Europa Conference League · resolved market
Malmö FF vs. FK Crvena zvezda: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0086a7bc79707118d159918b9ab07751c0b3e35bfdefe5e8bc7f81c1c3453d14
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,538
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,548
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,538 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 55c | 2,552$1,391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,160.34 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57a4…f0c0backed Yes | 58c | 893.53$519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$518.62 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Yes | 31c | 693.2$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.69 | 702 | 39.3%276 W · 426 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Yes | 42c | 520$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.2 | 201 | 32.3%65 W · 136 L | -9.9wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed Yes | 56c | 399.91$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.95 | 212 | 43.9%93 W · 119 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 44c | 389.25$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.98 | 361 | 36%130 W · 231 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Yes | 56c | 357.14$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | -5.8wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc938…af43backed Yes | 57c | 79$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.03 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd43…7b3fbacked Yes | 43c | 69.28$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.79 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 44c | 61.36$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.36 | 880 | 48.2%424 W · 456 L | +17.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb166…3105backed No | 44c | 60$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.6 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Yes | 45c | 55.56$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 75 | 28%21 W · 54 L | -9.5wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -41%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 51c | 48$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.6 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb906…2a75backed No | 43c | 46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.22 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Yes | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 109 | 63.3%69 W · 40 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x521c…64d2backed No | 43c | 33$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.81 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf280…b65bbacked No | 44c | 29.5$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68cc…24adbacked No | 43c | 29$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.53 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +2.7wins | +0.29per pick | 59cpaid | +46.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x768c…7243backed Yes | 56c | 23.3$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.05 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Malmö FF vs. FK Crvena zvezda: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Malmö FF vs. FK Crvena zvezda: O/U 1.5Under won
- Malmö FF vs. FK Crvena zvezda: O/U 2.5Under won
- Malmö FF vs. FK Crvena zvezda: O/U 3.5Under won
- Malmö FF vs. FK Crvena zvezda: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: FK Crvena zvezda (-1.5)Malmö FF won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.