Premier League · resolved market
Will Luton Town FC win on 2026-08-27?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1af108a17bfe7057ad22e5ebee02c4ccb4ac5f09b4988e72aad360a9d68ff07a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $266,062
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $260,484
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $266,062 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 3c | 114,700$3,272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,271.86 | 1,218 | 32.2%392 W · 826 L | -17.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes | 4c | 21,059$767 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$767.05 | 601 | 47.8%287 W · 314 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x821d…cf16backed Yes | 3c | 14,046$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.83 | 109 | 42.2%46 W · 63 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -21%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Yes | 3c | 9,313$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.87 | 205 | 57.1%117 W · 88 L | +11.0wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 3c | 6,852$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.7 | 1,028 | 36.2%372 W · 656 L | -19.5wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64e9…eb4cbacked Yes | 5c | 6,697$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.04 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 3c | 6,464$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.4 | 4,892 | 41.5%2,028 W · 2,864 L | +25.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -15%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Yes | 4c | 2,995$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.86 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5663…63c1backed Yes | 3c | 2,932$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.56 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 3c | 2,718$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.38 | 1,328 | 42.4%563 W · 765 L | -29.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc34…b4a9backed Yes | 4c | 2,694$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.62 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Yes | 4c | 2,683$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.28 | 225 | 37.8%85 W · 140 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 3c | 2,581$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.7 | 1,426 | 44.3%632 W · 794 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe073…9959backed Yes | 3c | 2,086$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 4c | 1,826$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.39 | 1,821 | 34.6%630 W · 1,191 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf294…7967backed Yes | 4c | 1,300$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.8 | 48 | 31.3%15 W · 33 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e9f…6561backed Yes | 4c | 1,136$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes | 4c | 880$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.78 | 228 | 47.8%109 W · 119 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa320…6222backed Yes | 4c | 639.38$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x274c…c667backed Yes | 4c | 541.83$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5c9…a4fcbacked Yes | 4c | 512.7$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.9 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +116.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Yes | 4c | 463.92$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.09 | 369 | 51.2%189 W · 180 L | +13.5wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe6…a99fbacked Yes | 4c | 340.91$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 16cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Luton Town FC win on 2026-08-27?this page
- Will Chelsea FC vs. Luton Town FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-08-27?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.