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CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Walczaki vs ex-RUSTEC - Map 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
ex-RUSTECof Walczaki, ex-RUSTEC
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$33,728
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$38,458

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,728 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 85 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdbdd…a5debacked ex-RUSTEC45c4,403$1,994 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,409.027,99050.4%4,029 W · 3,961 L+180.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7460…de6ebacked Walczaki53c4,263$2,260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,259.644551.2%228 W · 217 L+7.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6e2c…787cbacked ex-RUSTEC49c3,479$1,719 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,760.3881744.7%365 W · 452 L-2.8wins0.00per pick45cpaid-23.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3db4…d69bbacked Walczaki54c3,000$1,620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,619.9875356.8%428 W · 325 L+48.1wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+13.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xddc3…029cbacked Walczaki56c3,000$1,680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,679.9892456.8%525 W · 399 L+2.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa16b…b541backed Walczaki52c1,679$880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$879.5243954.9%241 W · 198 L+13.2wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1186…0355backed Walczaki52c1,587$833 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$832.7323356.2%131 W · 102 L+10.7wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+8.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd33a…1fe2backed ex-RUSTEC46c1,000$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5405653.6%30 W · 26 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x882a…cde2backed Walczaki54c925.4$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.7216850.6%85 W · 83 L+0.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x43e2…9aeebacked ex-RUSTEC46c841.58$387 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$454.455240.4%21 W · 31 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4114…f750backed ex-RUSTEC47c754.21$353 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$401.695639.3%22 W · 34 L-3.9wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-27.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdc2b…cec3backed ex-RUSTEC46c672.73$307 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$365.278145.7%37 W · 44 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xccec…1dfcbacked ex-RUSTEC47c558.41$262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$295.9621146%97 W · 114 L-6.5wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xab04…a00abacked Walczaki50c550$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27517340.5%70 W · 103 L-10.4wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-14.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked ex-RUSTEC50c544.86$274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.471,89041.9%791 W · 1,099 L-71.8wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-21.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2cf5…d9f2backed Walczaki56c540$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302.42466.7%16 W · 8 L+2.2wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+9.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xeb87…eb45backed Walczaki55c529.52$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289.7210142.6%43 W · 58 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed ex-RUSTEC44c500$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2805,87637.7%2,213 W · 3,663 L+71.9wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd0ac…7deebacked ex-RUSTEC79c486.92$386 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.7943253%229 W · 203 L+27.6wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked ex-RUSTEC51c470.34$239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.583,54429.3%1,037 W · 2,507 L-289.1wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-43.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb55b…c5b4backed Walczaki50c465$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.7535153.8%189 W · 162 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6701…d7d2backed ex-RUSTEC47c446$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237.951446.9%241 W · 273 L-22.0wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-12.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3c67…e40ebacked ex-RUSTEC45c419.99$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23119642.9%84 W · 112 L-0.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0063…2dd2backed ex-RUSTEC59c400.66$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.7643764.3%281 W · 156 L+51.5wins+0.12per pick53cpaid+10.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x2c9e…fbfdbacked ex-RUSTEC47c370.36$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.3654743.7%239 W · 308 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x488a…cb68backed ex-RUSTEC47c363$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.394540%18 W · 27 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-15.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x79ac…9c87backed ex-RUSTEC50c346$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.7316349.1%80 W · 83 L+8.2wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+3.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked Walczaki34c339.32$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.354,75443.6%2,071 W · 2,683 L-85.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9ab3…3044backed ex-RUSTEC46c330.34$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.951,12142.5%476 W · 645 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe4c6…7457backed Walczaki40c315.13$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.815556.4%31 W · 24 L+4.1wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+19.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed ex-RUSTEC33c313.6$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.392,66430.8%820 W · 1,844 L-109.1wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-30.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed ex-RUSTEC45c296.97$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.332,64551.9%1,372 W · 1,273 L+21.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4bb…22a9backed Walczaki55c293.22$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.9927647.1%130 W · 146 L-9.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa24a…8382backed ex-RUSTEC47c280$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.414448.6%70 W · 74 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x489b…a6ecbacked ex-RUSTEC46c250$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1353737.8%14 W · 23 L-2.8wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-31%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc69b…2076backed ex-RUSTEC67c238.7$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.474845.8%22 W · 26 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-20.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb6c5…20d0backed Walczaki55c219.79$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.1361855%340 W · 278 L+11.7wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5672…7312backed ex-RUSTEC46c213.52$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.2462448.2%301 W · 323 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4b27…0635backed Walczaki54c210$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.433050%165 W · 165 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4fb0…6197backed ex-RUSTEC47c205$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.759058.9%53 W · 37 L+7.5wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+16.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x6326…6329backed ex-RUSTEC50c204.94$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.8460143.1%259 W · 342 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-7.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc269…7841backed ex-RUSTEC44c203.38$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.886936.2%25 W · 44 L-10.7wins-0.15per pick52cpaid-28.1%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked ex-RUSTEC57c185.94$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.35,03437.2%1,874 W · 3,160 L-260.4wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-32.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked ex-RUSTEC55c181.61$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.973,26745.5%1,485 W · 1,782 L-85.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdce3…7537backed ex-RUSTEC47c171.57$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.753554.3%19 W · 16 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x349e…867bbacked ex-RUSTEC47c170.02$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.7174653.5%399 W · 347 L+9.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked ex-RUSTEC34c168$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.872,79837.6%1,051 W · 1,747 L-138.2wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-20.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked ex-RUSTEC59c167.48$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.571,63243.2%705 W · 927 L-32.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb188…8be3backed ex-RUSTEC62c163.23$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.824558%142 W · 103 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc59f…954ebacked ex-RUSTEC47c151.06$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.0621653.2%115 W · 101 L+9.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+13.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x94d2…cfbdbacked ex-RUSTEC75c145.68$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.812,14347.3%1,013 W · 1,130 L-61.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-18.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x294b…22d2backed Walczaki56c143.1$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.6940455.4%224 W · 180 L+18.1wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+8.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed ex-RUSTEC63c143$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.762,55441.3%1,054 W · 1,500 L-116.5wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-22.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x19e5…dd71backed ex-RUSTEC47c141.75$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.6941853.6%224 W · 194 L-0.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Walczaki41c140.78$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.093,94936.5%1,443 W · 2,506 L-201.4wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-29.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x51cf…45fbbacked ex-RUSTEC45c140$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$772240.9%9 W · 13 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed ex-RUSTEC59c135.62$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.295,34131.3%1,674 W · 3,667 L-390.7wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5fe0…cc67backed ex-RUSTEC47c125$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.8520742.5%88 W · 119 L-17.5wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-18.7%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xfadf…8c2cbacked Walczaki54c118.64$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$642969%20 W · 9 L+2.4wins+0.08per pick61cpaid+14.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6b26…8c32backed Walczaki50c115.91$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.812750.4%64 W · 63 L+7.8wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd84d…cc32backed Walczaki56c100$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5633348.9%163 W · 170 L+8.7wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+1.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbc4b…ecc5backed ex-RUSTEC46c99.12$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.527142.3%30 W · 41 L-5.3wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-27.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd6c4…8930backed ex-RUSTEC47c91.49$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.496437.5%24 W · 40 L-5.5wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-30.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xeeae…a2fabacked Walczaki56c88.77$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.87350.7%37 W · 36 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+21.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x14f3…0796backed ex-RUSTEC56c81.75$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.389046.1%410 W · 480 L-20.7wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked ex-RUSTEC52c74.13$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.225,58047.2%2,632 W · 2,948 L+47.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Walczaki15c69.28$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.582,19543.1%946 W · 1,249 L-68.8wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-19.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5663…f2e5backed ex-RUSTEC46c67.13$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.1724152.3%126 W · 115 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked ex-RUSTEC48c62.6$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.632,53034.6%876 W · 1,654 L-193.6wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-37.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x8dd8…9a1cbacked ex-RUSTEC28c55$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.3511040.9%45 W · 65 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-21.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xedcc…41a1backed Walczaki55c55$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.2521953.4%117 W · 102 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked ex-RUSTEC58c48$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.232,39742.7%1,023 W · 1,374 L-73.6wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-20.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd87a…540dbacked Walczaki50c43.77$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.811643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-21.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xebf5…b1d0backed ex-RUSTEC47c42.8$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.6852850.6%267 W · 261 L+7.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3123…b44dbacked Walczaki37c40$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.619352.3%101 W · 92 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84d4…77a9backed ex-RUSTEC45c36.51$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.9611540.9%47 W · 68 L-13.1wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-27.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x83c8…3b6cbacked Walczaki49c35$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171,05157.2%601 W · 450 L+17.0wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked Walczaki44c33.05$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.425973%18 W · 579 L-221.0wins-0.37per pick40cpaid-90.7%equal weight11-0.36 edge/pick
0xb6d2…d67bbacked ex-RUSTEC49c31.12$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.741,31551.1%672 W · 643 L-99.5wins-0.08per pick59cpaid-18.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb41d…936dbacked ex-RUSTEC45c30.01$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.51742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-17.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5965…d26dbacked Walczaki53c30$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.94858.3%28 W · 20 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Walczaki37c29.13$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.851,59146.6%741 W · 850 L+30.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-11.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed Walczaki50c26$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.882,39346.7%1,118 W · 1,275 L-53.1wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-14.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe6e1…a8d8backed ex-RUSTEC47c25.53$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.53633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-25.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x47ca…e92bbacked Walczaki43c25$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.7514757.8%85 W · 62 L+5.3wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.