MLB · resolved market
Los Angeles Angels vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 8.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x013d49e9fb6e7a718d15edc95d531a9939861e596d0264c3c76da893a284941d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,755
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,804
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,755 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 49c | 5,460$2,696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,696.1 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde49…fe85backed Over | 52c | 5,000$2,599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,400.57 | 484 | 51%247 W · 237 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Over | 36c | 312.14$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.77 | 904 | 46.9%424 W · 480 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fcd…724dbacked Under | 56c | 200$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 102 | 49%50 W · 52 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 44c | 183.72$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.92 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 64c | 119.23$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.71 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff2a…bfefbacked Over | 36c | 105.56$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.56 | 313 | 43.5%136 W · 177 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e43…0306backed Over | 36c | 91.89$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.93 | 234 | 35%82 W · 152 L | -10.2wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc365…2e53backed Over | 70c | 75$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.85 | 1,607 | 53.2%855 W · 752 L | +74.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc72…cd13backed Over | 46c | 71$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.34 | 344 | 43.9%151 W · 193 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0954…012abacked Under | 57c | 70.18$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1,197 | 53.9%645 W · 552 L | +42.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc846…c413backed Under | 58c | 65.92$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.23 | 539 | 50.6%273 W · 266 L | +16.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88fb…db3abacked Under | 19c | 60$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 732 | 43.4%318 W · 414 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d69…ab3abacked Under | 58c | 51.72$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 144 | 50.7%73 W · 71 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Under | 49c | 46.82$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.94 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed Under | 61c | 40.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 170 | 47.1%80 W · 90 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Over | 39c | 40.98$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 295 | 47.1%139 W · 156 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Over | 44c | 38.75$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.7 | 716 | 50.7%363 W · 353 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Over | 44c | 36.97$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.7 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 56c | 35.1$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.61 | 2,376 | 49.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Over | 43c | 33.92$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.34 | 2,945 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed Under | 47c | 33.54$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.81 | 880 | 46.4%408 W · 472 L | -22.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2077…8161backed Over | 42c | 32.55$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.88 | 342 | 55.3%189 W · 153 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over | 45c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.57 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed Over | 46c | 26.57$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.35 | 474 | 46.6%221 W · 253 L | +26.0wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 43c | 25.94$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.78 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Over | 47c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.25 | 295 | 49.8%147 W · 148 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Under | 51c | 24.71$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.55 | 694 | 47.6%330 W · 364 L | -9.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Over | 68c | 24$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.75 | 1,814 | 49.1%891 W · 923 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Over | 46c | 23.16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.42 | 3,457 | 51.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L | +108.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 8.5this page
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Texas RangersLos Angeles Angels won
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 10.5Over won
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 11.5Over won
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 12.5Over won
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 6.5Over won
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 7.5Over won
- Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-1.5)Los Angeles Angels won
- Spread: Texas Rangers (-1.5)Los Angeles Angels won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.