MLB · resolved market
First Round Pool C: South Korea vs. Czechia
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0ab34f2925a56ad7ea3b4ecf2c8de7358d7d71e086a1936370cb1ac324f175d9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- South Koreaof South Korea, Czechia
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $71,467
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $71,467 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Czechia | 1c | 13,354$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.35 | 392 | 9.4%37 W · 355 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f90…a473backed Czechia | 1c | 6,661$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.31 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97ff…f76abacked Czechia | 1c | 3,412$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.61 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 20cpaid | +135.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcad…df78backed Czechia | 1c | 2,340$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.8 | 109 | 30.3%33 W · 76 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e1…4656backed Czechia | 4c | 1,510$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.45 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Czechia | 6c | 1,483$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.44 | 477 | 45.7%218 W · 259 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…0876backed Czechia | 7c | 1,472$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.81 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7216…0d67backed Czechia | 4c | 1,428$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Czechia | 5c | 1,096$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.99 | 310 | 38.4%119 W · 191 L | +9.7wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Czechia | 7c | 920.22$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.7 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Czechia | 6c | 628$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.56 | 205 | 48.3%99 W · 106 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddd3…dba6backed Czechia | 4c | 585.9$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.77 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +2.8wins | +0.14per pick | 31cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Czechia | 5c | 500$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.11 | 408 | 46.1%188 W · 220 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c19…94f5backed Czechia | 14c | 459.19$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.63 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | -3.4wins | -0.21per pick | 27cpaid | -89.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7071…8352backed Czechia | 8c | 449.13$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.99 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 27cpaid | -78.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Czechia | 5c | 371.68$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.08 | 100 | 33%33 W · 67 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9583…172cbacked Czechia | 5c | 363.42$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.14 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 19cpaid | +48.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed Czechia | 5c | 353.45$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.89 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 7cpaid | +201%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Czechia | 4c | 345.09$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.25 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccd0…2222backed Czechia | 7c | 300$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 113 | 46.9%53 W · 60 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed Czechia | 6c | 249.69$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.98 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +5.6wins | +0.24per pick | 11cpaid | +228.1%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x96ca…5a71backed Czechia | 7c | 162.59$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 252 | 47.6%120 W · 132 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36bf…2864backed South Korea | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4156…0263backed Czechia | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.