MLB · resolved market
KBO: KT Wiz vs. Samsung Lions
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0b1f08f2d38e5b471bdfd47b30b6c85aeacc4b9780f26f77d96868b843896fc4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Samsung Lionsof KT Wiz, Samsung Lions
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,402
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,259
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,402 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1a93…c3eabacked KT Wiz | 28c | 6,982$1,980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,979.94 | 265 | 45.7%121 W · 144 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Samsung Lions | 71c | 925.93$657 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.52 | 1,912 | 53%1,014 W · 898 L | +42.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bec…07a8backed Samsung Lions | 55c | 659.93$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.97 | 249 | 46.2%115 W · 134 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Samsung Lions | 54c | 544.53$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.48 | 1,292 | 50.2%648 W · 644 L | +18.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ae5…6079backed Samsung Lions | 55c | 500$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 93 | 50.5%47 W · 46 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed KT Wiz | 44c | 499.98$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.99 | 591 | 50.3%297 W · 294 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Samsung Lions | 54c | 486$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.17 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Samsung Lions | 71c | 469.1$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.04 | 1,522 | 34.7%528 W · 994 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x457a…44debacked KT Wiz | 13c | 402$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.19 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 38cpaid | -75.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Samsung Lions | 56c | 360.87$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.78 | 509 | 49.5%252 W · 257 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafca…92b4backed Samsung Lions | 58c | 347.21$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.21 | 181 | 54.7%99 W · 82 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ee3…cab9backed KT Wiz | 42c | 337.53$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.54 | 162 | 32.1%52 W · 110 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked KT Wiz | 41c | 331.99$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.34 | 1,814 | 49.1%891 W · 923 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbca…ca8dbacked KT Wiz | 46c | 325.02$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 432 | 47%203 W · 229 L | -19.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…30a4backed KT Wiz | 43c | 300.2$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.08 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d29…f683backed Samsung Lions | 57c | 245.29$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.29 | 260 | 49.6%129 W · 131 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Samsung Lions | 55c | 200$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91 | 373 | 57.4%214 W · 159 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a88…4e57backed Samsung Lions | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 86 | 46.5%40 W · 46 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Samsung Lions | 55c | 154.55$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.55 | 443 | 48.5%215 W · 228 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Samsung Lions | 68c | 145.8$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 161 | 35.4%57 W · 104 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb171…7d2bbacked Samsung Lions | 71c | 134.21$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.92 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf709…7697backed KT Wiz | 33c | 122.12$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -4.0wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed KT Wiz | 43c | 113.51$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.23 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ad…71acbacked Samsung Lions | 57c | 104.82$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.07 | 73 | 42.5%31 W · 42 L | -8.5wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -23%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x67d3…0af2backed Samsung Lions | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +82.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Samsung Lions | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 707 | 44.7%316 W · 391 L | -22.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked KT Wiz | 44c | 99.99$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3555…ba40backed Samsung Lions | 56c | 99.41$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.74 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Samsung Lions | 56c | 94$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.61 | 256 | 48%123 W · 133 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed KT Wiz | 43c | 92.97$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.98 | 590 | 38.8%229 W · 361 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked KT Wiz | 14c | 92$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.88 | 1,843 | 43.6%804 W · 1,039 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e79…10c0backed Samsung Lions | 57c | 88.01$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.01 | 63 | 69.8%44 W · 19 L | +8.9wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…a7a0backed Samsung Lions | 55c | 80.08$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.24 | 827 | 41.1%340 W · 487 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Samsung Lions | 53c | 69.14$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 208 | 48.1%100 W · 108 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88fb…db3abacked KT Wiz | 45c | 66.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 732 | 43.4%318 W · 414 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0092…0180backed KT Wiz | 45c | 66.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…f729backed Samsung Lions | 56c | 65$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.6 | 200 | 44.5%89 W · 111 L | -8.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed KT Wiz | 43c | 63.57$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.57 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Samsung Lions | 57c | 61.37$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.37 | 664 | 48.2%320 W · 344 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Samsung Lions | 56c | 53.57$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.57 | 614 | 50.8%312 W · 302 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed KT Wiz | 44c | 53.33$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.46 | 950 | 41.5%394 W · 556 L | -48.3wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked KT Wiz | 33c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc3b…d591backed Samsung Lions | 71c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 72 | 51.4%37 W · 35 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Samsung Lions | 55c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 1,001 | 48.3%483 W · 518 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f5…bb11backed KT Wiz | 44c | 49.98$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.99 | 559 | 53.1%297 W · 262 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…eee6backed Samsung Lions | 55c | 47.27$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.27 | 145 | 55.9%81 W · 64 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47ee…289cbacked KT Wiz | 45c | 44.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20c7…bc23backed KT Wiz | 45c | 33.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 105 | 36.2%38 W · 67 L | -8.4wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2693…e86dbacked KT Wiz | 50c | 30.2$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.1 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3dc…1318backed Samsung Lions | 50c | 30.2$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.1 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +20%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15c5…4692backed Samsung Lions | 54c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 403 | 51.4%207 W · 196 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa402…d14bbacked Samsung Lions | 55c | 28.21$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.69 | 221 | 51.6%114 W · 107 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Samsung Lions | 67c | 27.05$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.93 | 447 | 45.6%204 W · 243 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0bc…f6cbbacked Samsung Lions | 50c | 25.4$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.7 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +50%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8cd3…377dbacked KT Wiz | 50c | 25.4$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.7 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…5acabacked Samsung Lions | 56c | 23$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.12 | 236 | 47%111 W · 125 L | -11.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x059d…10e3backed KT Wiz | 44c | 22.73$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 246 | 46.7%115 W · 131 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Samsung Lions | 57c | 22.3$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.64 | 704 | 55%387 W · 317 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc5f…cf7cbacked Samsung Lions | 57c | 21.21$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.12 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Samsung Lions | 56c | 20.36$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.86 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd78e…6421backed Samsung Lions | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 237 | 50.6%120 W · 117 L | -11.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77c4…d390backed Samsung Lions | 56c | 19.95$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.78 | 36 | 69.4%25 W · 11 L | +3.9wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x782b…ff64backed Samsung Lions | 60c | 19.12$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.73 | 508 | 60.2%306 W · 202 L | +29.7wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.