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CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Peladona vs Procyon Gaming (BO3) - CCT South America Series 5 Group Stage

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Peladonaof Peladona, Procyon Gaming
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$53,560
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$53,527

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $53,560 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x30c7…ac3bbacked Procyon Gaming18c19,512$3,490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,489.5879752.7%420 W · 377 L+27.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbdd2…6657backed Procyon Gaming19c6,008$1,142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,141.512157.1%12 W · 9 L+1.8wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+4.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Procyon Gaming19c5,263$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.9720052%104 W · 96 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x14af…ca2cbacked Procyon Gaming15c2,040$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306.46520%1 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick34cpaid-57.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd619…c461backed Procyon Gaming22c1,670$375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$375.4638841.8%162 W · 226 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Procyon Gaming18c1,393$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.362,73230.3%829 W · 1,903 L-120.6wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-30.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Procyon Gaming18c1,056$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.81315.4%2 W · 11 L-2.0wins-0.16per pick31cpaid-58.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x57b2…9da2backed Procyon Gaming19c1,003$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.4235644.4%158 W · 198 L+12.5wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+13.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7e18…872ebacked Peladona78c769.23$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.2311471.1%81 W · 33 L+18.2wins+0.16per pick55cpaid+27.5%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0x021a…d3aebacked Procyon Gaming18c599.33$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.1727442.7%117 W · 157 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Procyon Gaming15c593.33$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$895335.8%19 W · 34 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid+11.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0760…80f8backed Procyon Gaming18c591.56$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.792817.9%5 W · 23 L-9.1wins-0.32per pick50cpaid-64.4%equal weight31-0.17 edge/pick
0x6b25…7a69backed Procyon Gaming18c588.74$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.963023.3%7 W · 23 L-3.2wins-0.11per pick34cpaid-23.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf953…2f1abacked Procyon Gaming18c498.43$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.721330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.6wins-0.12per pick43cpaid-54.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Procyon Gaming18c488.49$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.663,70629.5%1,093 W · 2,613 L-297.7wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-43.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6e54…511ebacked Procyon Gaming17c438.5$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.6242644.4%189 W · 237 L+8.6wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d39…5408backed Procyon Gaming19c400$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$764450%22 W · 22 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x17cd…7423backed Procyon Gaming16c369.56$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.1346842.7%200 W · 268 L+0.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Procyon Gaming20c358.59$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.362,74947.6%1,309 W · 1,440 L-37.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xae22…3ab3backed Procyon Gaming17c338$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.874845.8%22 W · 26 L+3.4wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+4.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Procyon Gaming17c300.03$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.011,05149%515 W · 536 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x61f6…e497backed Procyon Gaming19c265$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.3536825.5%94 W · 274 L-18.5wins-0.05per pick31cpaid-28.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Procyon Gaming17c261.57$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.851,50239.1%587 W · 915 L-41.2wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-28.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x94a1…2075backed Procyon Gaming18c255$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.7546344.3%205 W · 258 L-0.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x094a…e4a9backed Procyon Gaming18c252$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.364141.5%17 W · 24 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x58f1…7032backed Procyon Gaming20c250$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503745.9%17 W · 20 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-5.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Procyon Gaming16c229.5$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.7214545.5%66 W · 79 L-5.4wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2140…0e12backed Procyon Gaming25c199.97$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.9959039.3%232 W · 358 L-24.2wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3265…cf6bbacked Procyon Gaming16c173.63$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.1314630.8%45 W · 101 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-15.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1273…8eddbacked Procyon Gaming19c157.47$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.9224456.1%137 W · 107 L+10.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+8.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked Procyon Gaming27c149.32$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.735,18337.1%1,924 W · 3,259 L-274.4wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-32.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed Procyon Gaming17c138.48$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2420945.5%95 W · 114 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5690…7a58backed Procyon Gaming14c137.16$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.21414.3%2 W · 12 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick18cpaid-60.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b28…ff4fbacked Procyon Gaming19c125$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.751,49652.9%791 W · 705 L+30.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa7b5…ca2dbacked Procyon Gaming19c120.55$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.9425%1 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick22cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a3f…4333backed Peladona78c120$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.450055.2%276 W · 224 L+5.9wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x03ba…ab49backed Procyon Gaming22c113.64$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256354%34 W · 29 L+3.1wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8e17…2412backed Procyon Gaming19c89.89$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.081233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.09per pick43cpaid+11.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfbf3…70e3backed Peladona78c85.11$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.8211642.2%49 W · 67 L-8.8wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-20.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5aa1…2c8abacked Procyon Gaming18c83$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.941346.2%6 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8728…0882backed Procyon Gaming14c82.82$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.5912443.5%54 W · 70 L+5.7wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+4.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4a55…a82abacked Procyon Gaming19c78.95$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1512745.7%58 W · 69 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa032…2090backed Procyon Gaming18c75$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.552952.7%279 W · 250 L+12.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b9d…3373backed Procyon Gaming16c74.06$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.855644.6%25 W · 31 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x86f8…2ed6backed Procyon Gaming28c71.41$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.993452.9%18 W · 16 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xebf5…b1d0backed Procyon Gaming18c64.99$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.5556948.9%278 W · 291 L+0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd2bb…bd8ebacked Procyon Gaming17c63.04$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.7223935.6%85 W · 154 L-19.5wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-39.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Procyon Gaming21c55$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.366,54042.9%2,805 W · 3,735 L-81.4wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-22%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Peladona73c54.79$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.794,16550.9%2,119 W · 2,046 L+70.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d2d…b69dbacked Peladona78c44.86$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.8722963.3%145 W · 84 L+23.9wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+16.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xaa32…a296backed Peladona76c42.6$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.15981.4%48 W · 11 L+6.1wins+0.10per pick71cpaid+13.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1612…9dedbacked Peladona72c40$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.229950.8%152 W · 147 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc73a…ba42backed Peladona74c24.07$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.2613956.1%78 W · 61 L+6.8wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x351a…f836backed Peladona71c20$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.85375.5%40 W · 13 L+5.2wins+0.10per pick66cpaid+15.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x7618…24c6backed Peladona76c19.74$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.741866.7%12 W · 6 L+1.9wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+15.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3080…ab1fbacked Peladona78c19.1$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.118100%8 W · 0 L+2.0wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+32.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbc08…6b85backed Peladona74c17.28$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.4922852.6%120 W · 108 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.