Bundesliga · resolved market
Will Eintracht Braunschweig vs. Hertha BSC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x04672143890bf7911c9cf31d699f962bfb47a34ebb619e9cd5b53029f1aef927
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $65,652
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $65,523
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $65,652 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 5c | 21,428$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990.21 | 310 | 45.2%140 W · 170 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 1c | 12,232$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.67 | 352 | 37.2%131 W · 221 L | -11.0wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c80…93b5backed Yes | 31c | 6,452$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 56 | 37.5%21 W · 35 L | -5.7wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4155…fa41backed Yes | 30c | 4,028$1,208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,208.5 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +3.2wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 5c | 2,590$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.31 | 61 | 39.3%24 W · 37 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc98f…a13fbacked Yes | 2c | 1,150$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.25 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -71.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c02…23bcbacked Yes | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe5b…8abcbacked Yes | 27c | 740.74$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb01…7dfbbacked Yes | 2c | 580$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Yes | 9c | 557.64$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.49 | 98 | 54.1%53 W · 45 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc785…4ef2backed Yes | 5c | 540.52$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.47 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.16per pick | 44cpaid | -59.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x37e6…794ebacked Yes | 4c | 500$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x999a…9a25backed Yes | 8c | 445.76$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.89 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -63.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed No | 78c | 256.41$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.41 | 545 | 40.9%223 W · 322 L | -13.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 80c | 249.95$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.81 | 514 | 42.2%217 W · 297 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 73c | 225.93$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61 | 671 | 45.6%306 W · 365 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 27c | 182.04$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.15 | 71 | 33.8%24 W · 47 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -34%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79b5…df9bbacked Yes | 34c | 153.62$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.23 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe419…8aedbacked Yes | 23c | 135.58$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.51 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -28%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked No | 78c | 86.74$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.27 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b80…8b39backed Yes | 34c | 76.26$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.76 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46d4…ab12backed Yes | 26c | 66.75$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.56 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 24cpaid | -52.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8973…f760backed Yes | 16c | 62.39$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 12cpaid | +56.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed No | 73c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed No | 78c | 38.85$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.55 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5317…9a3bbacked No | 75c | 35.26$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 73c | 25.96$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.01 | 1,108 | 50.5%560 W · 548 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9079…b19bbacked No | 69c | 16.7$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.18 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed No | 74c | 13.64$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.55 | 88 | 42%37 W · 51 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Eintracht Braunschweig vs. Hertha BSC end in a draw?this page
- Will Eintracht Braunschweig win on 2026-08-28?No won
- Will Hertha BSC win on 2026-08-28?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.