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.244955.2%248 W · 201 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.