Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0314363964fa0d31d9655e097e92b886527b84651c163ddb9357589bc2e9a088
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $106,105
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $100,086
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $106,105 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1660…5598backed Under | 61c | 70,195$42,714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,481.38 | 86 | 48.8%42 W · 44 L | -7.6wins | -0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Over | 39c | 29,256$11,466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,465.63 | 255 | 46.3%118 W · 137 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 39c | 20,378$7,944 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,943.6 | 1,224 | 48.3%591 W · 633 L | +26.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Over | 45c | 4,807$2,157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,157.19 | 1,113 | 39%434 W · 679 L | -44.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6401…f240backed Under | 34c | 3,959$1,329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,630.43 | 379 | 48.3%183 W · 196 L | +12.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37e9…eedebacked Under | 58c | 2,169$1,259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$910.55 | 174 | 44.8%78 W · 96 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e32…ab65backed Over | 39c | 1,668$651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650.54 | 2,156 | 53.2%1,148 W · 1,008 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…e82bbacked Over | 2c | 1,636$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.92 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc69b…2076backed Over | 42c | 1,174$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.43 | 697 | 41.5%289 W · 408 L | -17.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Over | 39c | 1,000$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 3,584 | 40.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L | +31.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc56…8f28backed Over | 40c | 856.94$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.41 | 156 | 48.7%76 W · 80 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5556…2759backed Under | 61c | 832.5$508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.55 | 624 | 51.4%321 W · 303 L | -10.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f41…5ffcbacked Under | 76c | 738.33$563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.74 | 239 | 48.1%115 W · 124 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1947…02b4backed Under | 38c | 650.52$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.52 | 167 | 45.5%76 W · 91 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Under | 61c | 535.18$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.72 | 2,938 | 44.5%1,308 W · 1,630 L | -92.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 60c | 483.08$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.37 | 294 | 47.6%140 W · 154 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed Under | 54c | 427.08$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.7 | 978 | 54.4%532 W · 446 L | +48.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Under | 33c | 361.89$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.23 | 1,134 | 31%352 W · 782 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…db0dbacked Under | 59c | 331.75$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.32 | 281 | 49.8%140 W · 141 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 43c | 310.67$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.1 | 2,508 | 39.8%999 W · 1,509 L | -76.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x584f…54b9backed Under | 62c | 259.89$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.91 | 192 | 59.9%115 W · 77 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf247…d8cabacked Over | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 118 | 58.5%69 W · 49 L | +12.7wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Over | 60c | 249.94$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.96 | 2,679 | 35.7%957 W · 1,722 L | -153.5wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed1…fd2abacked Under | 59c | 235$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.5 | 356 | 42.4%151 W · 205 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa65c…509dbacked Over | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 72 | 51.4%37 W · 35 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12d3…42e4backed Over | 39c | 222.33$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.71 | 264 | 40.9%108 W · 156 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d38…6f08backed Under | 59c | 200$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 626 | 49.8%312 W · 314 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d0a…1bd3backed Over | 42c | 178.57$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 56c | 168$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.26 | 1,971 | 30.5%601 W · 1,370 L | -170.0wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfe9b…cbe5backed Under | 55c | 164$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.8 | 53 | 30.2%16 W · 37 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c1e…befebacked Under | 62c | 161.3$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 205 | 52.7%108 W · 97 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc124…bd0fbacked Over | 68c | 122.86$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.96 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e3e…637cbacked Over | 41c | 121.95$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c1a…0db5backed Over | 62c | 102.11$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.36 | 86 | 46.5%40 W · 46 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Over | 67c | 100.31$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.85 | 1,170 | 66.2%774 W · 396 L | +69.6wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2110…306fbacked Under | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 191 | 61.8%118 W · 73 L | +10.0wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed Under | 50c | 95.04$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.07 | 637 | 42.7%272 W · 365 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe803…b60ebacked Under | 62c | 81.19$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.85 | 273 | 56.8%155 W · 118 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe0b…84a5backed Over | 63c | 79.08$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78fb…56bcbacked Under | 61c | 65.85$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.85 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca5f…41f5backed Over | 68c | 62.61$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.27 | 211 | 55%116 W · 95 L | +7.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Under | 61c | 60.47$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.58 | 453 | 38%172 W · 281 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Under | 62c | 55$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.17 | 549 | 34.8%191 W · 358 L | -15.6wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc925…6d24backed Over | 26c | 54.63$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 634 | 26%165 W · 469 L | -90.0wins | -0.14per pick | 40cpaid | -54%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Under | 60c | 53$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.2 | 171 | 36.3%62 W · 109 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Under | 39c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.3 | 358 | 44.4%159 W · 199 L | -15.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3123…b44dbacked Over | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 153 | 59.5%91 W · 62 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c09…5badbacked Over | 39c | 45$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.55 | 122 | 61.5%75 W · 47 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x997c…51f3backed Under | 38c | 42.52$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.4 | 193 | 42%81 W · 112 L | -14.0wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Under | 38c | 42.28$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.29 | 301 | 46.2%139 W · 162 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed Under | 31c | 40.01$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.56 | 186 | 39.2%73 W · 113 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cd3…226ebacked Under | 44c | 40$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.3 | 556 | 28.6%159 W · 397 L | -31.8wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3ad1…b4c5backed Under | 37c | 39.91$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.14 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf9…61f3backed Over | 26c | 39.21$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.19 | 47 | 21.3%10 W · 37 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8038…9547backed Under | 61c | 36.74$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 85 | 57.6%49 W · 36 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f87…f04ebacked Over | 65c | 34.52$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.44 | 222 | 65.3%145 W · 77 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +52.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb98…c6c5backed Over | 45c | 31$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.95 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +2.7wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 54c | 28.12$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.05 | 1,606 | 17.5%281 W · 1,325 L | -245.0wins | -0.15per pick | 33cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x077c…5df1backed Over | 39c | 27.87$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.87 | 63 | 60.3%38 W · 25 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7d…7862backed Under | 61c | 27.87$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.87 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Over | 40c | 25.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.42 | 180 | 51.1%92 W · 88 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a6a…56bdbacked Under | 61c | 25.25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.97 | 58 | 60.3%35 W · 23 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Over | 46c | 21.87$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 395 | 7.1%28 W · 367 L | -122.2wins | -0.31per pick | 38cpaid | -74.1%equal weight | 18-0.29 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- First Blood in Game 1?EDward Gaming won
- Game Handicap: EDG (-1.5) vs Team WE (+1.5)EDward Gaming won
- Game Handicap: WE (-1.5) vs EDward Gaming (+1.5)EDward Gaming won
- LoL: Team WE vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group AscendEDward Gaming won
- LoL: Team WE vs EDward Gaming - Game 1 WinnerEDward Gaming won
- LoL: Team WE vs EDward Gaming - Game 2 WinnerEDward Gaming won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.