CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Peladona vs Procyon Gaming - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9bc4c333ce7946922b657afee02c03fa7965c153441dec49a8e07fed719ea28a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Peladonaof Peladona, Procyon Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,909
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,393
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,909 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Peladona | 73c | 1,478$1,086 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.66 | 5,194 | 55.2%2,869 W · 2,325 L | +131.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Procyon Gaming | 29c | 500$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 388 | 41.8%162 W · 226 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebd9…bdc7backed Procyon Gaming | 49c | 492.69$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.20per pick | 50cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3449…4030backed Procyon Gaming | 25c | 418.12$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.53 | 139 | 38.1%53 W · 86 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Procyon Gaming | 42c | 356.09$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.32 | 2,749 | 47.6%1,309 W · 1,440 L | -37.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Peladona | 56c | 323$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.43 | 3,375 | 45.7%1,542 W · 1,833 L | -84.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf20b…e27dbacked Procyon Gaming | 25c | 300$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 356 | 38.5%137 W · 219 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…5d50backed Procyon Gaming | 39c | 257.79$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.51 | 344 | 48.8%168 W · 176 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed Peladona | 54c | 256$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.61 | 1,206 | 42%506 W · 700 L | -20.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc65c…dd56backed Procyon Gaming | 33c | 240.02$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2c…787cbacked Peladona | 61c | 233.01$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.54 | 936 | 45.3%424 W · 512 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Procyon Gaming | 36c | 174.55$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.01 | 5,183 | 37.1%1,924 W · 3,259 L | -274.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Procyon Gaming | 35c | 149.25$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.79 | 2,500 | 44.6%1,115 W · 1,385 L | -67.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Procyon Gaming | 25c | 146$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.21 | 1,819 | 59%1,074 W · 745 L | +105.3wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3881…804ebacked Peladona | 73c | 123.52$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.53 | 1,598 | 51.6%824 W · 774 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bb…bd8ebacked Peladona | 71c | 107.34$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 239 | 35.6%85 W · 154 L | -19.5wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa28d…83bfbacked Procyon Gaming | 25c | 106.88$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.72 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bac…d241backed Procyon Gaming | 27c | 105.66$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.53 | 413 | 39%161 W · 252 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Peladona | 71c | 80$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.2 | 1,984 | 42.2%838 W · 1,146 L | -74.1wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Peladona | 69c | 73.45$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.71 | 3,706 | 29.5%1,093 W · 2,613 L | -297.7wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e4…dd38backed Peladona | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 517 | 56.3%291 W · 226 L | +20.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d2d…b69dbacked Peladona | 71c | 49.3$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.3 | 229 | 63.3%145 W · 84 L | +23.9wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked Procyon Gaming | 41c | 48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.68 | 1,279 | 54.3%694 W · 585 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Peladona | 69c | 47$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.53 | 5,466 | 31.5%1,722 W · 3,744 L | -400.1wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked Peladona | 67c | 42$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.86 | 1,496 | 52.9%791 W · 705 L | +30.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x294b…22d2backed Procyon Gaming | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 425 | 55.3%235 W · 190 L | +17.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8c…2d81backed Peladona | 51c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 582 | 48.6%283 W · 299 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Peladona | 62c | 36.65$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.78 | 4,879 | 43.4%2,116 W · 2,763 L | -93.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked Procyon Gaming | 42c | 33.94$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.25 | 2,241 | 47.6%1,067 W · 1,174 L | -59.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7eeb…b6bdbacked Peladona | 48c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 312 | 47.8%149 W · 163 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3080…ab1fbacked Peladona | 71c | 20.97$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.98 | 8 | 100%8 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Peladona | 69c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 2,634 | 34.6%912 W · 1,722 L | -204.7wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x69d7…c25cbacked Peladona | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.20per pick | 60cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Peladona | 69c | 17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.27 | 2,502 | 43%1,077 W · 1,425 L | -73.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa32…a296backed Peladona | 77c | 16.23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.73 | 59 | 81.4%48 W · 11 L | +6.1wins | +0.10per pick | 71cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0063…2dd2backed Peladona | 74c | 16.16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.21 | 505 | 64.8%327 W · 178 L | +59.3wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Peladona vs Procyon Gaming - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Peladona vs Procyon Gaming (BO3) - CCT South America Series 5 Group StagePeladona won
- Counter-Strike: Peladona vs Procyon Gaming - Map 2 WinnerPeladona won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: PLD (-1.5) vs Procyon Gaming (+1.5)Peladona won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.