Cricket · resolved market
Kwibuka T20 Tournament, Women: Brazil vs Nigeria
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x01e12afa3f5cac603523557aebcb9a123d3c3de32db525088cc9e50d5dee1715
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Brazilof Brazil, Nigeria
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,967
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,998
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,967 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe6cd…d3b2backed Brazil | 51c | 3,071$1,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,511.56 | 175 | 35.4%62 W · 113 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb693…cfc9backed Brazil | 52c | 1,210$624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$586.36 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +62.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Nigeria | 46c | 1,052$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.31 | 423 | 44.2%187 W · 236 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Nigeria | 48c | 944.39$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455.24 | 388 | 44.6%173 W · 215 L | -10.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93a0…6623backed Nigeria | 34c | 899.98$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.99 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Nigeria | 48c | 765.69$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.85 | 492 | 47.2%232 W · 260 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa54d…deb8backed Brazil | 59c | 750.81$442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.81 | 33 | 72.7%24 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 68cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Nigeria | 53c | 657.08$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.71 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Nigeria | 18c | 635.75$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.43 | 438 | 40.9%179 W · 259 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5713…a086backed Nigeria | 12c | 530$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.6 | 90 | 48.9%44 W · 46 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ff2…fd39backed Brazil | 68c | 497.66$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.51 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -26%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe99b…d599backed Nigeria | 41c | 462.29$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.26 | 202 | 51.5%104 W · 98 L | +10.8wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Nigeria | 51c | 375.87$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.19 | 220 | 36.4%80 W · 140 L | -23.6wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Brazil | 53c | 340.05$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.15 | 171 | 55.6%95 W · 76 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef77…c481backed Brazil | 54c | 337.53$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.39 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Nigeria | 36c | 334.84$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.66 | 419 | 47.5%199 W · 220 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Nigeria | 33c | 316.68$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.04 | 271 | 41.3%112 W · 159 L | -8.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -28%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20b4…bfa2backed Brazil | 52c | 287.79$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.79 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d46…3e2dbacked Nigeria | 56c | 274.61$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.61 | 73 | 17.8%13 W · 60 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2294…4cd3backed Nigeria | 53c | 238.96$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.1 | 679 | 31.4%213 W · 466 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Nigeria | 45c | 232.36$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.3 | 636 | 46.4%295 W · 341 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…ca84backed Nigeria | 18c | 200$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.4 | 78 | 42.3%33 W · 45 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…0448backed Nigeria | 32c | 199.99$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 310 | 27.4%85 W · 225 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Nigeria | 35c | 156.83$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.35 | 310 | 50%155 W · 155 L | +11.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Nigeria | 45c | 144.99$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.86 | 184 | 19.6%36 W · 148 L | -25.2wins | -0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -63.1%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Brazil | 74c | 111.34$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.45 | 122 | 50.8%62 W · 60 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Brazil | 56c | 96$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.14 | 180 | 52.8%95 W · 85 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Nigeria | 51c | 95.81$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.11 | 270 | 29.6%80 W · 190 L | -9.5wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -34%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a0c…1833backed Nigeria | 58c | 78$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.9 | 50 | 64%32 W · 18 L | +4.0wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa5…3bc2backed Brazil | 44c | 70.55$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.55 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Brazil | 69c | 66.19$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.83 | 159 | 36.5%58 W · 101 L | -12.5wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Brazil | 45c | 62.33$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.99 | 456 | 47.6%217 W · 239 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Nigeria | 52c | 59.71$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.13 | 200 | 37%74 W · 126 L | -10.3wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2bf3…4f00backed Nigeria | 48c | 58.33$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.84 | 65 | 63.1%41 W · 24 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfd…dfe7backed Nigeria | 54c | 55.86$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.32 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed Nigeria | 44c | 53$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.21 | 196 | 54.1%106 W · 90 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbad4…f62bbacked Brazil | 51c | 51.17$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.27 | 117 | 41%48 W · 69 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5df0…4adfbacked Brazil | 61c | 50.03$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.43 | 132 | 47.7%63 W · 69 L | +8.0wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x43f3…293cbacked Brazil | 49c | 49.16$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.07 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.31per pick | 44cpaid | +59.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…0cc9backed Nigeria | 51c | 47.42$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Nigeria | 57c | 46.26$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.34 | 654 | 51.1%334 W · 320 L | +26.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c2…45b2backed Brazil | 54c | 41$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.95 | 74 | 39.2%29 W · 45 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31bf…0082backed Brazil | 54c | 39.59$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.36 | 288 | 30.2%87 W · 201 L | -8.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Nigeria | 44c | 35.9$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.83 | 111 | 6.3%7 W · 104 L | -18.9wins | -0.17per pick | 23cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x22f3…6c94backed Brazil | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 360 | 47.5%171 W · 189 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82ca…3135backed Brazil | 61c | 31.61$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.46 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x65ec…a2f9backed Brazil | 58c | 29.29$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.29 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed Brazil | 63c | 23$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 109 | 45%49 W · 60 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.