Lol · resolved market
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Team Phantasma - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x02bce3d5cf6a9a5078f02ac6def3e04e2e394b56613229dfc22f56658b27b6f3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Eintracht Spandauof Eintracht Spandau, Team Phantasma
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,729
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,729 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1bdd…23dcbacked Team Phantasma | 28c | 6,740$1,881 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,881.18 | 171 | 63.2%108 W · 63 L | +18.6wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7a46…ab25backed Eintracht Spandau | 74c | 4,709$3,472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,237.11 | 89 | 44.9%40 W · 49 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked Eintracht Spandau | 74c | 1,700$1,258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442 | 2,004 | 58.2%1,166 W · 838 L | +86.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7787backed Eintracht Spandau | 71c | 1,419$1,012 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.62 | 644 | 43%277 W · 367 L | -27.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf61a…5943backed Team Phantasma | 28c | 1,177$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 134 | 18.7%25 W · 109 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | +7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Team Phantasma | 29c | 899.5$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.98 | 142 | 28.2%40 W · 102 L | -9.6wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Team Phantasma | 33c | 750.35$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.62 | 1,003 | 42.5%426 W · 577 L | -24.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Eintracht Spandau | 72c | 743.96$534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.99 | 2,226 | 37.5%834 W · 1,392 L | -29.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e15…7ec8backed Eintracht Spandau | 72c | 712$513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.36 | 33 | 69.7%23 W · 10 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Team Phantasma | 26c | 704.31$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.54 | 2,905 | 38.5%1,119 W · 1,786 L | -118.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb17a…c30dbacked Eintracht Spandau | 76c | 618.04$469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.03 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +48.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0b4…834ebacked Eintracht Spandau | 72c | 555.56$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.56 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 70cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe9…9c50backed Eintracht Spandau | 73c | 500$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134 | 263 | 54%142 W · 121 L | -16.8wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4c67…9896backed Eintracht Spandau | 67c | 500$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166 | 506 | 46%233 W · 273 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Team Phantasma | 33c | 468.87$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.73 | 854 | 42.7%365 W · 489 L | -14.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Eintracht Spandau | 71c | 415.14$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.99 | 2,495 | 47.3%1,181 W · 1,314 L | -32.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1365…c82abacked Eintracht Spandau | 75c | 387.69$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.6 | 989 | 56.8%562 W · 427 L | +24.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbed4…f891backed Eintracht Spandau | 70c | 377.33$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.95 | 512 | 47.3%242 W · 270 L | -9.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Team Phantasma | 6c | 339$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.82 | 3,131 | 33.8%1,058 W · 2,073 L | -150.7wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x634a…07b2backed Eintracht Spandau | 73c | 203.16$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.42 | 58 | 56.9%33 W · 25 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f05…85c5backed Eintracht Spandau | 75c | 201.07$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.9 | 398 | 61.8%246 W · 152 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Eintracht Spandau | 72c | 195.78$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.86 | 2,341 | 40.3%943 W · 1,398 L | -61.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4a3…bce8backed Team Phantasma | 29c | 190$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.1 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +3.8wins | +0.18per pick | 39cpaid | +52.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…b98bbacked Eintracht Spandau | 75c | 164$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.34 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.19per pick | 61cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79df…31d6backed Eintracht Spandau | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 689 | 42.5%293 W · 396 L | +16.7wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x866a…de80backed Team Phantasma | 20c | 147.63$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 226 | 17.7%40 W · 186 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -24%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d83…272cbacked Eintracht Spandau | 71c | 140$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 592 | 41.9%248 W · 344 L | -16.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7044…2eb6backed Eintracht Spandau | 77c | 128.01$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.74 | 338 | 57.1%193 W · 145 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc155…d550backed Eintracht Spandau | 72c | 112.89$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.81 | 148 | 54.7%81 W · 67 L | -10.4wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf26b…f3b8backed Team Phantasma | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 289 | 23.5%68 W · 221 L | -9.6wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf859…a183backed Team Phantasma | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1,213 | 52.3%635 W · 578 L | +33.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200e…e21dbacked Team Phantasma | 20c | 99.03$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 997 | 47.1%470 W · 527 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Team Phantasma | 28c | 79.99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.56 | 1,643 | 44.4%730 W · 913 L | -42.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed Eintracht Spandau | 67c | 79.96$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.02 | 180 | 41.7%75 W · 105 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc093…de0ebacked Eintracht Spandau | 72c | 78.65$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.02 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Team Phantasma | 26c | 72$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.36 | 1,224 | 48.3%591 W · 633 L | +26.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf0…b95dbacked Team Phantasma | 29c | 71.61$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa649…af7dbacked Eintracht Spandau | 74c | 68$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.68 | 81 | 61.7%50 W · 31 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x664b…17e0backed Team Phantasma | 24c | 63.51$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 109 | 7.3%8 W · 101 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3e…5d9dbacked Team Phantasma | 26c | 57.69$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 480 | 42.3%203 W · 277 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2091…b4f8backed Team Phantasma | 25c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 1,175 | 47.4%557 W · 618 L | +42.9wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Eintracht Spandau | 72c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 539 | 54.7%295 W · 244 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34d5…e0c1backed Eintracht Spandau | 79c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 428 | 52.3%224 W · 204 L | +19.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Team Phantasma | 26c | 46.44$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.08 | 1,831 | 17.1%313 W · 1,518 L | -236.0wins | -0.13per pick | 30cpaid | -46%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x3123…b44dbacked Eintracht Spandau | 72c | 40$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.2 | 153 | 59.5%91 W · 62 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x113d…a76bbacked Eintracht Spandau | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 95 | 65.3%62 W · 33 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a3a…f788backed Eintracht Spandau | 69c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.1 | 78 | 37.2%29 W · 49 L | -9.9wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…af90backed Eintracht Spandau | 74c | 17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.42 | 140 | 67.9%95 W · 45 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Eintracht Spandau | 68c | 16.88$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 1,368 | 37.7%516 W · 852 L | -6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Eintracht Spandau | 72c | 15.28$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.28 | 1,310 | 37.3%489 W · 821 L | -86.3wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c5…20d0backed Eintracht Spandau | 72c | 13.9$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.89 | 460 | 58%267 W · 193 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Team Phantasma - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Game Handicap: ES (-1.5) vs Team Phantasma (+1.5)Eintracht Spandau won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Team Phantasma (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group HEintracht Spandau won
- LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Team Phantasma - Game 2 WinnerEintracht Spandau won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.