Asian League · resolved market
Will Al Ahli Saudi Club vs. Al Najmah Saudi Club end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x064e57a87b7d0c87516fac89aab86c4d95edfb7ebe6170001be1f8d822ff62ce
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,380
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,031
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,380 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 7c | 4,898$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.95 | 794 | 35.1%279 W · 515 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Yes | 17c | 1,528$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.5 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +3.3wins | +0.27per pick | 56cpaid | +54.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 6c | 1,477$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.21 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 72c | 1,313$949 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.18 | 1,028 | 41.7%429 W · 599 L | -31.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Yes | 5c | 1,250$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.5 | 119 | 31.9%38 W · 81 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 76c | 1,179$897 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.64 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa83…4965backed Yes | 27c | 1,111$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ba…e793backed No | 78c | 793.3$615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.01 | 168 | 58.3%98 W · 70 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Yes | 21c | 782.84$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.48 | 173 | 40.5%70 W · 103 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 75c | 774.75$585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.13 | 1,098 | 43.8%481 W · 617 L | -14.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63f9…0f1bbacked Yes | 8c | 501.88$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -67.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 6c | 445.44$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.27 | 531 | 48.8%259 W · 272 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed No | 63c | 392.39$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.18 | 487 | 68%331 W · 156 L | +69.2wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…0ab5backed Yes | 6c | 392.05$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.36 | 87 | 35.6%31 W · 56 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Yes | 7c | 378$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.55 | 60 | 38.3%23 W · 37 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -14%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03e7…5284backed Yes | 7c | 360$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 79c | 328.65$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.94 | 928 | 35%325 W · 603 L | -22.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Yes | 28c | 316$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.75 | 144 | 47.9%69 W · 75 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf280…b65bbacked Yes | 7c | 285.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 84 | 27.4%23 W · 61 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Yes | 4c | 251$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 103 | 35%36 W · 67 L | +7.2wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 20c | 240.92$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.3 | 968 | 46.1%446 W · 522 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed No | 63c | 222.59$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.36 | 141 | 53.2%75 W · 66 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 29c | 208.48$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.96 | 770 | 56.2%433 W · 337 L | +40.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 20c | 205.9$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.3 | 843 | 47.7%402 W · 441 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed No | 76c | 202.65$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.63 | 120 | 45.8%55 W · 65 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Yes | 31c | 187.07$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.59 | 245 | 48.6%119 W · 126 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Yes | 28c | 183$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.18 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | +5.2wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes | 8c | 150$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 299 | 17.4%52 W · 247 L | -13.0wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01a4…d2b5backed Yes | 27c | 148.36$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.06 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 73c | 125.01$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.75 | 1,309 | 56.8%743 W · 566 L | +66.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3d6e…e9e3backed Yes | 25c | 120$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +2.7wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc371…1e28backed Yes | 27c | 106$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.96 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 297 | 45.1%134 W · 163 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes | 16c | 73.68$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.97 | 307 | 50.8%156 W · 151 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x556c…5b77backed No | 78c | 60.07$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed No | 67c | 53$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.24 | 218 | 54.1%118 W · 100 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1d…219ebacked No | 74c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -3.7wins | -0.11per pick | 57cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5e97…395dbacked No | 80c | 31.48$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 79c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.12 | 238 | 45.8%109 W · 129 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Al Ahli Saudi Club vs. Al Najmah Saudi Club end in a draw?this page
- Will Al Ahli Saudi Club win on 2026-02-19?Yes won
- Will Al Najmah Saudi Club win on 2026-02-19?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.