TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Wild vs. Utah

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Utahof Wild, Utah
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$98,233
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$93,646

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $98,233 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 147 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3e04…564dbacked Wild43c22,753$9,703 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,702.981,89152.4%991 W · 900 L+36.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe8e1…77bfbacked Utah62c20,012$12,407 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,604.612055%11 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xafba…e61bbacked Wild38c15,595$5,926 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,926.116645.8%76 W · 90 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe32e…890bbacked Utah60c8,623$5,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,473.4736242%152 W · 210 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Wild37c8,155$3,017 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,017.472847.9%349 W · 379 L-1.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Wild38c6,047$2,296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,295.7192848.5%450 W · 478 L+17.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b5e…83f8backed Utah63c4,726$2,988 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,737.577758.4%45 W · 32 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+11.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe505…d18bbacked Utah61c4,311$2,630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,681.236357.1%36 W · 27 L+4.7wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+19.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4d34…b76fbacked Utah62c4,000$2,480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,5202744.4%12 W · 15 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e25…d7a7backed Utah52c3,666$1,906 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,759.494134.1%14 W · 27 L-4.7wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8511…4a6bbacked Wild37c3,176$1,175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,175.1220147.8%96 W · 105 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Wild37c2,432$899 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$899.479251.1%405 W · 387 L+21.7wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Utah57c2,144$1,225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$918.7697651.6%504 W · 472 L-3.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6357…63febacked Wild37c1,878$695 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$694.75728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick39cpaid-31.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfaae…8a95backed Utah61c1,805$1,101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$703.931163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick62cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf8df…2521backed Wild39c1,800$702 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7022857.1%16 W · 12 L+2.6wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+8.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd0ad…5176backed Wild38c1,794$682 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$681.7129847%140 W · 158 L+12.7wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Wild42c1,568$651 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$651.441,63650.4%825 W · 811 L-20.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4aef…9337backed Wild37c1,400$518 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51825340.7%103 W · 150 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick42cpaid+0.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked Wild40c847.42$335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$335.1972444.6%323 W · 401 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7f65…d7aebacked Utah57c701.75$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301.7514844.6%66 W · 82 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Wild37c608$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.8560549.3%298 W · 307 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb5d2…317bbacked Utah62c605$375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.915663.5%99 W · 57 L+17.0wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+22.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x994e…9cf5backed Wild38c599.49$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.8149351.3%253 W · 240 L+8.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x40e3…0787backed Wild7c585.78$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.7532331.3%101 W · 222 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-28.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3861…5433backed Wild42c504.76$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21220%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd547…7800backed Wild42c476.19$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20020%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0cb2…3f22backed Utah63c475.97$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.11450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51a6…5c40backed Wild37c475.97$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.11742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-16.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Wild20c475.81$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.823,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcace…f237backed Utah60c474.44$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.032100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+97.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x16cc…774fbacked Wild27c404.49$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.21333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde0d…26fbbacked Utah60c337.12$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.85250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-16.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Wild8c322.53$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.581,40647%661 W · 745 L+58.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-0.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfcfe…3bc1backed Wild16c319.77$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502133.3%7 W · 14 L-2.6wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-26.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xbbff…6250backed Wild42c285.71$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12020%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc94b…fd9bbacked Wild37c270.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10038040.5%154 W · 226 L-16.2wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x034b…8bc0backed Wild37c268.4$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.313452.9%18 W · 16 L+4.3wins+0.13per pick40cpaid+35.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Wild38c263.16$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,03955.2%574 W · 465 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9730…4504backed Utah77c259.62$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.622441.7%10 W · 14 L-5.1wins-0.21per pick63cpaid-26.4%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0x0425…d60bbacked Wild42c250$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick38cpaid-29.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Wild38c242.14$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.821,47548.3%712 W · 763 L+2.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x54f5…9093backed Wild17c229.05$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$408638.4%33 W · 53 L-4.9wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-16.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x62f7…a210backed Wild39c229.04$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.291127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.9wins-0.27per pick54cpaid-48.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xaf16…f722backed Utah58c200$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$841060%6 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfdda…f92dbacked Wild42c200$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84944.4%4 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid+3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf33f…085cbacked Wild42c200$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8381846%376 W · 442 L+4.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xed61…9aa3backed Wild11c199.99$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2158467.5%394 W · 190 L+93.1wins+0.16per pick52cpaid+32.9%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0x4103…9b9ebacked Wild39c194.38$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.8128842%121 W · 167 L-12.4wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-13.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa61f…7ceabacked Wild41c169$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.291464.3%9 W · 5 L+2.1wins+0.15per pick49cpaid+39.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x510a…cd0ebacked Utah59c169$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.291361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+11.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xff76…61e6backed Utah60c164.73$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.89250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-16.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9f5c…c46abacked Wild41c160$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.61338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-25.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb062…2811backed Utah59c160$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.61650%8 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7865…45e8backed Wild42c158.98$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.771250%6 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf061…2572backed Utah64c156.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.253842.1%16 W · 22 L-2.9wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-28.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf56d…a6bebacked Wild40c154.03$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.612045%9 W · 11 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-13.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf862…e2babacked Utah64c153.03$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.092653.8%14 W · 12 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd28…374abacked Utah61c150$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.5520%1 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.25per pick45cpaid-67.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x05c0…823bbacked Utah60c145.42$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.171145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf7c4…5919backed Wild12c133.33$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1654418%98 W · 446 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick17cpaid-6.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c46…be29backed Utah60c133.33$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.3321255.7%118 W · 94 L-8.7wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-7.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Wild38c131.58$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501,03755%570 W · 467 L-0.8wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x24b9…bcb1backed Wild8c125$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1014012.9%18 W · 122 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick16cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Wild37c122$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.1148149.3%237 W · 244 L+0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc047…1140backed Utah58c113$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.461100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4aae…fc99backed Utah59c109$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.69580%4 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.23per pick57cpaid+48%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x861b…45a1backed Wild41c109$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.69728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.14per pick43cpaid-33.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfb3c…28c2backed Wild41c108$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.28742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0979…d9a5backed Utah59c108$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.28520%1 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.30per pick50cpaid-66.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3585…1595backed Wild39c105$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.368440.5%34 W · 50 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5252…ce9bbacked Utah59c102$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.82683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.26per pick58cpaid+55.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2a8d…007dbacked Wild41c102$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.82540%2 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.19per pick59cpaid-39%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd180…0989backed Utah59c101.35$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.451457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+13.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8d3d…ce68backed Utah64c101.19$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.431758.8%10 W · 7 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9353…cdbebacked Utah63c100$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3750857.7%293 W · 215 L+0.4wins0.00per pick58cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x927f…e7e7backed Wild38c100$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3810124.8%25 W · 76 L-11.2wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-35.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x64c8…81fcbacked Utah58c100$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$421127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.3wins-0.21per pick49cpaid-44.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x4736…33acbacked Wild42c100$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$421127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.6wins-0.23per pick51cpaid-46%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xaf9f…624cbacked Wild38c100$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3834032.4%110 W · 230 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5036…416bbacked Wild36c99.98$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.9927643.5%120 W · 156 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbdba…dd54backed Utah64c98.2$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.351650%8 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-14.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x85bc…5c35backed Utah62c97.81$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.361457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf04f…a8c4backed Wild39c92.22$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.316437.2%61 W · 103 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1844…b1e3backed Utah59c90$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.9875%6 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+48.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9df2…1cf1backed Wild41c90$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.91136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-25.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a4e…b5efbacked Wild38c88.87$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.771346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-12.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa37d…9526backed Utah61c86.84$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.871656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x399e…119abacked Wild38c82.58$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.381560%9 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+14.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x187a…f263backed Wild40c80.05$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.02728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.23per pick52cpaid-47.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2d21…9f6bbacked Utah59c75$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.751361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.6wins+0.12per pick49cpaid+28.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2063…0464backed Wild41c75$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.751250%6 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x57fc…b401backed Wild38c73.11$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.781154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xafbc…a8b5backed Wild38c72.13$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.418050%40 W · 40 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-0.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x27ff…c60dbacked Utah61c71.75$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.981844.4%8 W · 10 L-2.0wins-0.11per pick55cpaid-27.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc0ad…3055backed Utah59c70$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.7966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+25.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9e54…ac23backed Wild41c70$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.71233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.8wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-32.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xae36…0dc6backed Wild35c70$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.46246.8%29 W · 33 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ffd…e62cbacked Utah61c68.52$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.88633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.22per pick56cpaid-40.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa337…9e54backed Wild38c65.79$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2541954.4%228 W · 191 L-1.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.