Lol · resolved market
LoL: GMBLERS ESPORTS vs NightBirds (BO1) - EMEA Masters Swiss Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0953b6db8431250faffeb7e9faefcabb0d04fda6480e607f8d8914f23f84b101
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- NightBirdsof GMBLERS ESPORTS, NightBirds
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,172
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,314
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,172 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8725…eb10backed GMBLERS ESPORTS | 20c | 4,967$1,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,010.48 | 2,222 | 37.4%832 W · 1,390 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x048f…9992backed GMBLERS ESPORTS | 1c | 4,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 592 | 0%0 W · 592 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac75…1319backed NightBirds | 80c | 3,657$2,926 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$731.43 | 233 | 51.1%119 W · 114 L | +7.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…e8c1backed GMBLERS ESPORTS | 21c | 2,390$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.42 | 1,301 | 38.6%502 W · 799 L | -65.9wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x653e…bbc0backed GMBLERS ESPORTS | 19c | 2,367$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.88 | 409 | 33.7%138 W · 271 L | -29.4wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7787backed NightBirds | 79c | 1,500$1,185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.99 | 642 | 43%276 W · 366 L | -27.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6918…782bbacked NightBirds | 79c | 1,013$801 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.7 | 1,490 | 54.6%813 W · 677 L | +36.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0249…5b4bbacked GMBLERS ESPORTS | 18c | 844.96$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.09 | 37 | 13.5%5 W · 32 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03c5…5f61backed GMBLERS ESPORTS | 16c | 610$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.6 | 169 | 33.1%56 W · 113 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb57f…0c96backed GMBLERS ESPORTS | 20c | 423.8$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.94 | 437 | 39.8%174 W · 263 L | -23.9wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed GMBLERS ESPORTS | 21c | 402.1$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.44 | 1,587 | 43.8%695 W · 892 L | -73.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b4c…1715backed GMBLERS ESPORTS | 10c | 400$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 548 | 24.3%133 W · 415 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24dc…25abbacked GMBLERS ESPORTS | 20c | 381.38$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.72 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed GMBLERS ESPORTS | 8c | 360$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.35 | 1,079 | 26%281 W · 798 L | -99.0wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed GMBLERS ESPORTS | 20c | 307.82$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.37 | 1,536 | 43.8%672 W · 864 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bac…d241backed GMBLERS ESPORTS | 19c | 288.89$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.38 | 206 | 31.6%65 W · 141 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed GMBLERS ESPORTS | 7c | 275.82$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.61 | 1,053 | 23.4%246 W · 807 L | -76.9wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -50.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc52…dfcebacked NightBirds | 77c | 268.99$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.87 | 201 | 54.7%110 W · 91 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked GMBLERS ESPORTS | 16c | 253.67$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.43 | 2,923 | 44.5%1,300 W · 1,623 L | -91.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked GMBLERS ESPORTS | 12c | 246.43$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.43 | 1,952 | 30.6%597 W · 1,355 L | -166.9wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x40fc…498dbacked GMBLERS ESPORTS | 21c | 238.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 197 | 35%69 W · 128 L | -12.4wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…5a3fbacked GMBLERS ESPORTS | 21c | 190.71$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 903 | 37.5%339 W · 564 L | -18.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5b…1578backed GMBLERS ESPORTS | 18c | 182.06$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.34 | 86 | 48.8%42 W · 44 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked GMBLERS ESPORTS | 8c | 155.79$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.92 | 1,349 | 31.1%420 W · 929 L | -128.5wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xee5a…9f70backed GMBLERS ESPORTS | 20c | 150$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed GMBLERS ESPORTS | 19c | 118.81$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.2 | 1,818 | 39.9%726 W · 1,092 L | -59.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked GMBLERS ESPORTS | 21c | 112.8$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.33 | 1,899 | 37.1%705 W · 1,194 L | -113.9wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2957…b26abacked GMBLERS ESPORTS | 18c | 104.76$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 137 | 39.4%54 W · 83 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0241…fd36backed NightBirds | 73c | 101$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.27 | 398 | 56.5%225 W · 173 L | +11.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92db…68d2backed GMBLERS ESPORTS | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed NightBirds | 78c | 96.16$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.16 | 1,930 | 48.2%930 W · 1,000 L | +24.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed NightBirds | 80c | 90.8$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.16 | 2,490 | 47.3%1,179 W · 1,311 L | -31.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked GMBLERS ESPORTS | 14c | 80.8$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.24 | 1,239 | 37.3%462 W · 777 L | -39.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -27%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0593…9712backed NightBirds | 80c | 73$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.83 | 124 | 69.4%86 W · 38 L | +7.8wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e2…f6fbbacked GMBLERS ESPORTS | 18c | 71$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.78 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.22per pick | 38cpaid | +67.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xad2c…4eecbacked GMBLERS ESPORTS | 19c | 67.24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.46 | 142 | 45.8%65 W · 77 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked GMBLERS ESPORTS | 20c | 61.89$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 139 | 41.7%58 W · 81 L | -7.8wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfef9…d6e9backed GMBLERS ESPORTS | 23c | 52.17$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1436…0121backed NightBirds | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 660 | 58.8%388 W · 272 L | -36.9wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbac…87c5backed NightBirds | 80c | 24$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed NightBirds | 77c | 18.33$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.22 | 751 | 50.7%381 W · 370 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1812…c143backed NightBirds | 75c | 13.4$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.35 | 95 | 58.9%56 W · 39 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.