MLB · resolved market
Spread: Texas Rangers (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x98471cbcb101aef6b63d437dd8ac56fc2b3e3f375726f386530eaa09d3ee78f2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Los Angeles Angelsof Texas Rangers, Los Angeles Angels
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,512
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,489
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,512 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Los Angeles Angels | 65c | 1,836$1,195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640.8 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Texas Rangers | 42c | 1,644$684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$683.58 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Los Angeles Angels | 59c | 1,563$922 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640.72 | 840 | 49.4%415 W · 425 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked Texas Rangers | 35c | 1,220$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426.84 | 826 | 36.6%302 W · 524 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Texas Rangers | 32c | 554.3$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.38 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Los Angeles Angels | 57c | 399.18$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.65 | 306 | 47.4%145 W · 161 L | -10.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Texas Rangers | 39c | 279$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.81 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ed2…0ddabacked Texas Rangers | 41c | 204.95$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.03 | 577 | 47.7%275 W · 302 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Texas Rangers | 31c | 202.88$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.89 | 295 | 49.8%147 W · 148 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Los Angeles Angels | 69c | 166.73$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.06 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e43…0306backed Texas Rangers | 26c | 153.45$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.3 | 234 | 35%82 W · 152 L | -10.2wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Los Angeles Angels | 61c | 146.74$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.56 | 1,851 | 53.1%982 W · 869 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Los Angeles Angels | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 994 | 47.3%470 W · 524 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed Texas Rangers | 38c | 89.49$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.01 | 182 | 48.4%88 W · 94 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Los Angeles Angels | 75c | 85.65$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.45 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d7c…a9b9backed Los Angeles Angels | 60c | 81.67$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.67 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Texas Rangers | 41c | 77.77$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.89 | 1,804 | 53.8%970 W · 834 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc23…a9f2backed Texas Rangers | 38c | 73$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.74 | 468 | 54.5%255 W · 213 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1719…ec68backed Texas Rangers | 38c | 73$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.74 | 721 | 54.2%391 W · 330 L | +20.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +144.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Texas Rangers | 39c | 69$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.05 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8499…950dbacked Texas Rangers | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 99 | 45.5%45 W · 54 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe2…6158backed Los Angeles Angels | 62c | 64.52$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.52 | 466 | 59.7%278 W · 188 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Los Angeles Angels | 59c | 61.34$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.15 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x702e…ff44backed Texas Rangers | 40c | 52$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 264 | 44.3%117 W · 147 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72f3…d396backed Los Angeles Angels | 62c | 48.39$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.39 | 506 | 47%238 W · 268 L | -21.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdef6…d18fbacked Los Angeles Angels | 62c | 48.39$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.39 | 453 | 48.6%220 W · 233 L | -13.9wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Texas Rangers | 39c | 45.13$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Los Angeles Angels | 60c | 36.45$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.66 | 528 | 52.1%275 W · 253 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Los Angeles Angels | 64c | 35$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x522f…1164backed Texas Rangers | 39c | 35$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.65 | 392 | 50.3%197 W · 195 L | +18.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0084…343fbacked Texas Rangers | 43c | 34.84$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bef…5f5dbacked Los Angeles Angels | 74c | 33.97$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.89 | 101 | 54.5%55 W · 46 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0977…53ccbacked Los Angeles Angels | 77c | 32.81$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.46 | 292 | 50.7%148 W · 144 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec66…e58fbacked Los Angeles Angels | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 312 | 50%156 W · 156 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Texas Rangers | 38c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 2,376 | 49.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d5…53d0backed Los Angeles Angels | 57c | 25.87$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.12 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf766…9251backed Los Angeles Angels | 61c | 17$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.63 | 1,464 | 63.5%929 W · 535 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Texas Rangers (-1.5)this page
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Texas RangersLos Angeles Angels won
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 10.5Over won
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 11.5Over won
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 12.5Over won
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 6.5Over won
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 7.5Over won
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 8.5Over won
- Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-1.5)Los Angeles Angels won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.