CS2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc1b49565dd696a611d9fbb7b986f757726bbe045c235c815cfd684a1993f3d8f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,661
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,453
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,661 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Under | 67c | 6,327$4,218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,109.12 | 5,194 | 55.2%2,869 W · 2,325 L | +131.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3881…804ebacked Over | 32c | 1,064$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.4 | 1,598 | 51.6%824 W · 774 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Under | 66c | 905.94$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.94 | 2,071 | 54%1,119 W · 952 L | +14.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd786…59b8backed Over | 34c | 900$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306 | 139 | 39.6%55 W · 84 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e18…872ebacked Under | 68c | 882.35$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.35 | 114 | 71.1%81 W · 33 L | +18.2wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x732f…f245backed Over | 34c | 841.93$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.21 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -3.1wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Over | 32c | 800$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256 | 196 | 43.4%85 W · 111 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…869ebacked Over | 34c | 702$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.68 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb66…c8dfbacked Over | 33c | 632$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.56 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | +6.4wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +43.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…9da2backed Over | 34c | 515.94$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.34 | 356 | 44.4%158 W · 198 L | +12.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bac…d241backed Over | 33c | 510.29$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.4 | 413 | 39%161 W · 252 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Over | 36c | 500$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 388 | 41.8%162 W · 226 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc700…31a1backed Over | 34c | 390$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.6 | 73 | 39.7%29 W · 44 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4281…1a5abacked Over | 34c | 365.66$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.32 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedd0…b03abacked Over | 32c | 328$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.96 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7091…96f8backed Under | 67c | 300$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99 | 101 | 58.4%59 W · 42 L | +7.2wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a03…92d3backed Over | 33c | 300$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked Over | 32c | 300$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 254 | 46.5%118 W · 136 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…70e3backed Over | 37c | 299.99$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 116 | 42.2%49 W · 67 L | -8.8wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Over | 36c | 253.1$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.11 | 2,749 | 47.6%1,309 W · 1,440 L | -37.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5f…7ed6backed Over | 36c | 246$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.56 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c42…b792backed Over | 33c | 217.99$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.94 | 86 | 34.9%30 W · 56 L | -6.6wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -26%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6f…3be7backed Over | 32c | 196$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.72 | 103 | 33%34 W · 69 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdd…e70ebacked Over | 34c | 147$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.98 | 174 | 37.4%65 W · 109 L | -13.4wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb66c…a0f5backed Under | 69c | 129.75$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.75 | 135 | 67.4%91 W · 44 L | +19.1wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x3e9f…3988backed Under | 69c | 128.64$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.88 | 249 | 54.2%135 W · 114 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xace1…f428backed Over | 32c | 112$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.84 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.25per pick | 39cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b23…6b2bbacked Under | 67c | 60$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 81 | 60.5%49 W · 32 L | +8.3wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2d2d…b69dbacked Under | 63c | 55.56$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.56 | 229 | 63.3%145 W · 84 L | +23.9wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x70b4…6815backed Under | 68c | 53.75$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.2 | 255 | 66.7%170 W · 85 L | +12.6wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd4b…d965backed Under | 68c | 45$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d95…d0febacked Over | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Counter-Strike: Peladona vs Procyon Gaming (BO3) - CCT South America Series 5 Group StagePeladona won
- Counter-Strike: Peladona vs Procyon Gaming - Map 1 WinnerPeladona won
- Counter-Strike: Peladona vs Procyon Gaming - Map 2 WinnerPeladona won
- Map Handicap: PLD (-1.5) vs Procyon Gaming (+1.5)Peladona won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.