NBA · resolved market
NBA Summer League: Denver Nuggets vs. Houston Rockets
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfeb1a4d8a4e06fe7250437d403cc373a5d343a88e4f4ed9ed5c7d3d6e92f425e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Houston Rocketsof Denver Nuggets, Houston Rockets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,750
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,656
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,750 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Denver Nuggets | 26c | 1,786$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457.81 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7120…7c4ebacked Denver Nuggets | 12c | 1,757$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211 | 89 | 23.6%21 W · 68 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc308…7b09backed Denver Nuggets | 2c | 1,550$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.56 | 312 | 22.1%69 W · 243 L | +14.9wins | +0.05per pick | 17cpaid | +79.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Houston Rockets | 71c | 1,294$913 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.02 | 227 | 53.3%121 W · 106 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Denver Nuggets | 35c | 1,178$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.43 | 107 | 61.7%66 W · 41 L | +8.4wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x98a7…b766backed Houston Rockets | 74c | 1,082$799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.6 | 101 | 30.7%31 W · 70 L | -9.9wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Denver Nuggets | 2c | 900$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 550 | 2.5%14 W · 536 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x63df…63d1backed Denver Nuggets | 21c | 883.63$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.13 | 67 | 34.3%23 W · 44 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40f7…1f5ebacked Houston Rockets | 65c | 849.99$552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.5 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Houston Rockets | 76c | 775.92$592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184 | 1,341 | 29.9%401 W · 940 L | -53.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xced7…0053backed Denver Nuggets | 24c | 681.18$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.91 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Denver Nuggets | 50c | 653.94$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.2 | 259 | 54.4%141 W · 118 L | +34.1wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +68.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…a2d1backed Houston Rockets | 50c | 619.5$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Denver Nuggets | 24c | 575.39$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.78 | 688 | 38.5%265 W · 423 L | -26.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe53f…62d7backed Denver Nuggets | 32c | 555.73$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.67 | 128 | 46.9%60 W · 68 L | +13.3wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xeef6…cd4cbacked Houston Rockets | 53c | 485.01$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.96 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x060f…5a9dbacked Houston Rockets | 69c | 475.48$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.4 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 67cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa0dc…586cbacked Denver Nuggets | 33c | 433.68$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.04 | 288 | 38.2%110 W · 178 L | -17.6wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked Houston Rockets | 49c | 389.84$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.82 | 331 | 50.8%168 W · 163 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Houston Rockets | 75c | 329.44$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.69 | 86 | 54.7%47 W · 39 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Denver Nuggets | 26c | 299.66$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.71 | 258 | 40.7%105 W · 153 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Denver Nuggets | 35c | 286.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 312 | 49.4%154 W · 158 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Houston Rockets | 58c | 215.38$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.37 | 218 | 48.2%105 W · 113 L | +11.0wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0182…301cbacked Houston Rockets | 75c | 211.04$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.44 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f16…553dbacked Houston Rockets | 53c | 209.15$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.15 | 271 | 45.4%123 W · 148 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbaac…ff10backed Houston Rockets | 80c | 199.98$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.5 | 124 | 54.8%68 W · 56 L | -7.9wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f85…e91abacked Denver Nuggets | 32c | 184.65$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8bd…478fbacked Denver Nuggets | 31c | 162.58$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 194 | 43.3%84 W · 110 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b24…11efbacked Houston Rockets | 80c | 160$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 166 | 64.5%107 W · 59 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc46e…9ed8backed Denver Nuggets | 48c | 156.25$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…351dbacked Denver Nuggets | 34c | 147.44$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a1d…78d4backed Houston Rockets | 72c | 139.79$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.79 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90fe…b7b8backed Denver Nuggets | 50c | 137.5$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.75 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94bb…77eebacked Denver Nuggets | 35c | 115.67$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.48 | 189 | 30.7%58 W · 131 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Denver Nuggets | 33c | 113.41$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.89 | 249 | 37.3%93 W · 156 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -35%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Denver Nuggets | 39c | 113.36$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.98 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Denver Nuggets | 27c | 105.19$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.59 | 1,084 | 50%542 W · 542 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e3…99a1backed Denver Nuggets | 49c | 101.22$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3697…f189backed Denver Nuggets | 22c | 99.98$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 652 | 18.4%120 W · 532 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Denver Nuggets | 33c | 99.17$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.97 | 50 | 76%38 W · 12 L | +8.5wins | +0.17per pick | 59cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x237f…e76ebacked Denver Nuggets | 45c | 94.01$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.28 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…0160backed Denver Nuggets | 15c | 82.76$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 667 | 32.4%216 W · 451 L | +41.8wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xab56…e635backed Denver Nuggets | 33c | 68.18$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Houston Rockets | 54c | 64.99$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.9 | 428 | 53%227 W · 201 L | +7.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Denver Nuggets | 34c | 57.6$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.4 | 98 | 51%50 W · 48 L | +6.5wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Denver Nuggets | 48c | 54.74$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.27 | 333 | 56.2%187 W · 146 L | +9.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43fe…26eebacked Denver Nuggets | 35c | 52.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.78 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +4.9wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x999a…9a25backed Denver Nuggets | 38c | 51.69$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.49 | 27 | 81.5%22 W · 5 L | +5.9wins | +0.22per pick | 60cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Denver Nuggets | 30c | 50.69$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.09 | 323 | 51.1%165 W · 158 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Denver Nuggets | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 410 | 50.7%208 W · 202 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a62…5247backed Denver Nuggets | 49c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.7 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -56.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc2ca…4419backed Houston Rockets | 71c | 39.21$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +54.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9bdb…a90dbacked Denver Nuggets | 48c | 38.1$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.14 | 160 | 45%72 W · 88 L | +9.7wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x663e…9cf0backed Houston Rockets | 52c | 37.63$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.89 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Denver Nuggets | 35c | 36.22$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.68 | 1,200 | 51.6%619 W · 581 L | +66.5wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcce9…ddf1backed Denver Nuggets | 45c | 35.76$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd1e…4754backed Houston Rockets | 52c | 34.02$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.37 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe521…880ebacked Houston Rockets | 55c | 31.89$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.35 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…5acabacked Denver Nuggets | 51c | 31$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.81 | 67 | 61.2%41 W · 26 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c0…dadabacked Denver Nuggets | 48c | 25.73$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.39 | 125 | 41.6%52 W · 73 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07b1…b027backed Denver Nuggets | 46c | 25.52$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.74 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -2.9wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked Denver Nuggets | 45c | 24.67$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked Denver Nuggets | 45c | 23.69$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.66 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +6.3wins | +0.17per pick | 48cpaid | +48.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Houston Rockets | 55c | 20.62$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.21 | 844 | 43%363 W · 481 L | -40.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8766…4171backed Houston Rockets | 66c | 16.33$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.61 | 21 | 76.2%16 W · 5 L | +4.3wins | +0.20per pick | 56cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.