Tennis · resolved market
ITF Hillcrest: Khololwam Montsi vs Devin Badenhorst
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x052847ff592f065a11c8422bad756e4a374af2dd777e9493fa5c412429afe43c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Devin Badenhorstof Khololwam Montsi, Devin Badenhorst
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,863
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,804
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,863 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Devin Badenhorst | 56c | 718.31$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.98 | 11,779 | 43.3%5,102 W · 6,677 L | +20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Khololwam Montsi | 37c | 488.22$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.5 | 923 | 52.5%485 W · 438 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f34…ed6abacked Devin Badenhorst | 46c | 239.98$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.01 | 397 | 51.4%204 W · 193 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7629…ef05backed Devin Badenhorst | 51c | 196.46$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.46 | 372 | 62.9%234 W · 138 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42a1…a8e9backed Khololwam Montsi | 43c | 139.34$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.81 | 394 | 51.3%202 W · 192 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Khololwam Montsi | 64c | 137.36$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.23 | 8,834 | 42.5%3,758 W · 5,076 L | -169.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6717…d6ebbacked Devin Badenhorst | 40c | 126.25$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.25 | 363 | 49.6%180 W · 183 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Khololwam Montsi | 12c | 115$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.55 | 4,992 | 38.6%1,927 W · 3,065 L | -19.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Devin Badenhorst | 75c | 109.9$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.45 | 4,510 | 51.7%2,333 W · 2,177 L | +135.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…11a3backed Khololwam Montsi | 47c | 109.41$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.2 | 2,274 | 58%1,318 W · 956 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe246…dedcbacked Khololwam Montsi | 30c | 100.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 300 | 55.7%167 W · 133 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Khololwam Montsi | 58c | 96.98$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.25 | 1,472 | 45%662 W · 810 L | +42.3wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Khololwam Montsi | 27c | 92.65$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.45 | 6,798 | 36.9%2,507 W · 4,291 L | -98.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed Devin Badenhorst | 38c | 84.76$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.77 | 581 | 45.6%265 W · 316 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Khololwam Montsi | 60c | 76.25$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.75 | 2,492 | 51.3%1,279 W · 1,213 L | +15.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8920…9c0cbacked Devin Badenhorst | 45c | 59.8$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.71 | 293 | 47.4%139 W · 154 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64ec…931dbacked Khololwam Montsi | 36c | 55.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 445 | 36.9%164 W · 281 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +11%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Khololwam Montsi | 61c | 52.94$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.44 | 4,041 | 45.7%1,848 W · 2,193 L | -28.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc846…c413backed Khololwam Montsi | 57c | 40$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 570 | 49.1%280 W · 290 L | +24.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Devin Badenhorst | 43c | 40$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.8 | 258 | 28.3%73 W · 185 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…ca84backed Khololwam Montsi | 67c | 40$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.8 | 920 | 46.6%429 W · 491 L | -14.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Devin Badenhorst | 76c | 36$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.71 | 2,145 | 56%1,201 W · 944 L | +41.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Khololwam Montsi | 32c | 35.67$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.56 | 3,731 | 45.3%1,690 W · 2,041 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Devin Badenhorst | 75c | 34.2$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.55 | 924 | 63.9%590 W · 334 L | +65.8wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked Devin Badenhorst | 31c | 33.96$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.35 | 629 | 49.4%311 W · 318 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2a…0a73backed Devin Badenhorst | 55c | 32.73$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.73 | 968 | 58.3%564 W · 404 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfba…583cbacked Devin Badenhorst | 64c | 31.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.48 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Khololwam Montsi | 65c | 29.45$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.14 | 2,561 | 63%1,613 W · 948 L | -10.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56bc…9103backed Devin Badenhorst | 55c | 21.35$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.63 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Devin Badenhorst | 64c | 20.01$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.15 | 1,629 | 49%798 W · 831 L | -51.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4aa4…5e60backed Devin Badenhorst | 80c | 17$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.42 | 76 | 75%57 W · 19 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 75cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.