CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Peladona vs Procyon Gaming - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x07472e655efb169aab097dcb4ab3990d31c78c96902c750b09c601c740036096
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Peladonaof Peladona, Procyon Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,551
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,974
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,551 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Peladona | 73c | 1,522$1,113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.99 | 5,194 | 55.2%2,869 W · 2,325 L | +131.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Procyon Gaming | 29c | 500$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 388 | 41.8%162 W · 226 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa245…2152backed Procyon Gaming | 22c | 276.38$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.8 | 85 | 40%34 W · 51 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc7…4d38backed Peladona | 78c | 276.38$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.8 | 138 | 69.6%96 W · 42 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bb…bd8ebacked Procyon Gaming | 14c | 270.59$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.36 | 239 | 35.6%85 W · 154 L | -19.5wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Procyon Gaming | 14c | 260.63$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.66 | 2,500 | 44.6%1,115 W · 1,385 L | -67.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…5d50backed Procyon Gaming | 12c | 248.75$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.45 | 344 | 48.8%168 W · 176 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Procyon Gaming | 25c | 240$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 2,732 | 30.3%829 W · 1,903 L | -120.6wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdd…e70ebacked Procyon Gaming | 26c | 192$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.92 | 174 | 37.4%65 W · 109 L | -13.4wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6691…5a83backed Procyon Gaming | 25c | 162$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.5 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x975d…cc7abacked Procyon Gaming | 19c | 147.3$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.99 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Procyon Gaming | 12c | 125.82$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.44 | 1,502 | 39.1%587 W · 915 L | -41.2wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Procyon Gaming | 27c | 119.86$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.68 | 2,749 | 47.6%1,309 W · 1,440 L | -37.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b1e…70fcbacked Peladona | 77c | 104.16$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfda…5504backed Procyon Gaming | 23c | 84.16$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.36 | 257 | 42.4%109 W · 148 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed Peladona | 80c | 72$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.54 | 1,206 | 42%506 W · 700 L | -20.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Procyon Gaming | 27c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 1,995 | 47.5%948 W · 1,047 L | -55.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Procyon Gaming | 26c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 274 | 49.3%135 W · 139 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d2d…b69dbacked Peladona | 71c | 49.3$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.3 | 229 | 63.3%145 W · 84 L | +23.9wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked Procyon Gaming | 26c | 48$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.48 | 1,279 | 54.3%694 W · 585 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8c…2d81backed Peladona | 79c | 40$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 582 | 48.6%283 W · 299 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd1d…6f23backed Peladona | 78c | 38.82$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.35 | 151 | 60.3%91 W · 60 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Peladona | 79c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 3,375 | 45.7%1,542 W · 1,833 L | -84.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Peladona vs Procyon Gaming - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Peladona vs Procyon Gaming (BO3) - CCT South America Series 5 Group StagePeladona won
- Counter-Strike: Peladona vs Procyon Gaming - Map 1 WinnerPeladona won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: PLD (-1.5) vs Procyon Gaming (+1.5)Peladona won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.