TailMyPicks

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Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Oklahoma Sooners vs. Wake Forest Demon Deacons

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Oklahoma Soonersof Oklahoma Sooners, Wake Forest Demon Deacons
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$18,596
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$18,175

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,596 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd48a…6e90backed Wake Forest Demon Deacons64c5,500$3,520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,52015557.4%89 W · 66 L-0.2wins0.00per pick58cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Oklahoma Sooners36c3,427$1,224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,202.6255657.4%319 W · 237 L+20.3wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+3.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Wake Forest Demon Deacons65c2,419$1,564 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,564.361,51147.8%722 W · 789 L-35.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Wake Forest Demon Deacons64c2,121$1,353 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,353.432,57947.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L-42.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked Oklahoma Sooners36c2,018$726 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,291.5212853.1%68 W · 60 L+8.2wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+11.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xea30…5ab1backed Wake Forest Demon Deacons49c1,645$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$800425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-50.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Oklahoma Sooners35c1,330$466 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$864.516341.7%68 W · 95 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Oklahoma Sooners37c1,039$382 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$656.741,39144.1%613 W · 778 L-10.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf2c2…4de7backed Oklahoma Sooners36c1,000$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6404829.2%14 W · 34 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xea81…eeaebacked Oklahoma Sooners36c800$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5121,22727.8%341 W · 886 L-0.9wins0.00per pick28cpaid-10.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Oklahoma Sooners49c703.12$346 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$356.982,55541.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L-15.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Wake Forest Demon Deacons4c689.4$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.585,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Oklahoma Sooners36c504.5$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$322.881,63347.3%773 W · 860 L+25.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Oklahoma Sooners37c333.34$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.944,84852.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L+139.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc7f7…2abfbacked Oklahoma Sooners36c275.4$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.2652928.4%150 W · 379 L-9.2wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd903…bf9dbacked Oklahoma Sooners50c271$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.523158.9%136 W · 95 L+23.5wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+10.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Oklahoma Sooners36c200$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12882048.2%395 W · 425 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Wake Forest Demon Deacons62c179.65$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.6545644.5%203 W · 253 L-16.8wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-19.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Wake Forest Demon Deacons62c170.09$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.4612,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x61c1…0513backed Wake Forest Demon Deacons69c145.51$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008956.2%50 W · 39 L-8.2wins-0.09per pick65cpaid-13.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Oklahoma Sooners36c144.85$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.082,04832.7%670 W · 1,378 L-16.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x89f3…dfffbacked Oklahoma Sooners42c142.49$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.041,17325.2%296 W · 877 L-43.0wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-21.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Oklahoma Sooners30c120$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$841,48743%639 W · 848 L+50.8wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+11.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9c4d…168cbacked Oklahoma Sooners36c120$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.829444.6%131 W · 163 L+8.7wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+8.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Wake Forest Demon Deacons21c110$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.731,42043.9%623 W · 797 L+8.4wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-18.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed Oklahoma Sooners36c100$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$641,07046.9%502 W · 568 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe50b…c2a8backed Oklahoma Sooners35c100$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6534947.9%167 W · 182 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc54f…dce8backed Wake Forest Demon Deacons14c100$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1464322.9%147 W · 496 L-17.1wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-27.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x12fe…38cfbacked Wake Forest Demon Deacons65c100$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$651,26043.3%545 W · 715 L+34.8wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Oklahoma Sooners47c70.56$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.251,98564.1%1,273 W · 712 L+144.2wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+7.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Wake Forest Demon Deacons24c70.55$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.7177142.3%326 W · 445 L+2.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0158…676bbacked Wake Forest Demon Deacons64c67$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.8820%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed Oklahoma Sooners32c63$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.8465825.7%169 W · 489 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Oklahoma Sooners43c52.3$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.765,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x72ad…34b9backed Oklahoma Sooners38c48.42$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.021100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+163.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7449…0b0fbacked Wake Forest Demon Deacons64c38.71$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.7710%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ad3…d6b9backed Wake Forest Demon Deacons64c32.96$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.0910%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9cd1…4c27backed Oklahoma Sooners38c32.71$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.281100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+163.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa87e…6c73backed Oklahoma Sooners38c31$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.221100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+163.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc5d1…5e7fbacked Wake Forest Demon Deacons64c30.78$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.710%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x223f…9642backed Oklahoma Sooners38c30.26$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.761100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+163.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9696…2bc3backed Oklahoma Sooners36c30$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.221455.6%119 W · 95 L+10.7wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+10.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9599…4b54backed Wake Forest Demon Deacons64c30$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.210%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Oklahoma Sooners54c28$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.91,95145.1%880 W · 1,071 L-19.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e95…2bb7backed Wake Forest Demon Deacons67c22.28$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-14.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c82…05cfbacked Wake Forest Demon Deacons64c20$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.813343.6%58 W · 75 L-5.4wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-4.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.