Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs South America Rejects - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0ae9d76225b3a1799e138e28424bf4ccb6b1735e862762712a8f629e7199eef5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- South America Rejectsof Team Yandex, South America Rejects
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $102,907
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $120,748
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $102,907 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 147 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked South America Rejects | 30c | 10,378$3,074 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,304.49 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed Team Yandex | 74c | 8,009$5,906 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,905.69 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed South America Rejects | 8c | 6,979$558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,420.7 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +3.1wins | +0.31per pick | 39cpaid | +200.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x124e…6802backed Team Yandex | 77c | 6,649$5,096 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,096.02 | 130 | 68.5%89 W · 41 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5011…94b4backed Team Yandex | 21c | 5,496$1,154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,154.12 | 246 | 36.6%90 W · 156 L | -14.4wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Team Yandex | 66c | 2,985$1,976 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,976.12 | 804 | 43.9%353 W · 451 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked Team Yandex | 68c | 2,911$1,980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,979.65 | 953 | 42.2%402 W · 551 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x913c…39b3backed South America Rejects | 79c | 2,900$2,299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$601.56 | 714 | 54.5%389 W · 325 L | +55.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x60d0…e05fbacked Team Yandex | 18c | 2,538$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456.84 | 412 | 42.2%174 W · 238 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed South America Rejects | 34c | 2,441$828 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,613.47 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed South America Rejects | 29c | 2,439$696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,742.42 | 517 | 51.3%265 W · 252 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked Team Yandex | 72c | 2,337$1,681 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,680.86 | 802 | 56%449 W · 353 L | +22.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa97f…a818backed South America Rejects | 29c | 2,175$642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,533.71 | 587 | 44%258 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…56efbacked South America Rejects | 25c | 2,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 565 | 42.8%242 W · 323 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf8…2f4abacked South America Rejects | 13c | 2,000$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,739.99 | 50 | 34%17 W · 33 L | +5.7wins | +0.11per pick | 23cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed South America Rejects | 25c | 1,952$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,464.34 | 894 | 40.3%360 W · 534 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef62…cf76backed South America Rejects | 75c | 1,926$1,437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.83 | 433 | 44.8%194 W · 239 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7756…d00abacked South America Rejects | 66c | 1,898$1,258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$639.72 | 251 | 47.4%119 W · 132 L | +12.3wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2924…0f31backed South America Rejects | 32c | 1,840$582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,258.34 | 470 | 46.6%219 W · 251 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f76…aea6backed South America Rejects | 63c | 1,688$1,062 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$626.6 | 183 | 56.8%104 W · 79 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9031…554bbacked South America Rejects | 55c | 1,434$782 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$652.43 | 102 | 62.7%64 W · 38 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69bf…0c5dbacked South America Rejects | 75c | 1,434$1,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.88 | 365 | 47.7%174 W · 191 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bcb…b05abacked South America Rejects | 68c | 1,049$713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.58 | 380 | 49.2%187 W · 193 L | +13.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +168.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b3…f473backed South America Rejects | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed Team Yandex | 20c | 941.78$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.34 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Team Yandex | 49c | 889.07$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436.88 | 670 | 43.3%290 W · 380 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70c1…dba0backed Team Yandex | 71c | 859.68$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610.38 | 226 | 43.8%99 W · 127 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed South America Rejects | 30c | 818.1$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$572.9 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7627…4404backed South America Rejects | 8c | 779.46$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$717.1 | 148 | 32.4%48 W · 100 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae4c…dcb9backed Team Yandex | 71c | 750.35$533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$532.75 | 285 | 49.1%140 W · 145 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3d…cfffbacked Team Yandex | 35c | 750$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.5 | 367 | 59.1%217 W · 150 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacf6…41fcbacked South America Rejects | 16c | 749.99$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$629.99 | 606 | 46.9%284 W · 322 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3601…44fbbacked Team Yandex | 40c | 727.39$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.16 | 169 | 54.4%92 W · 77 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Team Yandex | 71c | 714.39$508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$508.24 | 568 | 52.5%298 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…eba1backed Team Yandex | 5c | 700$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.25 | 613 | 2.1%13 W · 600 L | -23.4wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…c7b2backed Team Yandex | 74c | 696.85$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515.21 | 156 | 50.6%79 W · 77 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1f…aa39backed South America Rejects | 66c | 682.04$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.09 | 450 | 61.6%277 W · 173 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…e798backed Team Yandex | 75c | 623.83$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468 | 720 | 35.1%253 W · 467 L | -24.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…165bbacked South America Rejects | 21c | 566.07$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.23 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bb4…a903backed Team Yandex | 71c | 558.25$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.1 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -7.1wins | -0.19per pick | 63cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x45dd…c32ebacked Team Yandex | 36c | 546.41$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.85 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c67…d062backed South America Rejects | 36c | 532.82$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.49 | 1,137 | 42.3%481 W · 656 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad69…7397backed Team Yandex | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 511 | 40.3%206 W · 305 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x307d…9163backed South America Rejects | 63c | 500$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -7.7wins | -0.15per pick | 61cpaid | -30%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Team Yandex | 68c | 500$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 562 | 43.2%243 W · 319 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2133…7903backed Team Yandex | 33c | 499.99$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 344 | 43.9%151 W · 193 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…92fbbacked Team Yandex | 39c | 494.05$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.68 | 271 | 43.5%118 W · 153 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8ca…cccbbacked South America Rejects | 50c | 485$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.5 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +6.2wins | +0.26per pick | 37cpaid | +171.9%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x8705…edbabacked South America Rejects | 30c | 466.18$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.13 | 430 | 49.1%211 W · 219 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd56b…342dbacked South America Rejects | 65c | 443.93$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.38 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5808…d235backed South America Rejects | 28c | 441.81$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.3 | 117 | 44.4%52 W · 65 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x823b…59e9backed South America Rejects | 79c | 441.13$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.51 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeea8…0412backed Team Yandex | 71c | 411.68$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.88 | 89 | 46.1%41 W · 48 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc63b…6e4ebacked Team Yandex | 25c | 400.84$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.6 | 350 | 32.3%113 W · 237 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -22%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41a6…fbadbacked Team Yandex | 72c | 398.08$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.83 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe843…0699backed South America Rejects | 16c | 393.97$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.38 | 111 | 31.5%35 W · 76 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdcdd…73a5backed South America Rejects | 79c | 374.96$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.74 | 157 | 39.5%62 W · 95 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x491d…f42bbacked South America Rejects | 63c | 357.05$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.11 | 396 | 60.1%238 W · 158 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed Team Yandex | 37c | 349.99$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.5 | 280 | 44.3%124 W · 156 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa88…85a5backed South America Rejects | 30c | 333.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.46 | 696 | 44.5%310 W · 386 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4dde…cff5backed South America Rejects | 30c | 325.72$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228 | 336 | 44%148 W · 188 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…40e8backed Team Yandex | 26c | 325.11$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.5 | 114 | 50.9%58 W · 56 L | +9.4wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb635…bef0backed Team Yandex | 69c | 320$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.8 | 303 | 36.6%111 W · 192 L | -18.4wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc49b…70c0backed Team Yandex | 30c | 300$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89 | 630 | 32.5%205 W · 425 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Team Yandex | 47c | 289.23$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.02 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d30…11f1backed Team Yandex | 17c | 273.85$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.56 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +4.2wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed South America Rejects | 29c | 267.28$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.57 | 565 | 48%271 W · 294 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked Team Yandex | 47c | 265$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.59 | 690 | 33.3%230 W · 460 L | -27.9wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Team Yandex | 51c | 234.67$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.09 | 1,280 | 45%576 W · 704 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked South America Rejects | 40c | 233.58$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.15 | 138 | 50%69 W · 69 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72be…c534backed South America Rejects | 30c | 223.53$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.47 | 577 | 35%202 W · 375 L | -14.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Team Yandex | 72c | 200$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 1,248 | 44.4%554 W · 694 L | +17.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x848d…9867backed Team Yandex | 60c | 200$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 925 | 61.2%566 W · 359 L | +53.8wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd1…2812backed Team Yandex | 68c | 199.9$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.93 | 118 | 36.4%43 W · 75 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6001…0457backed South America Rejects | 27c | 197.02$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.92 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…ed28backed South America Rejects | 49c | 193.82$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.79 | 605 | 52.6%318 W · 287 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x812a…73edbacked South America Rejects | 19c | 181.89$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.58 | 372 | 23.1%86 W · 286 L | -38.2wins | -0.10per pick | 33cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc159…f3c8backed South America Rejects | 19c | 150.44$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.44 | 192 | 38.5%74 W · 118 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1193…d9c4backed Team Yandex | 38c | 149.93$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.67 | 78 | 59%46 W · 32 L | +7.1wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbd08…2c93backed South America Rejects | 75c | 147.75$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.94 | 167 | 52.7%88 W · 79 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3f1…c252backed South America Rejects | 28c | 147.62$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.69 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d44…49e6backed Team Yandex | 69c | 142.57$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.04 | 721 | 54%389 W · 332 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa127…e94cbacked South America Rejects | 22c | 128.28$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.65 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c8…a184backed Team Yandex | 41c | 123$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.39 | 360 | 44.2%159 W · 201 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63a2…5bc1backed Team Yandex | 42c | 115.58$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.25 | 126 | 38.9%49 W · 77 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce7a…fef0backed Team Yandex | 42c | 114.9$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.26 | 191 | 45.5%87 W · 104 L | +13.9wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x127e…cca1backed South America Rejects | 62c | 114.09$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.55 | 461 | 50.8%234 W · 227 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec69…d6d8backed Team Yandex | 37c | 110.17$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.12 | 208 | 58.7%122 W · 86 L | +22.1wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked South America Rejects | 26c | 110$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.4 | 702 | 36.6%257 W · 445 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed Team Yandex | 36c | 101$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.55 | 653 | 37.2%243 W · 410 L | -15.1wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed Team Yandex | 71c | 100$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 204 | 48%98 W · 106 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27e9…f09ebacked Team Yandex | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 82 | 53.7%44 W · 38 L | +8.4wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6617…29bdbacked Team Yandex | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 90 | 45.6%41 W · 49 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40db…ca8cbacked South America Rejects | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 540 | 58.9%318 W · 222 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…6854backed Team Yandex | 71c | 100$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 1,797 | 55.8%1,003 W · 794 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfabc…7178backed Team Yandex | 20c | 99.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.87 | 107 | 38.3%41 W · 66 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0a…320abacked South America Rejects | 39c | 91.19$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.59 | 920 | 56.4%519 W · 401 L | +78.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x38c5…0f5cbacked South America Rejects | 34c | 89.76$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.24 | 582 | 50.5%294 W · 288 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf456…3855backed Team Yandex | 37c | 86.25$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.89 | 173 | 37.6%65 W · 108 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00f8…2c23backed Team Yandex | 65c | 85.14$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.75 | 305 | 34.4%105 W · 200 L | -14.3wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Team Yandex vs South America Rejects - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Team Yandex vs South America Rejects (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group StageSouth America Rejects won
- Dota 2: Team Yandex vs South America Rejects - Game 2 WinnerSouth America Rejects won
- Game Handicap: TY (-1.5) vs South America Rejects (+1.5)South America Rejects won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.