Tennis · resolved market
Madrid: Nuria Brancaccio vs Jessika Ponchet
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x053156e9e19a4bba254dc9c7aad79a1aa441aee3b3f8730737794800fdbdc7aa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Jessika Ponchetof Nuria Brancaccio, Jessika Ponchet
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $48,754
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $50,119
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $48,754 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Nuria Brancaccio | 10c | 8,495$848 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$847.55 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Nuria Brancaccio | 53c | 4,217$2,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,249.94 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Jessika Ponchet | 39c | 4,030$1,572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,457.57 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x223f…2050backed Nuria Brancaccio | 46c | 3,189$1,462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,462.34 | 507 | 31.2%158 W · 349 L | -41.2wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Jessika Ponchet | 35c | 1,303$459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$843.56 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Jessika Ponchet | 33c | 716.26$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.89 | 1,768 | 43.2%764 W · 1,004 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb31e…c120backed Nuria Brancaccio | 72c | 623.67$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.04 | 296 | 54.4%161 W · 135 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52f2…5a5dbacked Jessika Ponchet | 37c | 545.88$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.29 | 87 | 57.5%50 W · 37 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Nuria Brancaccio | 27c | 531.22$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.43 | 1,615 | 50.6%817 W · 798 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Nuria Brancaccio | 28c | 508.68$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.07 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c65…9745backed Nuria Brancaccio | 7c | 500$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Jessika Ponchet | 40c | 436.76$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.29 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed8…3affbacked Nuria Brancaccio | 65c | 300.83$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.83 | 38 | 76.3%29 W · 9 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 67cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…4f4cbacked Nuria Brancaccio | 62c | 279.43$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.67 | 176 | 56.3%99 W · 77 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x410c…d091backed Nuria Brancaccio | 47c | 204.57$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.13 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Jessika Ponchet | 32c | 190$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.39 | 272 | 31.3%85 W · 187 L | -8.6wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9694…b7adbacked Nuria Brancaccio | 65c | 151$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.36 | 2,058 | 59.5%1,225 W · 833 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc866…8c6dbacked Jessika Ponchet | 61c | 137.15$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.8 | 272 | 47.4%129 W · 143 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Nuria Brancaccio | 36c | 130.99$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.28 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa81d…7447backed Nuria Brancaccio | 61c | 127.14$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.13 | 18 | 83.3%15 W · 3 L | +2.7wins | +0.15per pick | 68cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…ac9fbacked Jessika Ponchet | 63c | 126.25$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.33 | 506 | 44.9%227 W · 279 L | -12.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe031…5c08backed Nuria Brancaccio | 33c | 115.38$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.9 | 735 | 49.8%366 W · 369 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf77…bae9backed Nuria Brancaccio | 36c | 112.41$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.86 | 194 | 43.3%84 W · 110 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8268…8534backed Jessika Ponchet | 44c | 109.82$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.5 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee7…4c1abacked Nuria Brancaccio | 62c | 108.58$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.35 | 108 | 60.2%65 W · 43 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Nuria Brancaccio | 11c | 106.71$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.13 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d24…9c89backed Nuria Brancaccio | 62c | 104.56$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.83 | 157 | 48.4%76 W · 81 L | -13.2wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5471…a236backed Jessika Ponchet | 64c | 104.2$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.19 | 405 | 48.1%195 W · 210 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95fc…10f6backed Nuria Brancaccio | 49c | 101.89$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.12 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95bd…b9bebacked Nuria Brancaccio | 54c | 97.26$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.91 | 127 | 50.4%64 W · 63 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a8…6764backed Jessika Ponchet | 43c | 94.93$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.38 | 193 | 46.6%90 W · 103 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Nuria Brancaccio | 49c | 91.26$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.6 | 1,852 | 44.5%825 W · 1,027 L | -20.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5572…f01ebacked Nuria Brancaccio | 31c | 83.29$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.84 | 579 | 53.7%311 W · 268 L | +19.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58f2…692ebacked Jessika Ponchet | 34c | 71.07$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.91 | 534 | 57.7%308 W · 226 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Nuria Brancaccio | 53c | 68.86$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.44 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc274…86debacked Nuria Brancaccio | 34c | 60.51$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.57 | 493 | 42.8%211 W · 282 L | +16.1wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc470…c792backed Jessika Ponchet | 36c | 53.42$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.19 | 1,504 | 35.1%528 W · 976 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Jessika Ponchet | 43c | 48.92$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.96 | 450 | 51.8%233 W · 217 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x423c…25d5backed Nuria Brancaccio | 38c | 47.46$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.17 | 103 | 17.5%18 W · 85 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cd…1e2bbacked Nuria Brancaccio | 45c | 47.32$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.3 | 361 | 35.7%129 W · 232 L | -35.1wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -24%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e3…4874backed Jessika Ponchet | 74c | 47$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.22 | 918 | 80.5%739 W · 179 L | +39.3wins | +0.04per pick | 76cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Nuria Brancaccio | 50c | 43.94$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.97 | 671 | 44.7%300 W · 371 L | +30.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x926c…5d40backed Jessika Ponchet | 61c | 43.44$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.1 | 65 | 66.2%43 W · 22 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0642…8c68backed Nuria Brancaccio | 66c | 41.14$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.15 | 643 | 58.8%378 W · 265 L | +13.4wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Nuria Brancaccio | 56c | 40.13$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.47 | 3,677 | 54.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L | +107.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4521…8cb7backed Nuria Brancaccio | 63c | 40$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 39 | 66.7%26 W · 13 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Nuria Brancaccio | 66c | 38.95$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.71 | 1,240 | 41.2%511 W · 729 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85c2…9730backed Nuria Brancaccio | 67c | 37.62$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.21 | 518 | 49.4%256 W · 262 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c9…a454backed Nuria Brancaccio | 63c | 31.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 320 | 43.8%140 W · 180 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e41…b875backed Nuria Brancaccio | 62c | 31.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.54 | 711 | 65.1%463 W · 248 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x280e…2779backed Jessika Ponchet | 44c | 30.29$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.02 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Nuria Brancaccio | 66c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb5e…e0f7backed Nuria Brancaccio | 45c | 28.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.05 | 275 | 52%143 W · 132 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74e3…242cbacked Jessika Ponchet | 39c | 26.4$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.01 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -2.6wins | -0.15per pick | 27cpaid | -65.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Nuria Brancaccio | 52c | 24.86$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 701 | 48.2%338 W · 363 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc1…5f7bbacked Jessika Ponchet | 45c | 23.18$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.75 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0154…30f7backed Nuria Brancaccio | 68c | 21.64$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.71 | 524 | 57.4%301 W · 223 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d59…abebbacked Jessika Ponchet | 72c | 20.48$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.74 | 55 | 60%33 W · 22 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Nuria Brancaccio | 65c | 19.78$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.85 | 1,421 | 55%782 W · 639 L | +23.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…955bbacked Jessika Ponchet | 60c | 19.76$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.91 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe53…2dbabacked Jessika Ponchet | 76c | 19.71$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.73 | 882 | 73.5%648 W · 234 L | +19.8wins | +0.02per pick | 71cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Nuria Brancaccio | 66c | 19.04$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.57 | 1,276 | 61%778 W · 498 L | +27.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb1a…5cddbacked Nuria Brancaccio | 62c | 16.86$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.46 | 57 | 61.4%35 W · 22 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.