Premier League · resolved market
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-08-27?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x078b8080e649ed692721c991eeb321167f34fafb4dc024fd96a314dc062aa53c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $120,622
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $127,899
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $120,622 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 12c | 12,527$1,463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,462.96 | 1,218 | 32.2%392 W · 826 L | -17.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x821d…cf16backed No | 11c | 5,780$637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$636.89 | 109 | 42.2%46 W · 63 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -21%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked No | 14c | 5,645$775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$775.37 | 94 | 57.4%54 W · 40 L | +6.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x56d8…1ccebacked No | 13c | 4,332$543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$543.26 | 27 | 14.8%4 W · 23 L | -6.7wins | -0.25per pick | 40cpaid | -72.9%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed No | 14c | 3,720$519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.26 | 225 | 37.8%85 W · 140 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 11c | 3,452$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.64 | 1,028 | 36.2%372 W · 656 L | -19.5wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 13c | 3,426$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433.2 | 859 | 52.7%453 W · 406 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd63…050fbacked No | 13c | 3,388$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 13c | 3,320$431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430.84 | 749 | 50.7%380 W · 369 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed No | 19c | 3,217$599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.27 | 218 | 52.3%114 W · 104 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c95…ed41backed No | 14c | 3,000$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.99 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 12c | 3,000$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.99 | 1,328 | 42.4%563 W · 765 L | -29.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 10c | 2,936$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.41 | 1,821 | 34.6%630 W · 1,191 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 15c | 2,632$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.8 | 657 | 44.6%293 W · 364 L | -21.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 10c | 1,454$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.99 | 4,892 | 41.5%2,028 W · 2,864 L | +25.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -15%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 14c | 1,388$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.77 | 1,426 | 44.3%632 W · 794 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 12c | 1,320$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.54 | 2,613 | 47.6%1,245 W · 1,368 L | +42.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67b7…5918backed No | 6c | 1,313$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 14c | 1,056$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.55 | 1,383 | 48.3%668 W · 715 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 15c | 1,051$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.6 | 878 | 48.3%424 W · 454 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 15c | 1,022$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.28 | 654 | 47.4%310 W · 344 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 11c | 997.09$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.45 | 689 | 32.9%227 W · 462 L | -32.4wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 16c | 873.6$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.76 | 601 | 47.8%287 W · 314 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa457…a061backed No | 15c | 548$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.2 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.9wins | -0.36per pick | 49cpaid | -82.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 11c | 478$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.58 | 867 | 48.7%422 W · 445 L | -12.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbef…0c11backed Yes | 80c | 375$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 69cpaid | +17%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbe4…e51fbacked No | 15c | 350$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.5 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0c5…8c8abacked No | 8c | 312.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 131 | 35.9%47 W · 84 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaae5…7974backed No | 17c | 240.96$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.96 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ff6…dc1bbacked No | 13c | 236$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x242f…6fa9backed No | 8c | 203.25$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.26 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1bc…ddb7backed No | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 40cpaid | +70.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7091…96f8backed No | 14c | 199.98$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 73 | 43.8%32 W · 41 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcd0…b719backed No | 13c | 186.11$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.19 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa278…3369backed No | 8c | 149.3$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.94 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x815b…a1c7backed No | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +3.1wins | +0.18per pick | 46cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9527…888bbacked No | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02b9…60c6backed No | 14c | 99.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.19per pick | 46cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…b506backed No | 15c | 90.87$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.44 | 75 | 42.7%32 W · 43 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x308f…91a8backed Yes | 80c | 62.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x124e…a8a9backed No | 19c | 60$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +3.2wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4bb…4645backed Yes | 80c | 40$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31a6…a56dbacked Yes | 76c | 26.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.45 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +56.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8f6…4f7fbacked Yes | 78c | 14.04$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.09 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | +4.3wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-08-27?this page
- Will Chelsea FC vs. Luton Town FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Luton Town FC win on 2026-08-27?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.