CS2 · resolved market
Will Team Spirit win ESL Pro League Season 23?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x041a9a0cbc7af2c0411b8f04f0bc72a3e293e7faf0418fba83db78d51b4047f6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,804
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,804 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed No | 78c | 2,755$2,146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$608.99 | 1,081 | 50.9%550 W · 531 L | +37.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d9e…456bbacked Yes | 50c | 1,013$503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.86 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +57.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f18…2080backed Yes | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580 | 38 | 68.4%26 W · 12 L | +3.3wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa4…16e3backed No | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 765 | 46.7%357 W · 408 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 2c | 922$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.8 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc23e…1461backed Yes | 34c | 897$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.44 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b2f…16c4backed No | 59c | 416.04$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.98 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed Yes | 7c | 353.5$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.85 | 37 | 16.2%6 W · 31 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 8cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd23d…9d38backed Yes | 43c | 230.11$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 64 | 59.4%38 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Yes | 9c | 194$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.55 | 176 | 44.9%79 W · 97 L | +9.4wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed Yes | 61c | 176.31$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 736 | 58.2%428 W · 308 L | -22.8wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16f0…aba5backed Yes | 41c | 103.29$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.29 | 182 | 61%111 W · 71 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 55c | 101$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.71 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x846c…0366backed Yes | 50c | 85.76$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.83 | 189 | 63.5%120 W · 69 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 30c | 60$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.2 | 295 | 47.8%141 W · 154 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3865…fcbebacked No | 61c | 41.11$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.12 | 79 | 67.1%53 W · 26 L | +10.5wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0f0d…9115backed Yes | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 57 | 71.9%41 W · 16 L | +5.2wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +18%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b26…57e9backed No | 69c | 18.12$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.62 | 1,485 | 58%862 W · 623 L | +66.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Team Spirit win ESL Pro League Season 23?this page
- Will Astralis win ESL Pro League Season 23?No won
- Will Aurora Gaming win ESL Pro League Season 23?No won
- Will FUT Esports win ESL Pro League Season 23?No won
- Will Legacy win ESL Pro League Season 23?No won
- Will MOUZ win ESL Pro League Season 23?No won
- Will Natus Vincere win ESL Pro League Season 23?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.