Tennis · resolved market
Thionville: Hugo Gaston vs Daniil Glinka
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x07d94ccddba8550bcebfd57499946270517bcf82b0ae9ecd8114ffc900343c43
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Hugo Gastonof Hugo Gaston, Daniil Glinka
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,055
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,830
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,055 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Daniil Glinka | 30c | 3,137$945 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$944.89 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Daniil Glinka | 16c | 3,026$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.13 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb893…bf4bbacked Hugo Gaston | 64c | 1,875$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$675 | 632 | 47.6%301 W · 331 L | -15.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Daniil Glinka | 15c | 1,448$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.59 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Daniil Glinka | 17c | 1,003$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.08 | 1,265 | 29.2%370 W · 895 L | -13.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb31…7b95backed Daniil Glinka | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 680 | 26.2%178 W · 502 L | -24.5wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x545d…c122backed Daniil Glinka | 23c | 951.59$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218 | 460 | 30.4%140 W · 320 L | -18.7wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Daniil Glinka | 20c | 900.79$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.57 | 2,761 | 53.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L | +73.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8816…7738backed Hugo Gaston | 79c | 749.39$592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.37 | 1,106 | 50.3%556 W · 550 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Hugo Gaston | 64c | 743.35$478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.36 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Hugo Gaston | 63c | 710.99$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.07 | 810 | 47.9%388 W · 422 L | +30.1wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Daniil Glinka | 20c | 567.52$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.28 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Hugo Gaston | 78c | 538.9$419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.77 | 813 | 49.1%399 W · 414 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Daniil Glinka | 24c | 485.95$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.79 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x860e…a06dbacked Daniil Glinka | 21c | 430.48$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 120 | 32.5%39 W · 81 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Daniil Glinka | 36c | 399.99$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.23 | 1,809 | 43.8%793 W · 1,016 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Daniil Glinka | 37c | 324.32$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 530 | 58.1%308 W · 222 L | +15.8wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb3…9dfdbacked Hugo Gaston | 64c | 312.5$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.5 | 123 | 60.2%74 W · 49 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Hugo Gaston | 65c | 307.69$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.69 | 2,044 | 53.8%1,100 W · 944 L | +61.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Daniil Glinka | 37c | 293.92$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.75 | 1,588 | 47%746 W · 842 L | -24.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed Hugo Gaston | 79c | 240$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.6 | 864 | 70%605 W · 259 L | +43.2wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Hugo Gaston | 61c | 162.83$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.87 | 4,934 | 41.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L | -77.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f41…5c9fbacked Daniil Glinka | 36c | 133.56$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.42 | 158 | 48.7%77 W · 81 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4a4…3117backed Daniil Glinka | 18c | 130.43$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.33 | 123 | 13.8%17 W · 106 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 17cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…534cbacked Hugo Gaston | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 779 | 67.8%528 W · 251 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc00…79f8backed Hugo Gaston | 63c | 100$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 410 | 60.5%248 W · 162 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb32…787dbacked Hugo Gaston | 65c | 92.31$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.31 | 80 | 68.8%55 W · 25 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd8…39b1backed Hugo Gaston | 63c | 90.48$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.48 | 182 | 48.9%89 W · 93 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ac9…cf1abacked Hugo Gaston | 62c | 80.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.15 | 402 | 64.4%259 W · 143 L | +12.8wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa02…8b07backed Hugo Gaston | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.37 | 80 | 68.8%55 W · 25 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9694…b7adbacked Hugo Gaston | 63c | 79.36$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.36 | 2,058 | 59.5%1,225 W · 833 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50ca…bfddbacked Hugo Gaston | 63c | 79.27$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.33 | 603 | 42%253 W · 350 L | +11.1wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6525…c12cbacked Hugo Gaston | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.92 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Daniil Glinka | 32c | 75.33$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.15 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Daniil Glinka | 14c | 71.81$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Hugo Gaston | 76c | 71$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.38 | 990 | 44.8%444 W · 546 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…ca77backed Daniil Glinka | 19c | 65.97$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.68 | 142 | 25.4%36 W · 106 L | -10.2wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Daniil Glinka | 38c | 63.12$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.98 | 1,973 | 46.3%914 W · 1,059 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Hugo Gaston | 64c | 62.5$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 1,615 | 50.6%817 W · 798 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31dd…7159backed Daniil Glinka | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 903 | 40.2%363 W · 540 L | +4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48f9…cd95backed Hugo Gaston | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 46 | 67.4%31 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d7…3942backed Hugo Gaston | 64c | 46.95$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.95 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | -3.9wins | -0.13per pick | 69cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Daniil Glinka | 36c | 42$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.12 | 770 | 47.9%369 W · 401 L | -19.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f3…999fbacked Hugo Gaston | 62c | 39.99$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.2 | 957 | 42.1%403 W · 554 L | -24.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc253…5800backed Hugo Gaston | 64c | 39.06$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.06 | 141 | 61.7%87 W · 54 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddf5…aaa3backed Daniil Glinka | 40c | 37.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 692 | 53.3%369 W · 323 L | -10.4wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Daniil Glinka | 37c | 33.89$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.54 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1793…4ebbbacked Hugo Gaston | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 940 | 60.6%570 W · 370 L | +11.3wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa307…8ea3backed Daniil Glinka | 37c | 32.04$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.85 | 227 | 47.6%108 W · 119 L | +14.9wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1121…6604backed Daniil Glinka | 36c | 28$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 228 | 47.4%108 W · 120 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e0a…745dbacked Daniil Glinka | 36c | 28$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 292 | 44.5%130 W · 162 L | -8.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c89…e6f7backed Hugo Gaston | 73c | 27.52$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.52 | 67 | 70.1%47 W · 20 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0154…30f7backed Hugo Gaston | 64c | 23.44$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.44 | 524 | 57.4%301 W · 223 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x370c…3eb1backed Hugo Gaston | 65c | 22$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.71 | 96 | 60.4%58 W · 38 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x584d…d358backed Hugo Gaston | 78c | 14.44$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.18 | 341 | 59.5%203 W · 138 L | -8.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Thionville: Hugo Gaston vs Daniil Glinkathis page
- Gaston vs. Glinka: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Over won
- Set 1 Winner: Gaston vs GlinkaGaston won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.