South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Associação Chapecoense de Futebol win on 2026-05-17?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc6d96ff2d5f42099c1a11c29f30413a190c6dc283fcf6373e2efb44a11788c0a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,502
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,452
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,502 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 69c | 2,066$1,415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650.37 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 29c | 1,464$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428.11 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x300b…f636backed No | 65c | 915.77$599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.73 | 118 | 55.1%65 W · 53 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 23c | 590.36$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.1 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 75c | 543.3$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.52 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Yes | 31c | 430.12$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.34 | 138 | 28.3%39 W · 99 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x005c…a987backed Yes | 37c | 399.97$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.99 | 127 | 41.7%53 W · 74 L | -6.8wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 465 | 30.3%141 W · 324 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked No | 72c | 298.15$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.44 | 752 | 40.8%307 W · 445 L | -17.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Yes | 14c | 288.72$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.59 | 216 | 40.3%87 W · 129 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0520…3efdbacked Yes | 39c | 180$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.47 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | -5.5wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed No | 37c | 168.5$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.49 | 267 | 45.3%121 W · 146 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked No | 65c | 152$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.48 | 228 | 53.1%121 W · 107 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf12d…0fddbacked Yes | 34c | 147.06$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 60 | 31.7%19 W · 41 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -24%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed No | 73c | 137.15$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.15 | 341 | 55.1%188 W · 153 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Yes | 29c | 135.07$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.21 | 250 | 44%110 W · 140 L | -6.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed No | 73c | 129.92$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.47 | 636 | 57.5%366 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59a4…260fbacked Yes | 38c | 127.92$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.61 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Yes | 15c | 111.25$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.31 | 363 | 39.9%145 W · 218 L | -16.8wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x206b…3c33backed Yes | 18c | 111.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Yes | 32c | 108.83$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.57 | 411 | 45.5%187 W · 224 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 70c | 105.92$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 948 | 48.1%456 W · 492 L | -18.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa299…ac77backed Yes | 33c | 103.03$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 123 | 48%59 W · 64 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed No | 68c | 92.53$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.92 | 258 | 66.3%171 W · 87 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed No | 71c | 91.19$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.67 | 538 | 36.8%198 W · 340 L | -24.0wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51d5…41b8backed No | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.37 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd13c…98a7backed No | 42c | 70.6$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.6 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.24per pick | 35cpaid | -73.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d2…a1cdbacked No | 30c | 66.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.78 | 232 | 54.7%127 W · 105 L | +12.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 54c | 61$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.86 | 1,038 | 49.4%513 W · 525 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed No | 62c | 58.7$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.44 | 700 | 55.7%390 W · 310 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0182…301cbacked Yes | 31c | 58.04$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -3.3wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 56c | 57.48$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.32 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a18…61a0backed Yes | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc551…cec1backed Yes | 32c | 56.49$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 45c | 52$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.44 | 898 | 46.1%414 W · 484 L | -11.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f70…133ebacked No | 66c | 51.94$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.66 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Yes | 47c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 506 | 43.9%222 W · 284 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 27c | 47.89$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.89 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75bd…0288backed Yes | 63c | 46.8$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.48 | 286 | 51.7%148 W · 138 L | +14.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed No | 41c | 46$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.14 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -3.5wins | -0.18per pick | 55cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked No | 30c | 45.74$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.81 | 183 | 38.8%71 W · 112 L | -9.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8766…066cbacked No | 67c | 45.04$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.04 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3a0…eabdbacked Yes | 39c | 44.66$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.47 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x655a…f972backed Yes | 27c | 43.76$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -67.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 67c | 40.67$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.25 | 1,290 | 42.8%552 W · 738 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9079…b19bbacked No | 61c | 38.82$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.14 | 199 | 53.3%106 W · 93 L | +11.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a7d…695fbacked Yes | 36c | 37.18$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.38 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.19per pick | 49cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 58c | 36$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.88 | 1,253 | 56.2%704 W · 549 L | +73.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a7…ace4backed Yes | 57c | 34.6$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.72 | 183 | 59%108 W · 75 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb85f…dfb5backed Yes | 34c | 34.27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.78 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed No | 66c | 30.38$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.33 | 333 | 65.5%218 W · 115 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf87…cc46backed Yes | 34c | 30$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 64 | 40.6%26 W · 38 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e73…3f4ebacked No | 68c | 27.88$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.87 | 192 | 64.1%123 W · 69 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x059d…10e3backed Yes | 37c | 27.03$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 60c | 27$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27b1…6a0bbacked No | 67c | 24.75$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 68c | 24.74$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.98 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 62c | 23.95$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.1 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked No | 71c | 16.23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.66 | 258 | 64.3%166 W · 92 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 70c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.55 | 1,070 | 47.4%507 W · 563 L | -46.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Associação Chapecoense de Futebol win on 2026-05-17?this page
- Will Associação Chapecoense de Futebol vs. Clube do Remo end in a draw?No won
- Will Clube do Remo win on 2026-05-17?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.