TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x55e8…eb96

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
43
Categories scored
4
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: Commodities, grading 51 out of 100 (+0.01 per pick).

Best Category Commodities at 51 out of 100; worst Us Politics at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT3964.1%25 W · 14 L+0.2wins0.00per pick64cpaid+3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Lol — the 39 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: LNG Esports vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvanabacked LNG Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.37
LoL: LNG Esports vs EDward Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked LNG Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.02
LoL: Ici Japon Corp. Esport vs Galions (BO1) - LFL Regular Seasonbacked Galions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$105.55
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition (BO1) - Prime League 1st Division Regular Seasonbacked Eintracht Spandau · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$24.43
LoL: TLN Pirates vs Solary (BO1) - LFL Regular Seasonbacked Solary · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$21.5
LoL: KT Rolster vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$12.07
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Kiwoom DRX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed HANJIN BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.48
LoL: ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix vs Barça eSports (BO3) - LES Regular Seasonbacked ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+56.6%+$10
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE - Game 2 Winnerbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+37%+$12.54
LoL: Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition vs Misa Esports (BO3) - EMEA Masters Playoffsbacked Misa Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$5.94
LoL: GIANTX vs Team Heretics (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked GIANTX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$6.32
LoL: SK Gaming vs GIANTX - Game 2 Winnerbacked SK Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.88
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.76
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs DN SOOPers - Game 2 Winnerbacked Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$4.36
LoL: SK Gaming vs Shifters - Game 1 Winnerbacked Shifters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.31
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+107.3%+$11.02
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition (BO5) - Prime League 1st Division Playoffsbacked Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+121.8%+$39.81
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+35.1%+$22.96
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Berlin International Gaming - Game 3 Winnerbacked Eintracht Spandau · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$58.62
LoL: Cloud9 vs FURIA Esports (BO3) - Americas Cup Playoffsbacked FURIA Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+81.8%+$12.44
LoL: Cloud9 vs FURIA Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked FURIA Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+222.6%+$40.63
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$23.11
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 4 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+35.1%+$12.48
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$50
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+150%+$15
Showing 25 of 39 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump visit China by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Trump visit China by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.88
All 2 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on April 9?backed Up · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$14.08
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 29, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 in January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$19.78
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.