Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 8°C on April 10?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xffa24c98158da201f7c4d66883c94d8bc4ab34a5be40381c455d3e1427d22663
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,667
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,336
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,667 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 88 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf6f7…e0dabacked No | 68c | 1,174$798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.37 | 1,861 | 23.8%443 W · 1,418 L | +47.9wins | +0.03per pick | 21cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f66…4c8dbacked Yes | 34c | 939.21$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.97 | 2,267 | 18%407 W · 1,860 L | -9.5wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x938d…8674backed Yes | 6c | 893.2$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.04 | 467 | 33.4%156 W · 311 L | +21.4wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 63c | 677.09$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.72 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 45c | 496.78$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.21 | 5,832 | 36.7%2,138 W · 3,694 L | +211.1wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0321…19fabacked Yes | 38c | 356.63$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.69 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 19c | 305.95$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.67 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…907ebacked Yes | 5c | 242.89$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.93 | 346 | 18.8%65 W · 281 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd36…a832backed Yes | 37c | 240.38$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.1 | 650 | 43.4%282 W · 368 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd80a…c714backed Yes | 24c | 224.45$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.85 | 1,977 | 18.8%371 W · 1,606 L | +8.0wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fa8…fd4ebacked Yes | 45c | 211.63$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.94 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x292a…5d78backed No | 76c | 200.9$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.31 | 93 | 33.3%31 W · 62 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -26%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1361…f12bbacked Yes | 31c | 185.99$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.25 | 1,924 | 33.8%651 W · 1,273 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0603…8f62backed No | 72c | 147.14$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | -7.6wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 9c | 137.29$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.36 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f98…e397backed Yes | 52c | 126.42$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.75 | 331 | 54.4%180 W · 151 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed No | 30c | 123.95$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.77 | 2,001 | 38.4%768 W · 1,233 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a1d…55c4backed Yes | 57c | 122.82$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.61 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa28…090bbacked Yes | 16c | 122.39$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.83 | 2,239 | 15%335 W · 1,904 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +24%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 72c | 114.92$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.23 | 4,120 | 60.8%2,506 W · 1,614 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2810…d40fbacked No | 80c | 110.77$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.67 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed Yes | 17c | 109.78$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.23 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 10c | 109.14$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.45 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x2967…4ae7backed Yes | 26c | 105.65$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.79 | 257 | 25.7%66 W · 191 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed No | 61c | 105.57$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.17 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf030…54c9backed Yes | 13c | 102.62$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.7 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.8wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…fb31backed Yes | 32c | 94.61$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.9 | 169 | 44.4%75 W · 94 L | +18.5wins | +0.11per pick | 33cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3319…977abacked Yes | 17c | 88.23$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 264 | 26.9%71 W · 193 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dc2…621ebacked No | 47c | 87.13$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.78 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 60c | 85.89$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.57 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5d…9491backed No | 66c | 75.76$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.76 | 308 | 59.1%182 W · 126 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0a…5f98backed Yes | 45c | 73.54$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.94 | 395 | 35.4%140 W · 255 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5245…00c4backed Yes | 38c | 71.28$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.9 | 296 | 40.5%120 W · 176 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa28…c37ebacked Yes | 29c | 69.19$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.02 | 3,939 | 35.3%1,392 W · 2,547 L | +35.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc480…259ebacked Yes | 49c | 66.84$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.78 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 21c | 63.3$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.48 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x113b…3048backed No | 69c | 62.96$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.7 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…b5d0backed Yes | 18c | 62.42$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.24 | 4,496 | 19.6%882 W · 3,614 L | +49.5wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Yes | 34c | 61.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.87 | 1,840 | 37%681 W · 1,159 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f88…da69backed No | 63c | 61.05$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.52 | 179 | 49.2%88 W · 91 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3b…ae48backed No | 63c | 60.71$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.18 | 250 | 58.4%146 W · 104 L | +22.6wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x99c4…0c89backed Yes | 47c | 58.07$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.07 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3da3…0fdcbacked Yes | 26c | 55.53$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.16 | 1,024 | 25%256 W · 768 L | +20.4wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e66…52f5backed Yes | 25c | 54.33$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.79 | 67 | 20.9%14 W · 53 L | -4.3wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc348…0b7ebacked Yes | 41c | 53.15$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.96 | 30 | 13.3%4 W · 26 L | -3.8wins | -0.13per pick | 26cpaid | -52.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc323…4408backed No | 78c | 53$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.54 | 335 | 67.5%226 W · 109 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaff7…fb8bbacked Yes | 37c | 52.55$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.49 | 513 | 21.2%109 W · 404 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27a1…adc6backed Yes | 40c | 52.46$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.05 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +43.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcdd7…4a8fbacked Yes | 46c | 51.29$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.65 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1d4…eacdbacked Yes | 28c | 50.59$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2986…b3a9backed No | 30c | 49.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.99 | 2,995 | 31.4%940 W · 2,055 L | +41.6wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x767c…5441backed No | 58c | 49.25$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.69 | 81 | 43.2%35 W · 46 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c9b…994dbacked Yes | 38c | 47.97$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.39 | 166 | 34.9%58 W · 108 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9acf…0cc2backed No | 50c | 46.36$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.18 | 229 | 45.4%104 W · 125 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf31…454abacked No | 69c | 44.12$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.68 | 191 | 52.9%101 W · 90 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc931…7d46backed No | 61c | 40.98$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.98 | 141 | 58.2%82 W · 59 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd91…03cbbacked Yes | 44c | 40$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x79b6…e042backed No | 40c | 40$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.16 | 445 | 53.3%237 W · 208 L | -21.2wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb198…6291backed Yes | 40c | 39.91$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.13 | 133 | 40.6%54 W · 79 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01a6…59b0backed No | 61c | 39.09$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.36 | 1,679 | 61.7%1,036 W · 643 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c1…bec3backed Yes | 38c | 38.26$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.72 | 116 | 44%51 W · 65 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7b1…9ebcbacked Yes | 33c | 36.42$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c9…d2b8backed No | 66c | 36.12$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.22 | 535 | 47.5%254 W · 281 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x331f…d739backed No | 63c | 34.15$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.66 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3023…465cbacked Yes | 32c | 33.83$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.9 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f4…1e34backed Yes | 48c | 33.54$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.15 | 1,312 | 45%590 W · 722 L | +33.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5073…16a7backed Yes | 36c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.68 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e9c…f3a8backed No | 72c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.3 | 602 | 36.5%220 W · 382 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe233…c70bbacked No | 69c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.33 | 549 | 66.7%366 W · 183 L | -27.1wins | -0.05per pick | 72cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae3…3401backed Yes | 70c | 29.1$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.35 | 274 | 63.9%175 W · 99 L | -15.0wins | -0.05per pick | 69cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4f0…22e0backed Yes | 36c | 27.89$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 70 | 21.4%15 W · 55 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae68…064abacked No | 61c | 27.87$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.79 | 2,555 | 63.8%1,631 W · 924 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d0b…10cbbacked Yes | 42c | 27.62$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.65 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c5e…aa95backed No | 71c | 27.53$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.12 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb347…0b22backed Yes | 39c | 27.24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.73 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d78…e218backed Yes | 44c | 27.19$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.86 | 31 | 12.9%4 W · 27 L | -3.7wins | -0.12per pick | 25cpaid | -78.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3506…ad95backed No | 64c | 27.17$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.81 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 63cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x27fb…3f5ebacked No | 59c | 26.31$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.89 | 209 | 42.1%88 W · 121 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1345…e4debacked No | 77c | 25.96$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 76 | 76.3%58 W · 18 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 72cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c8d…84afbacked Yes | 69c | 25.3$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.57 | 68 | 54.4%37 W · 31 L | -5.0wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x45c9…a3d1backed No | 69c | 21.8$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.78 | 275 | 60%165 W · 110 L | +7.9wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd7…a265backed No | 69c | 21.34$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.63 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfda8…e905backed No | 68c | 20.03$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4264…1706backed Yes | 69c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.88 | 408 | 71.8%293 W · 115 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 72cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x63ac…3fc9backed No | 69c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 83 | 66.3%55 W · 28 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9da…ed70backed No | 70c | 18.47$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.56 | 763 | 71.4%545 W · 218 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49c4…db5bbacked No | 64c | 18.03$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.46 | 1,275 | 36.5%465 W · 810 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3200…6c7ebacked No | 79c | 13.64$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.91 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 8°C on April 10?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 10°C on April 10?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 11°C on April 10?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 12°C on April 10?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 13°C on April 10?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 14°C on April 10?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 15°C on April 10?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 16°C or higher on April 10?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 6°C or below on April 10?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 7°C on April 10?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 9°C on April 10?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.