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Bundesliga · resolved market

Will Hertha BSC win on 2026-08-28?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$116,515
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$128,403

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $116,515 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 103 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0346…52a5backed No32c21,534$6,834 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,833.7731045.2%140 W · 170 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No2c14,220$268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$267.6635237.2%131 W · 221 L-11.0wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-20.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe020…f39bbacked No60c4,955$2,959 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,959.0720%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes38c3,772$1,447 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,324.92,56439.8%1,020 W · 1,544 L-8.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-11.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x282f…7c4ebacked No61c3,500$2,135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,134.96366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+32.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Yes35c2,574$903 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,670.3251442.2%217 W · 297 L-1.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-11.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x821d…cf16backed Yes41c2,346$956 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,390.854129.3%12 W · 29 L-5.0wins-0.12per pick41cpaid-51.6%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x4348…f08abacked No14c2,282$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$330.520%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes38c1,540$585 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$954.6573151.7%378 W · 353 L+25.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+10.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x851b…961ebacked Yes41c1,466$601 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$864.851233.3%4 W · 8 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick33cpaid+3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Yes15c1,452$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,237.691,02444.4%455 W · 569 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-20.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked No19c1,442$271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271.499854.1%53 W · 45 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x50ab…144bbacked Yes34c1,325$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$874.79366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.41per pick26cpaid+156.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x999a…9a25backed No19c1,278$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244.87520%1 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick23cpaid-63.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc686…5a55backed Yes28c1,100$308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$792.324432%78 W · 166 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed No62c1,049$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$650.197133.8%24 W · 47 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-34%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa0dc…586cbacked Yes40c950$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5703036.7%11 W · 19 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe419…8aedbacked Yes18c931.8$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$766.383327.3%9 W · 24 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-28%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x81a7…7042backed Yes71c844.93$599 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.71127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.14per pick42cpaid-60%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x911b…344fbacked Yes42c842.86$354 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$488.86333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-20.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed No78c817.59$641 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$641.4654540.9%223 W · 322 L-13.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-10.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc785…4ef2backed No33c772.57$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.591428.6%4 W · 10 L-2.2wins-0.16per pick44cpaid-59.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x652b…e9c9backed No16c668.75$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10710%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x56f4…9ec5backed Yes79c645.96$513 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.682433.3%8 W · 16 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-32.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Yes71c584.16$413 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.153548.6%17 W · 18 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-12.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes40c555.57$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$331.6914250%71 W · 71 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+12%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x25ae…affabacked Yes42c516.67$217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$299.671100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f0f…0e48backed No33c516.61$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-13.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f88…ca10backed No40c505.08$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001030%3 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-15.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8314…0f1ebacked No61c500$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3054663%29 W · 17 L+6.1wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+25.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x23bc…5487backed No5c425.63$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.423727%10 W · 27 L-6.4wins-0.17per pick44cpaid-47.2%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0xa0bd…3338backed No60c416.67$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe1e3…f1bdbacked No72c381$274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$274.32862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick65cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes40c368.75$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.251,69145%761 W · 930 L+6.3wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa032…2090backed No49c358.52$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.47425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-67.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfcc7…4d38backed No61c326.22$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.99333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.34per pick68cpaid-46.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x20ad…f368backed No40c282.72$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.3160%0 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfcd0…b719backed No61c261.58$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.5610%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed No59c250$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.5445055.3%249 W · 201 L+22.7wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+11.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc243…5e94backed Yes41c246$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.14540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-16.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf740…bbdabacked Yes26c220.21$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.01425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5317…9a3bbacked Yes70c211$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.3944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-31.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No59c190.99$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.6843345%195 W · 238 L-14.1wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-11.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Yes39c184.45$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.5267145.6%306 W · 365 L+8.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x61f6…e497backed No28c182.44$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.521250%6 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d6a…4adabacked Yes60c166.66$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.663855.3%21 W · 17 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+15.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6e49…e7debacked Yes27c140.92$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.512475%18 W · 6 L+6.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+92.3%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0xb4cc…09a3backed Yes79c139$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.981100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe24e…eecebacked No16c137.5$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2210%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9930…696ebacked Yes18c136.62$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.852556%14 W · 11 L+3.2wins+0.13per pick43cpaid+39.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9f6d…bfc5backed Yes39c135.87$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.884742.6%20 W · 27 L-3.2wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-7.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5403…edd5backed Yes38c130.64$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.642100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+95.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes41c128.08$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.061250%6 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x05fe…358bbacked Yes40c125.21$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.21650%3 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+0.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7203…795abacked Yes40c125$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.556962.3%43 W · 26 L+4.3wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+12.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Yes40c118.07$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.8427445.3%124 W · 150 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe368…e9edbacked Yes43c116.28$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.281070%7 W · 3 L+3.6wins+0.36per pick34cpaid+116.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked No19c107.99$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.325962.7%37 W · 22 L+5.3wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+2.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x089c…4dc4backed Yes64c105$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.436942%29 W · 40 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-16.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No36c104.75$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.1650143.5%218 W · 283 L-0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid+22.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Yes39c100$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.51513.3%2 W · 13 L-5.6wins-0.37per pick51cpaid-72.5%equal weight34-0.14 edge/pick
0xc057…4d23backed Yes21c93.52$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.59633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick31cpaid+6.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed No59c84.67$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.317345.7%79 W · 94 L+0.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed No48c80.76$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.748842%37 W · 51 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-17.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b78…473dbacked Yes39c80$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.85558.2%32 W · 23 L+2.7wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+31.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed No62c80$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.62657.7%15 W · 11 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked No26c75$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.514955.7%83 W · 66 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3820…ffc3backed Yes39c73$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.53560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.15per pick45cpaid+52.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xea88…261abacked Yes70c70.07$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.02837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-49.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1683…3cc1backed No29c68.97$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x93f9…9ccbbacked No45c68.7$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.78333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9900…5cc9backed Yes74c67.56$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.57450%2 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.15per pick35cpaid-19.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes42c64.13$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.1320536.6%75 W · 130 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-12.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2755…3132backed Yes16c64.06$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.061100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.84per pick16cpaid+540.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4155…fa41backed Yes55c61.89$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.12665.4%17 W · 9 L+3.2wins+0.12per pick53cpaid+16.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xcf34…9e2bbacked Yes40c60.67$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked No37c60.08$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.527635.5%27 W · 49 L-8.8wins-0.12per pick47cpaid-31.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x2f3d…0a1dbacked No72c57.83$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.6410%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9079…b19bbacked No32c53.69$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.195853.4%31 W · 27 L-0.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8e90…4f65backed Yes41c50.2$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.621637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-25.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5266…aac8backed Yes25c50$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.5650%3 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+35.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x86ba…2cf3backed No61c49.18$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.31per pick65cpaid-56.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes40c46$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.62832.1%9 W · 19 L-2.8wins-0.10per pick42cpaid-31.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x46d4…ab12backed Yes26c44.87$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.17812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.12per pick24cpaid-52.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x90b3…0de0backed Yes72c41.67$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.671100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e49…5166backed Yes30c40.33$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.332100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+160.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x72ea…487abacked Yes40c40$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.05250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+25.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Yes31c37.57$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.913542.9%15 W · 20 L-3.9wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-16.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x60ac…7ad0backed No58c32.88$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.0740%0 W · 4 L-2.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes71c29$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.534946.9%23 W · 26 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-18.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa1fc…e039backed Yes77c28$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.44366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc730…c568backed Yes54c27.58$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.71520%1 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.28per pick48cpaid-62.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8d41…6a2ebacked Yes55c27.26$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.39560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid-5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes70c27$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.122969%158 W · 71 L+13.1wins+0.06per pick63cpaid+25.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No60c22.33$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.491,10850.5%560 W · 548 L+6.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6615…3e28backed Yes48c20.94$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.943100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+96.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb595…5922backed Yes65c20.48$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.082075%15 W · 5 L+1.7wins+0.08per pick67cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa95a…6b78backed No61c20.38$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.4310%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x66fc…2a1fbacked Yes70c20$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.91475%3 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick73cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7c14…0f12backed Yes72c20$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.71100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick72cpaid+39.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.