TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Asian League · resolved market

Will Qingdao Xihaian FC win on 2026-03-21?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$97,195

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $97,195 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 110 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Asian League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfd29…77aebacked Yes43c49,813$21,415 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28,397.262934.5%10 W · 19 L-4.8wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-33.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No59c17,966$10,647 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,647.155,91046.2%2,730 W · 3,180 L+50.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf164…8fa4backed No57c15,867$9,044 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,044.19475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+53%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Yes42c5,000$2,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,899.99966.7%6 W · 3 L+2.0wins+0.23per pick44cpaid+49.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6e12…20e9backed No58c4,078$2,365 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,365250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-13.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea00…c1f1backed No57c3,500$1,995 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,9953030%9 W · 21 L-5.9wins-0.20per pick50cpaid-39.3%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x6a40…c93fbacked No57c2,500$1,425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4254946.9%23 W · 26 L-2.3wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed No58c2,049$1,178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,178.1447155.8%263 W · 208 L+12.3wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed Yes41c2,017$817 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,199.7615133.8%51 W · 100 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No62c1,937$1,191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,191.251,09843.8%481 W · 617 L-14.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-11.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed No60c1,932$1,167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,167.4122656.6%128 W · 98 L+8.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+7.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xca38…720fbacked Yes27c1,800$488 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,3121844.4%8 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x47c7…cac7backed No57c1,788$1,019 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,019.1617658%102 W · 74 L+6.9wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yes42c1,676$706 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$969.8622555.1%124 W · 101 L+10.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4a39…a189backed No57c1,505$858 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$858.07560%3 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick61cpaid+2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa0dc…586cbacked Yes45c1,505$670 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$834.5314037.1%52 W · 88 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No57c1,500$855 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85510650.9%54 W · 52 L+0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid+2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x40d0…4415backed No57c1,275$727 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$726.7516856%94 W · 74 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked No58c1,223$714 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$713.9462349.1%306 W · 317 L-6.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Yes42c1,000$416 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$584.354755.3%26 W · 21 L+2.9wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+11.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcc39…1564backed No57c500$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2852227.3%6 W · 16 L-5.4wins-0.25per pick52cpaid-50.2%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked No57c500$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2855345.3%24 W · 29 L-3.6wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-11.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Yes43c499.99$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2853647.2%17 W · 19 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-10.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb12…f057backed No57c470$268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$267.95651.8%29 W · 27 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+18.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Yes42c339.98$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.193650%18 W · 18 L+0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid+4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed No57c300$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17126749.4%132 W · 135 L+7.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed No57c299.99$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.58946.1%41 W · 48 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No56c271.64$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.071,25451.4%644 W · 610 L+9.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed No57c250$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.512147.9%58 W · 63 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked No57c250$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.56048.3%29 W · 31 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-8.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Yes44c227.48$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.4817440.2%70 W · 104 L-12.3wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-16.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No57c213.62$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.611,95954.6%1,069 W · 890 L+36.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed No60c206.02$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.6110436.5%38 W · 66 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-28.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked No57c200$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1144944.9%22 W · 27 L-2.8wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed No59c196.18$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.3214153.2%75 W · 66 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Yes22c195.63$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.5949044.3%217 W · 273 L-9.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-10.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No29c179.41$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.242,49942.3%1,057 W · 1,442 L+52.8wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4488…579cbacked No57c175.96$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.31258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+11.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed No57c175$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.754744.7%21 W · 26 L-2.4wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed No57c175$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.759744.3%43 W · 54 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd2dc…b3c5backed No57c160$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.27548%36 W · 39 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid+3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbe2…5981backed No60c147.61$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.974443.2%19 W · 25 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9075…cfe8backed Yes18c141.83$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.8313243.9%58 W · 74 L-10.9wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-16.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2025…db59backed No57c140$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.88951.7%46 W · 43 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdcf7…bcbebacked No57c140$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.86653%35 W · 31 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+14.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8632…4696backed No56c133.36$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.686259.7%37 W · 25 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked No57c130.26$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.632646.2%12 W · 14 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-22.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Yes68c130$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.8312849.2%63 W · 65 L-7.3wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-19.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3eff…ae12backed No57c128.54$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.273560%21 W · 14 L+0.1wins0.00per pick60cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed No10c128.09$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.4442425.9%110 W · 314 L-32.7wins-0.08per pick34cpaid-39.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd790…a24ebacked Yes43c127.91$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.912334.8%8 W · 15 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick32cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed No57c125$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.254353.5%23 W · 20 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed No57c125$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.2514349.7%71 W · 72 L-7.0wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-10.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2692…2698backed No57c125$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.257250%36 W · 36 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c4c…dc70backed No57c122$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.541533.3%5 W · 10 L-3.0wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-30.1%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x0056…a7f7backed No56c120.88$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.696254.8%34 W · 28 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+11.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc383…a540backed No57c120$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.48747.1%41 W · 46 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed No57c120$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.410945.9%50 W · 59 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked No58c109.47$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.491,30656.9%743 W · 563 L+67.1wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+14.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc16f…0f4fbacked No57c109$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.137245.8%33 W · 39 L-6.0wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-13.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No10c108.36$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.112,39737.8%905 W · 1,492 L-3.7wins0.00per pick38cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0b87…9414backed No57c105.26$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$604429.5%13 W · 31 L-7.0wins-0.16per pick46cpaid-37.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xa494…4a1fbacked No57c105$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.8510057%57 W · 43 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+0.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x866a…de80backed Yes20c100$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$805920.3%12 W · 47 L-0.1wins0.00per pick21cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84fc…9db4backed No57c100$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$576246.8%29 W · 33 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7398…f4b6backed No57c100$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$577456.8%42 W · 32 L+4.1wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+15.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed No57c100$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5711238.4%43 W · 69 L-11.8wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-19.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x3f1f…f56bbacked No57c100$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$574447.7%21 W · 23 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf79e…9a84backed No57c100$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$577352.1%38 W · 35 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x864c…735fbacked No57c100$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$577153.5%38 W · 33 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+12.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0fad…aa0fbacked No57c100$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$576349.2%31 W · 32 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa48d…b023backed No57c100$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$573545.7%16 W · 19 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa800…cc71backed No57c100$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$575750.9%29 W · 28 L-0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid+7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa620…ca56backed No57c100$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$577458.1%43 W · 31 L+5.1wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+19.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe601…c728backed No57c100$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$574755.3%26 W · 21 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0ee5…96c2backed No57c100$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$573850%19 W · 19 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-1.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x44b6…98b4backed No19c75.91$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.774035%14 W · 26 L-3.4wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-29.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x079f…a9d1backed Yes40c71$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.381457.1%8 W · 6 L+2.2wins+0.16per pick42cpaid+71.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No15c70$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.51,02241.5%424 W · 598 L-33.2wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-17.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x133a…f9d1backed No57c70$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.91136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.15per pick52cpaid-36.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x35b8…898abacked Yes44c68.18$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.181656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+13.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe013…1ddcbacked No57c62.5$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.631553.3%8 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick56cpaid+2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa427…f87fbacked No57c62.39$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.56837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.22per pick59cpaid-33.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6afd…5cb1backed No57c60$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.24358.1%25 W · 18 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+12.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd2a2…004abacked No57c60$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.27553.3%40 W · 35 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+12.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x62b4…4244backed Yes36c55.3$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.3250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+38.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea2e…d695backed No57c55$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.353956.4%22 W · 17 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+7.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe02…5fb3backed No60c53.67$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.422763%17 W · 10 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+17.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2bba…6596backed No57c52.63$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2aa9…5da8backed Yes39c51.28$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.281040%4 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-26%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa97e…7753backed No57c50$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.56152.5%32 W · 29 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8bdf…8adabacked No57c50$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.53554.3%19 W · 16 L0.0wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe9ea…810abacked No57c50$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.51435.7%5 W · 9 L-2.6wins-0.18per pick54cpaid-29.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x4edd…b1a1backed No57c50$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.52254.5%12 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-1.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x778e…ccd1backed No57c50$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.54751.1%24 W · 23 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked No64c47.24$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.3819055.3%105 W · 85 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x993f…35cbbacked No61c46.62$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.233174.2%23 W · 8 L+3.8wins+0.12per pick62cpaid+20.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x556a…273cbacked Yes43c46.51$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.511450%7 W · 7 L+1.5wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+20.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6b67…642dbacked No68c44.12$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.24per pick52cpaid-50.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1813…4dfebacked No50c40.27$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.9912551.2%64 W · 61 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-4.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.