TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Mls · resolved market

Spread: Atlanta United FC (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Philadelphia Unionof Atlanta United FC, Philadelphia Union
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$6,199
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$6,375

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,199 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 13 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Mls
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x91fe…c1c6backed Atlanta United FC3c1,211$38 inLost-$38.3738246.1%176 W · 206 L+13.2wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+10.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5e39…352cbacked Atlanta United FC6c1,000$60 inLost-$602630.8%8 W · 18 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-18.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Atlanta United FC5c247.85$12 inLost-$12.3920043%86 W · 114 L+7.3wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+14.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbe9f…014abacked Atlanta United FC11c236.65$27 inLost-$27.044757.4%27 W · 20 L+6.1wins+0.13per pick44cpaid+31.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3ca9…424abacked Atlanta United FC26c121.65$32 inLost-$31.9719852.5%104 W · 94 L-8.5wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-17.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Atlanta United FC34c56.97$19 inLost-$19.2280249.8%399 W · 403 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Atlanta United FC40c46$19 inLost-$18.5844350.6%224 W · 219 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Atlanta United FC37c42$16 inLost-$15.5492346.6%430 W · 493 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked Atlanta United FC36c30$11 inLost-$10.814549.7%72 W · 73 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb8ee…9e81backed Atlanta United FC48c22$11 inLost-$10.5427344.3%121 W · 152 L-8.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-18.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb602…2827backed Philadelphia Union52c22$11 inWon+$10.541100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+91.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Philadelphia Union57c21$12 inWon+$9.051,88036.6%688 W · 1,192 L-7.3wins0.00per pick37cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc1fd…10ccbacked Philadelphia Union59c19.42$11 inWon+$7.982676.9%20 W · 6 L+4.1wins+0.16per pick61cpaid+30.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.