TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Mls · resolved market

Philadelphia Union vs. Atlanta United FC: Atlanta United FC O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$5,320
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$5,318

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,320 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 15 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Mls
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc291…5d74backed Over27c3,994$1,094 inWon+$2,899.561,88036.6%688 W · 1,192 L-7.3wins0.00per pick37cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x191b…5b67backed Under73c2,045$1,493 inLost-$1,493.11366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x86c8…c867backed Under72c2,018$1,453 inLost-$1,452.783450%17 W · 17 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+17.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x91fe…c1c6backed Over12c316$38 inWon+$278.0838246.1%176 W · 206 L+13.2wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+10.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9cab…f595backed Under74c195.95$145 inLost-$145837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.16per pick54cpaid-0.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x84d4…77a9backed Over28c192.46$54 inWon+$138.5719642.9%84 W · 112 L-9.0wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5659…7a6bbacked Over29c169.1$49 inWon+$120.3752923.8%126 W · 403 L-25.8wins-0.05per pick29cpaid-18%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under71c139.92$99 inLost-$99.363,01243.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L-29.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x56f6…cda7backed Under72c135.2$97 inLost-$97.34366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.30per pick37cpaid+253.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc9db…6789backed Over27c104.24$29 inWon+$75.598760.9%53 W · 34 L+13.7wins+0.16per pick45cpaid+24.9%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0xdc85…aa54backed Under72c86.81$63 inLost-$62.5366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.30per pick37cpaid+253.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xaaaa…6783backed Under72c47.91$34 inLost-$34.5366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.30per pick37cpaid+253.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4207…fe8abacked Under72c20.84$15 inLost-$15450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+159.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc1fd…10ccbacked Under73c16.42$12 inLost-$11.992676.9%20 W · 6 L+4.1wins+0.16per pick61cpaid+30.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5e50…c665backed Under73c13.84$10 inLost-$10.13534.3%12 W · 23 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-10.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.