Bundesliga · resolved market
Will Eintracht Braunschweig win on 2026-08-28?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5c8d49856c4f89a8764de76083337fdb9307d1dba55df5ea4cfb97183a9d4aa8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $82,837
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $91,677
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $82,837 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed No | 66c | 9,228$6,098 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,129.69 | 142 | 50%71 W · 71 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 21c | 5,898$1,217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,217.42 | 310 | 45.2%140 W · 170 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x821d…cf16backed Yes | 36c | 4,866$1,758 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,758.38 | 41 | 29.3%12 W · 29 L | -5.0wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 63c | 4,327$2,707 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,620.3 | 514 | 42.2%217 W · 297 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc785…4ef2backed Yes | 4c | 3,535$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.27 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.16per pick | 44cpaid | -59.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 34c | 2,992$1,017 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,017.36 | 731 | 51.7%378 W · 353 L | +25.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed No | 77c | 2,249$1,735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$513.46 | 545 | 40.9%223 W · 322 L | -13.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc56…8f28backed No | 53c | 1,887$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$886.79 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 11c | 1,568$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.87 | 860 | 32.7%281 W · 579 L | -15.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0f…0e48backed No | 73c | 1,314$964 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.07 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 34c | 1,250$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425 | 433 | 45%195 W · 238 L | -14.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 34c | 1,092$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.19 | 341 | 46%157 W · 184 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 15c | 1,005$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.66 | 1,024 | 44.4%455 W · 569 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad0b…a514backed No | 49c | 800$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…f1bdbacked No | 73c | 730$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.64 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31ad…089abacked Yes | 20c | 693.25$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.25 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe398…4ce5backed Yes | 75c | 571.21$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428.41 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 7c | 551.34$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.26 | 352 | 37.2%131 W · 221 L | -11.0wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe020…f39bbacked Yes | 33c | 525$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 69c | 504.87$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.25 | 2,564 | 39.8%1,020 W · 1,544 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked Yes | 34c | 499.99$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 46 | 63%29 W · 17 L | +6.1wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Yes | 7c | 494.86$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.74 | 98 | 54.1%53 W · 45 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x999a…9a25backed Yes | 7c | 491.1$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.01 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -63.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked No | 71c | 471.61$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.66 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed No | 66c | 445.77$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.58 | 71 | 33.8%24 W · 47 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -34%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 2c | 432$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.64 | 61 | 39.3%24 W · 37 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x487e…0d66backed Yes | 35c | 428.57$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae2b…44b2backed Yes | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeddf…a953backed Yes | 33c | 354.36$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.94 | 86 | 32.6%28 W · 58 L | -6.5wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe419…8aedbacked Yes | 35c | 333.73$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.12 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -28%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 26c | 330.4$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.03 | 150 | 55.3%83 W · 67 L | +8.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc98f…a13fbacked Yes | 4c | 310$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -71.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf762…d55fbacked No | 67c | 300$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf481…1b6bbacked Yes | 34c | 235.29$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf4…5324backed Yes | 35c | 228.57$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0011…4333backed Yes | 78c | 203.63$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.38 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -3.2wins | -0.40per pick | 65cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Yes | 6c | 175$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.28 | 59 | 62.7%37 W · 22 L | +5.3wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x75e9…e746backed Yes | 35c | 171.43$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 33c | 154.6$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.38 | 393 | 46.3%182 W · 211 L | -9.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 73c | 139.14$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.57 | 488 | 58.8%287 W · 201 L | +45.4wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 33c | 118$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.92 | 1,108 | 50.5%560 W · 548 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5974…5c32backed No | 73c | 109.59$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.59 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 70cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked No | 65c | 99.99$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.5 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -5.6wins | -0.37per pick | 51cpaid | -72.5%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x81a7…7042backed No | 65c | 97.52$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.9 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -60%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed No | 71c | 79.96$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.46 | 69 | 42%29 W · 40 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e49…e7debacked No | 69c | 72.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.33 | 24 | 75%18 W · 6 L | +6.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 75c | 71$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.75 | 412 | 44.4%183 W · 229 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 34c | 60.39$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.53 | 1,691 | 45%761 W · 930 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd1…a282backed Yes | 43c | 54$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.96 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ef1…4a76backed Yes | 34c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.13 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -58%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb66a…b156backed No | 55c | 45.85$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.61 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a44…3273backed No | 66c | 45.45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72ea…487abacked Yes | 36c | 45$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Yes | 34c | 42.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.57 | 173 | 45.7%79 W · 94 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc66a…ed6abacked No | 31c | 34$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.51 | 25 | 72%18 W · 7 L | +5.2wins | +0.21per pick | 51cpaid | +50.1%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe0ec…a9c4backed No | 52c | 32.6$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.65 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.7wins | +0.38per pick | 47cpaid | +84.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe06f…f289backed Yes | 48c | 31.46$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45f2…1154backed Yes | 42c | 31.21$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4abd…5a5cbacked Yes | 59c | 28$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.52 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 66c | 25.79$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.78 | 671 | 45.6%306 W · 365 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 75c | 23.33$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.83 | 402 | 57.5%231 W · 171 L | +19.7wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e49…5166backed No | 54c | 22.18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.18 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +160.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 60c | 20.73$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.29 | 554 | 59%327 W · 227 L | +25.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66fc…2a1fbacked Yes | 74c | 19.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 73cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb595…5922backed No | 78c | 16.99$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.73 | 20 | 75%15 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked No | 74c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Eintracht Braunschweig win on 2026-08-28?this page
- Will Eintracht Braunschweig vs. Hertha BSC end in a draw?No won
- Will Hertha BSC win on 2026-08-28?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.