Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Ohio Bobcats vs. Toledo Rockets
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x06dfe2e62c3802a5b79e1c487ebd67b2f0f2197479f4cf5bd2459c5ea1387d58
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Toledo Rocketsof Ohio Bobcats, Toledo Rockets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,954
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,283
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,954 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x80cf…427dbacked Toledo Rockets | 60c | 1,500$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | -5.5wins | -0.11per pick | 64cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5976…b3d4backed Ohio Bobcats | 40c | 1,230$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492 | 90 | 51.1%46 W · 44 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d91…5c46backed Ohio Bobcats | 1c | 1,166$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Toledo Rockets | 59c | 920.98$541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.82 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Toledo Rockets | 59c | 809.16$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.18 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…4f9cbacked Ohio Bobcats | 43c | 465.12$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 270 | 45.2%122 W · 148 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…66f0backed Toledo Rockets | 55c | 436.36$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.36 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Ohio Bobcats | 43c | 423.62$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.69 | 735 | 49.1%361 W · 374 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Toledo Rockets | 35c | 423.15$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.06 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fa4…9a4cbacked Ohio Bobcats | 45c | 349.99$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.5 | 80 | 48.8%39 W · 41 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc091…3d42backed Ohio Bobcats | 50c | 348$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.47 | 722 | 48.8%352 W · 370 L | -23.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Ohio Bobcats | 33c | 317.48$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.24 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Ohio Bobcats | 39c | 313.09$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.68 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Toledo Rockets | 56c | 300$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.03 | 1,260 | 43.3%545 W · 715 L | +34.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Ohio Bobcats | 44c | 292.71$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.79 | 820 | 48.2%395 W · 425 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Ohio Bobcats | 43c | 249$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.07 | 754 | 47.1%355 W · 399 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Toledo Rockets | 57c | 232$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.86 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Toledo Rockets | 54c | 228.81$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.25 | 397 | 44.8%178 W · 219 L | +9.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Ohio Bobcats | 42c | 225$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.5 | 1,231 | 47%578 W · 653 L | -17.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Toledo Rockets | 57c | 209.19$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.19 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59b6…307fbacked Ohio Bobcats | 52c | 205.07$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 453 | 51.4%233 W · 220 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Ohio Bobcats | 41c | 177.58$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.81 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a45…41f6backed Toledo Rockets | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 114 | 44.7%51 W · 63 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Ohio Bobcats | 43c | 164.5$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.73 | 89 | 37.1%33 W · 56 L | -6.2wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Ohio Bobcats | 60c | 156$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.67 | 323 | 43%139 W · 184 L | -18.5wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -23%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a52…9ad6backed Toledo Rockets | 55c | 145.45$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.45 | 36 | 63.9%23 W · 13 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Ohio Bobcats | 42c | 141.04$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.55 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Ohio Bobcats | 33c | 125.47$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.93 | 456 | 44.5%203 W · 253 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x685d…22d6backed Ohio Bobcats | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 91 | 44%40 W · 51 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…b505backed Toledo Rockets | 52c | 108.79$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.71 | 480 | 51%245 W · 235 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd77d…b01cbacked Ohio Bobcats | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 188 | 51.6%97 W · 91 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a64…6769backed Ohio Bobcats | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 179 | 50.8%91 W · 88 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Toledo Rockets | 58c | 107$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.94 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5165…175bbacked Toledo Rockets | 69c | 92.64$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.99 | 98 | 49%48 W · 50 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Ohio Bobcats | 44c | 92$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.89 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Ohio Bobcats | 56c | 89.94$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 402 | 52.7%212 W · 190 L | -9.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Ohio Bobcats | 43c | 80$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.4 | 1,070 | 46.9%502 W · 568 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Ohio Bobcats | 37c | 76.52$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.31 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Ohio Bobcats | 43c | 62$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.66 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bd8…5c53backed Toledo Rockets | 56c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -2.4wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Toledo Rockets | 58c | 46.7$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.61 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Toledo Rockets | 45c | 39.49$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.73 | 668 | 31.4%210 W · 458 L | -43.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -23%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Ohio Bobcats | 45c | 34.36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.32 | 990 | 45.6%451 W · 539 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83cd…dbadbacked Ohio Bobcats | 36c | 32$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Ohio Bobcats | 43c | 30.87$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.3 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed Toledo Rockets | 57c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.9 | 350 | 50.3%176 W · 174 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fa7…089dbacked Toledo Rockets | 55c | 22.76$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.24 | 98 | 51%50 W · 48 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97f1…0f6bbacked Ohio Bobcats | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.