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EventUFC

UFC Fight Night: Keiichiro Nakamura vs. Ollie Schmid (Featherweight, Prelims)

Wallets last checked .

UFCSettled: Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Result

UFC Fight Night: Keiichiro Nakamura vs. Ollie Schmid (Featherweight, Prelims) (opens in a new tab)

Settled: Ollie Schmid won. Keiichiro Nakamura: 9 wallets, $3,398 · Ollie Schmid: 16 wallets, $12,271 16 of 25 wallets backed the winner.

What these columns mean
Wallet
A wallet that was in the top 200 of UFC when this market was played, or in its top 50 for a market played before 1 November 2026, with its place on that board tonight. The top 50 of the time come first. A wallet that has gone quiet keeps its place for as long as its score would still put it there: A wallet becomes inactive in a category once it has missed more than 10 of the days on which something settled there.
Side
The side of this market the wallet's pick was on.
Result
Whether that side won. A pick is held to the end: it is won or lost even if the wallet sold before the market settled.
Staked
What the wallet paid for its pick on this side.
Entry
The average price the wallet paid on its side, in cents.
Held to the end
What the pick made or lost held to the end, at its entry price. It is not what the wallet cashed: it may have sold before the market settled.
Tail Score
The number wallets are ranked by in a category: the wallet's edge per pick, pulled toward zero so a short lucky run can't beat a long record, then graded out of 100 on a scale that never moves. 50 means no edge at all. A score screenshotted today means the same thing in six months. The scale is published with the scores it grades.
The pick on this marketSettled markets
WalletA wallet that was in the top 200 of UFC when this market was played, or in its top 50 for a market played before 1 November 2026, with its place on that board tonight. The top 50 of the time come first. A wallet that has gone quiet keeps its place for as long as its score would still put it there: A wallet becomes inactive in a category once it has missed more than 10 of the days on which something settled there.SideThe side of this market the wallet's pick was on.ResultWhether that side won. A pick is held to the end: it is won or lost even if the wallet sold before the market settled.StakedWhat the wallet paid for its pick on this side.EntryThe average price the wallet paid on its side, in cents.Held to the endWhat the pick made or lost held to the end, at its entry price. It is not what the wallet cashed: it may have sold before the market settled.Tail ScoreThe number wallets are ranked by in a category: the wallet's edge per pick, pulled toward zero so a short lucky run can't beat a long record, then graded out of 100 on a scale that never moves. 50 means no edge at all. A score screenshotted today means the same thing in six months. The scale is published with the scores it grades.
0x610b…36a3#5 on the boardOllie Schmidwon (open this pick)$2035c+$37.1464
0x6b12…d642#12 on the boardOllie Schmidwon (open this pick)$6,55673c+$2,370.6662
0x56ac…d77e#18 on the boardKeiichiro Nakamuralost (open this pick)$60176c-$600.9961
0x83b8…c300#19 on the boardOllie Schmidwon (open this pick)$5025c+$15061
0xdb1c…2679#23 on the boardOllie Schmidwon (open this pick)$3139c+$47.9961
0xc1d9…5333#28 on the boardOllie Schmidwon (open this pick)$57840c+$856.0861
0xccce…afcf#296 on the boardKeiichiro Nakamuralost (open this pick)$2241c-$2255
Top 51 to 200
0x4076…8e2a#47 on the boardOllie Schmidwon (open this pick)$35125c+$1,062.4960
0xb0b3…6bf7#48 on the boardOllie Schmidwon (open this pick)$5025c+$15060
0xdb21…cdf3#59 on the boardOllie Schmidwon (open this pick)$3972c+$15.659
0xafbe…cfff#73 on the boardOllie Schmidwon (open this pick)$3530c+$81.6759
0xc397…bb3b#77 on the boardOllie Schmidwon (open this pick)$98838c+$1,634.7959
0x726b…1afe#78 on the boardOllie Schmidwon (open this pick)$59067c+$296.7559
0x52f4…2b15#79 on the boardOllie Schmidwon (open this pick)$66263c+$391.5259
0x6b23…04a3#89 on the boardOllie Schmidwon (open this pick)$47162c+$284.858
0x2d2d…b69d#98 on the boardOllie Schmidwon (open this pick)$16037c+$272.2158
0x8b6f…aab3#103 on the boardKeiichiro Nakamuralost (open this pick)$5437c-$53.6458
0xe650…0944#119 on the boardOllie Schmidwon (open this pick)$19124c+$608.458
0xb189…21ed#133 on the boardOllie Schmidwon (open this pick)$1,49873c+$563.3857
0xea06…39ac#165 on the boardKeiichiro Nakamuralost (open this pick)$2376c-$2357
0x58aa…a481#170 on the boardKeiichiro Nakamuralost (open this pick)$99076c-$989.6357
0xf8e4…3b32No place on the board tonightKeiichiro Nakamuralost (open this pick)$38645c-$386.2956
0x4a1b…724f#294 on the boardKeiichiro Nakamuralost (open this pick)$25477c-$254.155
0x1f64…3633#330 on the boardKeiichiro Nakamuralost (open this pick)$38575c-$385.4555
0x4cff…cbbc#516 on the boardKeiichiro Nakamuralost (open this pick)$68375c-$682.554

3 other settled markets of this event are not shown: no top wallet of the time held a qualified pick on them.

About this page

A settled market shows the wallets that were in the top 200 when it was played, the same wallets its open page showed, with the pick each one held to the end and whether it won. Their place on the board is tonight's. A market played before 1 November 2026, when we began to keep the top 200, shows the top 50 of that time.