Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 7°C on April 10?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf8749209440359de33ecdc51ae8eebdab5e27a28173915e3957bd4e03df77ed4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,110
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,564
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,110 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 84 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcd75…d07ebacked Yes | 72c | 1,333$964 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.19 | 154 | 33.8%52 W · 102 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 49c | 752.62$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.75 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed Yes | 10c | 638.62$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$575.66 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x938d…8674backed Yes | 31c | 617.07$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424.99 | 467 | 33.4%156 W · 311 L | +21.4wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa233…b1e6backed No | 61c | 517.47$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.74 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -3.3wins | -0.30per pick | 66cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 28c | 443.49$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.3 | 5,832 | 36.7%2,138 W · 3,694 L | +211.1wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed No | 54c | 419.14$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.78 | 2,001 | 38.4%768 W · 1,233 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f98…e397backed No | 80c | 304.04$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.27 | 331 | 54.4%180 W · 151 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b90…08e7backed Yes | 68c | 227.92$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.21 | 135 | 54.8%74 W · 61 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1361…f12bbacked Yes | 31c | 217.68$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.99 | 1,924 | 33.8%651 W · 1,273 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30ad…22d6backed Yes | 25c | 211.22$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.1 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5368…2d62backed Yes | 12c | 177.37$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.09 | 1,804 | 27.4%494 W · 1,310 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 10c | 177.03$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.56 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2810…d40fbacked Yes | 76c | 156.11$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.86 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe00f…abd9backed Yes | 76c | 153.69$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.54 | 121 | 47.9%58 W · 63 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f4…1e34backed Yes | 29c | 148.47$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.13 | 1,312 | 45%590 W · 722 L | +33.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0321…19fabacked Yes | 69c | 145.14$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.31 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc931…7d46backed No | 76c | 127.62$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.58 | 141 | 58.2%82 W · 59 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 65c | 122.64$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.52 | 4,120 | 60.8%2,506 W · 1,614 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x712d…1d71backed Yes | 24c | 118.89$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.36 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed5b…a76abacked No | 50c | 118.57$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.41 | 190 | 47.4%90 W · 100 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e2…fb46backed Yes | 24c | 112.75$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.21 | 167 | 38.9%65 W · 102 L | +7.9wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd16f…2badbacked Yes | 25c | 106.32$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.52 | 74 | 16.2%12 W · 62 L | -5.8wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2002…996bbacked Yes | 69c | 104.67$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.59 | 65 | 78.5%51 W · 14 L | +6.9wins | +0.11per pick | 68cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0a…5f98backed Yes | 42c | 102.23$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.25 | 395 | 35.4%140 W · 255 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd38…ddadbacked No | 76c | 94.67$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.95 | 254 | 49.2%125 W · 129 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01a6…59b0backed No | 68c | 92.98$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.86 | 1,679 | 61.7%1,036 W · 643 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76a6…b7dcbacked Yes | 24c | 92.35$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.62 | 148 | 34.5%51 W · 97 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5dd0…9f9abacked Yes | 30c | 91.81$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.9 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -29%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…fb31backed Yes | 30c | 90.4$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.56 | 169 | 44.4%75 W · 94 L | +18.5wins | +0.11per pick | 33cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec2…d084backed Yes | 68c | 90.39$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.05 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ad…d00bbacked Yes | 16c | 88.58$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.75 | 490 | 38.8%190 W · 300 L | +24.4wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd62c…4efcbacked No | 80c | 85.79$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.6 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 70cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4467…cbfcbacked No | 50c | 85.5$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.78 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.32per pick | 61cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xae68…064abacked No | 69c | 83.58$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.77 | 2,555 | 63.8%1,631 W · 924 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaff7…fb8bbacked Yes | 32c | 78.57$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.58 | 513 | 21.2%109 W · 404 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked No | 31c | 78.54$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.54 | 633 | 23.9%151 W · 482 L | -20.0wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -45%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf2e…c770backed Yes | 26c | 78.43$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.96 | 395 | 41.3%163 W · 232 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e61…eaeebacked No | 65c | 73.8$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.27 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdd7…4a8fbacked Yes | 40c | 73.02$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.83 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x487d…6813backed Yes | 28c | 72.15$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.86 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0603…8f62backed No | 75c | 71.9$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.07 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | -7.6wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x681b…8a5abacked Yes | 23c | 70.19$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.91 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a1d…55c4backed Yes | 27c | 69.37$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.84 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa28…090bbacked Yes | 17c | 68.61$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.73 | 2,239 | 15%335 W · 1,904 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +24%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d4…e3e5backed No | 73c | 58.62$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.7 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5245…00c4backed Yes | 34c | 57.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.15 | 296 | 40.5%120 W · 176 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6dd…53a0backed Yes | 66c | 56.9$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.19 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 67cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff3a…f813backed No | 77c | 52.09$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.31 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 77cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27a1…adc6backed Yes | 26c | 51.67$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.26 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +43.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2986…b3a9backed No | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2,995 | 31.4%940 W · 2,055 L | +41.6wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9d5…9f2abacked Yes | 47c | 47.15$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.16 | 86 | 50%43 W · 43 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5499…cf6dbacked Yes | 28c | 46.91$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.84 | 250 | 37.6%94 W · 156 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0dc2…621ebacked No | 67c | 46.71$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.49 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc323…4408backed No | 75c | 46.38$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.84 | 335 | 67.5%226 W · 109 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32f0…c659backed No | 49c | 46$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.54 | 235 | 47.7%112 W · 123 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82ca…3135backed No | 34c | 45.28$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.25 | 1,026 | 64%657 W · 369 L | +49.8wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf030…54c9backed No | 32c | 43.82$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.98 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.8wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 32c | 42.26$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.91 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b20…62cbbacked No | 72c | 40.76$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.15 | 118 | 74.6%88 W · 30 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4a9…75f9backed No | 77c | 40.33$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.03 | 262 | 53.4%140 W · 122 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb198…6291backed Yes | 27c | 39.86$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.97 | 133 | 40.6%54 W · 79 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x767c…5441backed No | 79c | 39.15$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.87 | 81 | 43.2%35 W · 46 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c9…d2b8backed Yes | 33c | 36.5$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.49 | 535 | 47.5%254 W · 281 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf967…1adfbacked Yes | 33c | 33.87$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.69 | 312 | 62.5%195 W · 117 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45c9…a3d1backed No | 75c | 30.75$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.1 | 275 | 60%165 W · 110 L | +7.9wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa98a…a5a8backed No | 67c | 29.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.75 | 2,015 | 67.7%1,365 W · 650 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1831…6c99backed No | 76c | 29.27$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.1 | 349 | 34.1%119 W · 230 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91ef…b0f2backed Yes | 41c | 29.26$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.33 | 168 | 32.7%55 W · 113 L | +8.8wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae3…3401backed Yes | 70c | 29.1$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.73 | 274 | 63.9%175 W · 99 L | -15.0wins | -0.05per pick | 69cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4248…60abbacked No | 78c | 27.24$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.14 | 2,219 | 58.7%1,303 W · 916 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a24…2015backed Yes | 55c | 25.57$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.6 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xccb6…5183backed Yes | 49c | 24.79$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.64 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…371abacked No | 68c | 23.21$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.75 | 2,495 | 69.9%1,744 W · 751 L | +80.3wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8349…bb03backed Yes | 56c | 22.92$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.01 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -4.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0408…3d68backed No | 60c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 212 | 62.3%132 W · 80 L | +20.9wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4264…1706backed Yes | 69c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.22 | 408 | 71.8%293 W · 115 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 72cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x331f…d739backed No | 74c | 19.57$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.48 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79b6…e042backed No | 57c | 19.49$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.18 | 445 | 53.3%237 W · 208 L | -21.2wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4db0…bcd3backed No | 75c | 18$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.41 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -3.3wins | -0.18per pick | 49cpaid | -50.8%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x49c4…db5bbacked No | 76c | 17.97$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.67 | 1,275 | 36.5%465 W · 810 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3972…a677backed No | 72c | 17.51$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.61 | 817 | 56.4%461 W · 356 L | -23.0wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ec8…99d2backed No | 60c | 16.67$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 833 | 60.7%506 W · 327 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x63ac…3fc9backed No | 69c | 15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.32 | 83 | 66.3%55 W · 28 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 7°C on April 10?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 10°C on April 10?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 11°C on April 10?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 12°C on April 10?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 13°C on April 10?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 14°C on April 10?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 15°C on April 10?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 16°C or higher on April 10?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 6°C or below on April 10?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 8°C on April 10?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 9°C on April 10?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.