CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: INFURITY Gaming vs STATE (BO3) - United21 Group C
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xffaa0cf2ab787ad471f434269b74af49b7e0ef6d9f809b53ee0d7c5a533a7619
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- INFURITY Gamingof INFURITY Gaming, STATE
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,911
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,536
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,911 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6e2c…787cbacked STATE | 14c | 916.91$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.91 | 817 | 44.7%365 W · 452 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65e6…42dcbacked STATE | 28c | 580.86$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.54 | 127 | 27.6%35 W · 92 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefa3…7585backed STATE | 72c | 566.1$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.06 | 773 | 51.2%396 W · 377 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed INFURITY Gaming | 38c | 535.95$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.15 | 5,876 | 37.7%2,213 W · 3,663 L | +71.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed STATE | 36c | 316.17$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.05 | 6,501 | 42.9%2,791 W · 3,710 L | -79.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e4…dd38backed INFURITY Gaming | 59c | 270.8$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.91 | 434 | 57.1%248 W · 186 L | +20.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdcce…c920backed STATE | 66c | 238.78$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158 | 180 | 62.2%112 W · 68 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked INFURITY Gaming | 27c | 208.01$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.85 | 769 | 33.8%260 W · 509 L | -48.3wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x012b…7c42backed INFURITY Gaming | 36c | 205.95$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.95 | 90 | 44.4%40 W · 50 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked STATE | 23c | 198.25$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.37 | 3,544 | 29.3%1,037 W · 2,507 L | -289.1wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked STATE | 32c | 171.51$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.52 | 4,754 | 43.6%2,071 W · 2,683 L | -85.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked INFURITY Gaming | 72c | 150.38$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.62 | 5,580 | 47.2%2,632 W · 2,948 L | +47.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed INFURITY Gaming | 69c | 145.55$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.54 | 4,099 | 51%2,091 W · 2,008 L | +74.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4cf…2224backed STATE | 72c | 139.86$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 225 | 67.1%151 W · 74 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a00…4322backed INFURITY Gaming | 57c | 137.52$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.52 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 67cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked STATE | 17c | 120$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.38 | 1,890 | 41.9%791 W · 1,099 L | -71.8wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed STATE | 31c | 106.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.69 | 5,341 | 31.3%1,674 W · 3,667 L | -390.7wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked STATE | 31c | 97.11$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.04 | 1,632 | 43.2%705 W · 927 L | -32.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed STATE | 30c | 91.45$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.76 | 2,554 | 41.3%1,054 W · 1,500 L | -116.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked STATE | 17c | 80$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 1,397 | 52.4%732 W · 665 L | +30.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67b1…63ecbacked STATE | 39c | 72.53$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.21 | 216 | 23.6%51 W · 165 L | -27.4wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb373…d97cbacked STATE | 17c | 70.59$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 594 | 45.8%272 W · 322 L | -14.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked STATE | 46c | 69.44$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.17 | 2,143 | 47.3%1,013 W · 1,130 L | -61.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x633e…d305backed INFURITY Gaming | 73c | 65.28$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.67 | 129 | 37.2%48 W · 81 L | -14.7wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked INFURITY Gaming | 78c | 63$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.61 | 7,990 | 50.4%4,029 W · 3,961 L | +180.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed STATE | 29c | 61.38$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.7 | 358 | 41.6%149 W · 209 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked STATE | 18c | 61$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.81 | 2,397 | 42.7%1,023 W · 1,374 L | -73.6wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf099…2c2bbacked INFURITY Gaming | 78c | 53.48$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.72 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -36%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed INFURITY Gaming | 29c | 52.83$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.53 | 1,895 | 47.8%906 W · 989 L | -50.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf1…d7febacked INFURITY Gaming | 29c | 50$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.7 | 248 | 35.1%87 W · 161 L | -8.4wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked INFURITY Gaming | 79c | 49.88$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.46 | 2,195 | 43.1%946 W · 1,249 L | -68.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed STATE | 33c | 47.48$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.44 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee5…ca6bbacked STATE | 54c | 42.64$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8564…0306backed INFURITY Gaming | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 12 | 91.7%11 W · 1 L | +2.7wins | +0.22per pick | 69cpaid | +36%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6a09…a06dbacked STATE | 71c | 27.32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.52 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d3e…5d02backed STATE | 74c | 20.27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 68cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb77…fbeebacked INFURITY Gaming | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.05 | 232 | 56.5%131 W · 101 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: INFURITY Gaming vs STATE (BO3) - United21 Group Cthis page
- Counter-Strike: INFURITY Gaming vs STATE - Map 1 WinnerINFURITY Gaming won
- Counter-Strike: INFURITY Gaming vs STATE - Map 2 WinnerINFURITY Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.