Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: ROSE vs Division One (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 2 Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x04790b7203f4e0a4a0fe6dbb8063f7c4fb10e3543f31b6fd09c708293e6ffe17
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Division Oneof ROSE, Division One
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,048
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,084
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,048 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x16bc…decabacked ROSE | 16c | 3,321$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$527.54 | 154 | 31.2%48 W · 106 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9876…69f7backed Division One | 73c | 3,264$2,371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$893.05 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -4.5wins | -0.13per pick | 57cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xba38…e406backed ROSE | 27c | 2,000$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 547 | 51.2%280 W · 267 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc50f…3ad3backed Division One | 73c | 1,724$1,259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465.53 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -2.6wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed ROSE | 27c | 869$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.94 | 136 | 42.6%58 W · 78 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked ROSE | 27c | 811.61$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.56 | 450 | 33.8%152 W · 298 L | -35.6wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xee8e…0a7bbacked Division One | 72c | 703.7$507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.03 | 781 | 62%484 W · 297 L | +16.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x094a…e4a9backed ROSE | 28c | 685.64$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.97 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Division One | 73c | 431.89$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.61 | 119 | 55.5%66 W · 53 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa4…865cbacked Division One | 73c | 269.53$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.77 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7c0…f389backed ROSE | 20c | 257.1$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.39 | 52 | 32.7%17 W · 35 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Division One | 73c | 199.6$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.4 | 337 | 53.1%179 W · 158 L | +16.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x38d7…fb43backed ROSE | 27c | 196.4$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.56 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.28per pick | 39cpaid | +76%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3b6a…81d6backed ROSE | 28c | 191.36$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.58 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +47.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed ROSE | 20c | 163.11$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.25 | 425 | 40.5%172 W · 253 L | -22.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4912…b76fbacked ROSE | 28c | 162.68$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.55 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e0…457fbacked Division One | 74c | 158.49$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.21 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe05f…1fe3backed Division One | 74c | 158.49$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.21 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed ROSE | 26c | 144$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.74 | 321 | 41.7%134 W · 187 L | -16.1wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Division One | 74c | 129.04$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.14 | 785 | 62.8%493 W · 292 L | +56.2wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed ROSE | 25c | 120.62$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.55 | 1,746 | 46.2%806 W · 940 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1415…f93fbacked ROSE | 27c | 105.73$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.69 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed ROSE | 21c | 101.46$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.09 | 415 | 37.1%154 W · 261 L | -26.8wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed ROSE | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 101 | 42.6%43 W · 58 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b60…5c4ebacked ROSE | 17c | 95.02$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.15 | 103 | 33%34 W · 69 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9902…4a35backed ROSE | 17c | 83.49$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.28 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 21cpaid | +54.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2185…b40cbacked Division One | 74c | 82.69$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x34c5…db89backed ROSE | 29c | 78.3$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.71 | 159 | 52.8%84 W · 75 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c32…7156backed Division One | 73c | 73.79$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.92 | 114 | 54.4%62 W · 52 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed ROSE | 27c | 69.47$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.76 | 1,490 | 46.6%695 W · 795 L | -16.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa415…6fb9backed Division One | 73c | 68.87$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.59 | 93 | 54.8%51 W · 42 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c5…b613backed Division One | 73c | 65.9$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.09 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | -4.8wins | -0.09per pick | 61cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xef9c…7b3fbacked ROSE | 24c | 60.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.48 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +71.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56e4…6ee4backed Division One | 73c | 56.08$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.14 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked ROSE | 27c | 49.58$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.39 | 308 | 28.2%87 W · 221 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbced…5808backed Division One | 74c | 44.3$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.52 | 60 | 66.7%40 W · 20 L | +5.1wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0642…8c68backed Division One | 73c | 39.35$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.63 | 59 | 62.7%37 W · 22 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc187…7ac1backed Division One | 74c | 28.55$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.42 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: ROSE vs Division One (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 2 Group Stagethis page
- Valorant: ROSE vs Division One - Map 1 WinnerDivision One won
- Valorant: ROSE vs Division One - Map 2 WinnerDivision One won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.