Tennis · resolved market
Set Handicap: Zverev (-1.5) vs Blockx (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0181a3cc20f77ad91056dc0dd059ac680ec9c5342879f0bd16a35cd792808927
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Zverevof Zverev, Blockx
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,080
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,134
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,080 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8a26…937ebacked Zverev | 60c | 833.6$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.6 | 459 | 57.5%264 W · 195 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Blockx | 40c | 817.51$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc16…40a5backed Zverev | 58c | 509.17$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.85 | 1,118 | 42.8%479 W · 639 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Blockx | 42c | 367.12$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.3 | 2,229 | 45%1,002 W · 1,227 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc470…c792backed Zverev | 59c | 340.5$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.5 | 1,504 | 35.1%528 W · 976 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4f9…9419backed Blockx | 47c | 299.97$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.99 | 308 | 27.6%85 W · 223 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4be6…b010backed Blockx | 46c | 219.15$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,428 | 48.2%689 W · 739 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bcf…ef2fbacked Blockx | 44c | 181.56$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.2 | 97 | 55.7%54 W · 43 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b75…6679backed Zverev | 59c | 170.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.19 | 123 | 50.4%62 W · 61 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Blockx | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 1,510 | 37.7%569 W · 941 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2127…37f2backed Zverev | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 240 | 55%132 W · 108 L | -15.2wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc60b…d9f7backed Zverev | 52c | 84.58$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.6 | 354 | 39.8%141 W · 213 L | -15.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeca0…e8f8backed Zverev | 55c | 81.56$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.7 | 68 | 52.9%36 W · 32 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7e…70ecbacked Blockx | 46c | 75$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 1,001 | 45.4%454 W · 547 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2bd6…fd33backed Zverev | 53c | 70$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.9 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4ec…1cc8backed Blockx | 47c | 51.06$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 323 | 33.4%108 W · 215 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0d…7a36backed Blockx | 48c | 47.92$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9e4…24c2backed Blockx | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 267 | 59.6%159 W · 108 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29b1…ca10backed Blockx | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 155 | 44.5%69 W · 86 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba90…a450backed Blockx | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 48 | 60.4%29 W · 19 L | +5.5wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x319e…de42backed Zverev | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 165 | 52.1%86 W · 79 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8cf…e4a2backed Zverev | 55c | 36.59$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.59 | 80 | 57.5%46 W · 34 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5f3…bf7cbacked Blockx | 44c | 29.55$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Blockx | 40c | 29.35$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.74 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64c3…75abbacked Zverev | 59c | 28.81$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.81 | 115 | 45.2%52 W · 63 L | -6.5wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeefe…32aabacked Zverev | 58c | 20.69$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.69 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +51.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd78e…6421backed Zverev | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 935 | 57.3%536 W · 399 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ec2…b5d7backed Zverev | 53c | 19.08$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.97 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set Handicap: Zverev (-1.5) vs Blockx (+1.5)this page
- Alexander Blockx vs. Alexander Zverev: Total Sets O/U 2.5Under 2.5 won
- Blockx vs. Zverev: Match O/U 21.5Under won
- Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Alexander Blockx vs Alexander ZverevAlexander Zverev won
- Set 1 Winner: Blockx vs ZverevZverev won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.