TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Will Associação Chapecoense de Futebol vs. Clube do Remo end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$49,626
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$44,961

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $49,626 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1d63…2e49backed No71c25,740$18,275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,464.591656.3%9 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-18.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Yes29c12,244$3,551 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,550.7551749.9%258 W · 259 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes26c7,293$1,913 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,912.848,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Yes37c5,112$1,899 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,898.6275240.8%307 W · 445 L-17.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed No70c2,252$1,576 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$675.942,28134.3%782 W · 1,499 L-30.5wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-16.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3ca9…698dbacked Yes54c2,015$1,088 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,088.35250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-33.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No56c1,714$952 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$762.015,75745.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L+94.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed Yes29c1,552$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45027349.5%135 W · 138 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked Yes29c1,379$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40027549.1%135 W · 140 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes29c1,147$333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$332.653,40551.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes29c1,000$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2901,66851.7%863 W · 805 L+18.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Yes29c955$277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$276.9545253.1%240 W · 212 L+14.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No44c696.29$306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$389.921,29042.8%552 W · 738 L-2.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfc5a…07b6backed Yes10c663$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.4430%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes29c590.55$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.2665058%377 W · 273 L+21.6wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Yes29c500$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14542250.2%212 W · 210 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Yes29c450$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.51,28253.7%689 W · 593 L+5.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes29c450$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.51,23153.9%663 W · 568 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa877…2e20backed Yes30c334$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.23836.8%14 W · 24 L-4.6wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-28.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x37ec…3b7bbacked Yes30c331.73$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.5210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb03…5ae4backed Yes43c300$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1294731.9%15 W · 32 L-7.1wins-0.15per pick47cpaid-39.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x2e62…b22ebacked Yes28c299.47$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.7813828.3%39 W · 99 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-1.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6479…5e64backed Yes40c250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002161.9%13 W · 8 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Yes29c241$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.891,42851.8%740 W · 688 L+22.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked Yes23c200.52$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.921640.3%87 W · 129 L-7.0wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-35.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked No59c199.35$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.0725044%110 W · 140 L-6.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-20.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a11…ef8ebacked No71c197.17$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.1810158.4%59 W · 42 L0.0wins0.00per pick58cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes29c192.17$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.731,94451.3%998 W · 946 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed Yes54c175.34$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.334155.1%188 W · 153 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Yes56c170.41$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.2463657.5%366 W · 270 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb091…2017backed Yes75c139.99$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.99742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.24per pick67cpaid-41.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Yes24c136$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.6418742.2%79 W · 108 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-13.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0182…301cbacked Yes63c120.46$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$762536%9 W · 16 L-3.3wins-0.13per pick49cpaid-42.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Yes29c109$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.612,61154.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L+25.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ff6…2712backed Yes10c106.73$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11520%1 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick34cpaid-59.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked No61c105.24$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.0841145.5%187 W · 224 L-9.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-21.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed No68c103.55$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.1420055%110 W · 90 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed No72c91.32$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.5294848.1%456 W · 492 L-18.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x09b5…fd79backed No66c89.39$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.391662.5%10 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+11.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed No74c89.07$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.1653836.8%198 W · 340 L-24.0wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-24.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf72a…5d8ebacked Yes30c86.67$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262642.3%11 W · 15 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick37cpaid+23%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Yes40c84$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.4322853.1%121 W · 107 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No70c83.25$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.971,48748.7%724 W · 763 L-17.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe0c…c0cdbacked Yes52c76.92$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405052%26 W · 24 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No65c74.26$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.881,36244.9%611 W · 751 L-22.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked No25c71.28$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.4629047.6%138 W · 152 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b55…b1cebacked Yes30c66$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.82240.9%9 W · 13 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4db3…c1eabacked Yes18c65$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.646955.1%38 W · 31 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed No70c60.33$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.170055.7%390 W · 310 L+13.7wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc986…1654backed Yes25c60$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151225%3 W · 9 L-1.1wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-35%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2e75…0143backed Yes44c55.55$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.445240.4%21 W · 31 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Yes30c54.5$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.1518338.8%71 W · 112 L-9.8wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-31.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x59a4…260fbacked Yes64c48.44$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$311838.9%7 W · 11 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid+11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc3a0…eabdbacked No52c48.08$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.08250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc66a…ed6abacked No26c47.13$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.056864.7%44 W · 24 L+8.9wins+0.13per pick52cpaid+27.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x398d…b8d6backed Yes43c46.51$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204740.4%19 W · 28 L-5.0wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-27.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8367…7eaebacked Yes48c41.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20825%2 W · 6 L-2.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-52.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0bff…c8a8backed No36c41.67$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.676838.2%26 W · 42 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7f36…905fbacked Yes75c40.05$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30742.9%3 W · 4 L-2.2wins-0.31per pick74cpaid-43.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed No76c39.18$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.52,51439%980 W · 1,534 L-32.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No42c36.44$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211,36652.4%716 W · 650 L+51.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4552…eac6backed No70c35.72$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.725671.4%40 W · 16 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick69cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0df7…1ec1backed No70c35$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.455466.7%36 W · 18 L+7.4wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+31.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x099f…c1e1backed No32c34.98$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.7915651.9%81 W · 75 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7bd7…7aa9backed Yes39c30.71$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121855.6%10 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-12.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe697…708fbacked No70c25.2$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.525864.3%166 W · 92 L+8.1wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0fbd…1ecabacked Yes40c25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9079…b19bbacked No67c24.35$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.0319953.3%106 W · 93 L+11.0wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+10.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xac03…f019backed Yes68c22.06$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152157.1%12 W · 9 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick63cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8801…f667backed Yes66c20.58$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.58944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.19per pick63cpaid-17.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.