Tennis · resolved market
Cervia: Andrea Guerrieri vs Gabriele Piraino
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0b5147ff93eb992980cb383593ee138ad861c4d17643748ed4a1149ce4867673
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Andrea Guerrieriof Andrea Guerrieri, Gabriele Piraino
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $44,698
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $45,132
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,698 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5968…3fc4backed Gabriele Piraino | 12c | 4,729$587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$586.79 | 433 | 59.6%258 W · 175 L | +26.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4698…d7a5backed Andrea Guerrieri | 78c | 3,171$2,473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$698.18 | 536 | 55.4%297 W · 239 L | -28.6wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9dfe…a5d6backed Andrea Guerrieri | 71c | 2,106$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$606.41 | 504 | 58.9%297 W · 207 L | +9.6wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Gabriele Piraino | 12c | 1,800$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.3 | 9,038 | 36.1%3,266 W · 5,772 L | -196.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Gabriele Piraino | 14c | 1,585$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.86 | 8,241 | 45.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L | +166.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Gabriele Piraino | 31c | 1,358$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.9 | 538 | 43.5%234 W · 304 L | +9.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Andrea Guerrieri | 69c | 1,280$888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.58 | 1,683 | 50.6%851 W · 832 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Gabriele Piraino | 4c | 1,042$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.14 | 3,726 | 42.4%1,580 W · 2,146 L | -48.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Gabriele Piraino | 19c | 1,024$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.03 | 11,666 | 43.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L | +22.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa664…f849backed Gabriele Piraino | 32c | 999.99$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 856 | 34.2%293 W · 563 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Andrea Guerrieri | 68c | 924.89$629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.96 | 784 | 52.9%415 W · 369 L | +22.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa42f…5f5abacked Gabriele Piraino | 12c | 771.31$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.15 | 1,010 | 39.2%396 W · 614 L | -23.0wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57c3…44b8backed Gabriele Piraino | 16c | 671$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.44 | 62 | 25.8%16 W · 46 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 20cpaid | +113.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x568d…87d0backed Andrea Guerrieri | 75c | 615.36$461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.36 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +60.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Gabriele Piraino | 17c | 588.24$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 733 | 50.9%373 W · 360 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Andrea Guerrieri | 78c | 453.52$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.99 | 9,374 | 44.3%4,154 W · 5,220 L | -244.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Gabriele Piraino | 20c | 451.72$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.13 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Gabriele Piraino | 28c | 410.69$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.76 | 1,702 | 48.3%822 W · 880 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Gabriele Piraino | 29c | 400.69$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.2 | 1,881 | 45.7%860 W · 1,021 L | +51.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7c7…3b08backed Andrea Guerrieri | 70c | 340.15$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.75 | 509 | 58%295 W · 214 L | -26.5wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Gabriele Piraino | 28c | 337.4$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.16 | 1,754 | 49.1%862 W · 892 L | +56.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Gabriele Piraino | 31c | 319.2$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5,325 | 28.8%1,533 W · 3,792 L | -21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x400d…e759backed Andrea Guerrieri | 69c | 303.82$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.18 | 608 | 56.6%344 W · 264 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a16…9d73backed Gabriele Piraino | 10c | 296.85$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.39 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +4.2wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +49.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc547…c570backed Gabriele Piraino | 8c | 296$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.78 | 683 | 38.2%261 W · 422 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Gabriele Piraino | 31c | 290.32$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 433 | 53.6%232 W · 201 L | +32.2wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x012d…9db6backed Andrea Guerrieri | 70c | 285.71$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.71 | 855 | 68.3%584 W · 271 L | +24.6wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4232…d505backed Gabriele Piraino | 19c | 284.58$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.07 | 375 | 34.9%131 W · 244 L | -13.5wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f64…3633backed Gabriele Piraino | 29c | 273.55$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.33 | 996 | 49.5%493 W · 503 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Gabriele Piraino | 30c | 266.63$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.99 | 7,107 | 39.7%2,820 W · 4,287 L | -17.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked Gabriele Piraino | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 329 | 35%115 W · 214 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc5f…cf7cbacked Gabriele Piraino | 31c | 248.76$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.7 | 160 | 47.5%76 W · 84 L | +8.0wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60a3…3850backed Gabriele Piraino | 17c | 242.67$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.77 | 856 | 24.4%209 W · 647 L | -9.7wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd154…9c74backed Gabriele Piraino | 17c | 191.59$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.4 | 348 | 47.1%164 W · 184 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9694…b7adbacked Andrea Guerrieri | 70c | 171.41$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.42 | 2,058 | 59.5%1,225 W · 833 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x891d…b19fbacked Gabriele Piraino | 14c | 154.77$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.26 | 218 | 38.1%83 W · 135 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddc…e874backed Gabriele Piraino | 20c | 147.86$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.56 | 322 | 40.7%131 W · 191 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Gabriele Piraino | 29c | 145.54$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.06 | 921 | 38.4%354 W · 567 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddf5…aaa3backed Andrea Guerrieri | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 692 | 53.3%369 W · 323 L | -10.4wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05c5…8181backed Andrea Guerrieri | 70c | 143.56$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.56 | 830 | 56.1%466 W · 364 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ade…ed94backed Andrea Guerrieri | 69c | 142.86$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.29 | 1,458 | 54%787 W · 671 L | -33.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +64.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d91…6816backed Gabriele Piraino | 12c | 127.83$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.79 | 67 | 40.3%27 W · 40 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Gabriele Piraino | 29c | 121.96$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.37 | 1,883 | 44.8%843 W · 1,040 L | +36.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55af…8407backed Andrea Guerrieri | 67c | 120.9$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.9 | 97 | 43.3%42 W · 55 L | -7.1wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Gabriele Piraino | 14c | 115.43$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.48 | 2,089 | 52.2%1,090 W · 999 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Gabriele Piraino | 16c | 107.61$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.64 | 2,065 | 35.2%727 W · 1,338 L | -52.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe25c…ae63backed Andrea Guerrieri | 68c | 99.99$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 527 | 50.3%265 W · 262 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d18…6f62backed Andrea Guerrieri | 69c | 99.95$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.98 | 560 | 62.5%350 W · 210 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Gabriele Piraino | 31c | 95.38$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.74 | 168 | 44.6%75 W · 93 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1400…765dbacked Gabriele Piraino | 16c | 93.71$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.72 | 327 | 32.1%105 W · 222 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Gabriele Piraino | 30c | 82.63$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.58 | 3,711 | 45.3%1,680 W · 2,031 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x071f…92bdbacked Andrea Guerrieri | 65c | 77.31$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.06 | 1,085 | 73.7%800 W · 285 L | +40.8wins | +0.04per pick | 70cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae45…96b9backed Andrea Guerrieri | 68c | 53.48$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.11 | 790 | 62.2%491 W · 299 L | +25.7wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7454…57f2backed Andrea Guerrieri | 71c | 50.7$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 209 | 49.8%104 W · 105 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27b1…3813backed Gabriele Piraino | 29c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 1,168 | 49.1%573 W · 595 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe99…506bbacked Andrea Guerrieri | 63c | 47.62$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.62 | 678 | 52.1%353 W · 325 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2827…64f6backed Gabriele Piraino | 31c | 44$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.64 | 175 | 54.9%96 W · 79 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d75…26fbbacked Andrea Guerrieri | 71c | 42.25$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 163 | 58.9%96 W · 67 L | -10.2wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf676…9a00backed Andrea Guerrieri | 71c | 42.25$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 201 | 58.7%118 W · 83 L | -12.8wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ded…68a3backed Andrea Guerrieri | 71c | 42.25$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 885 | 60.2%533 W · 352 L | -13.6wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9888…e6febacked Andrea Guerrieri | 79c | 40.41$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.49 | 2,447 | 45.9%1,123 W · 1,324 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Andrea Guerrieri | 70c | 28.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.67 | 1,174 | 51.9%609 W · 565 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b59…2044backed Andrea Guerrieri | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 76 | 68.4%52 W · 24 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe10f…e8bbbacked Andrea Guerrieri | 79c | 18.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.99 | 185 | 72.4%134 W · 51 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 71cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbafb…3031backed Andrea Guerrieri | 80c | 15.14$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.03 | 336 | 73.2%246 W · 90 L | -15.2wins | -0.05per pick | 78cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x81a2…a062backed Andrea Guerrieri | 68c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 74cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ad…7889backed Andrea Guerrieri | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 560 | 70.7%396 W · 164 L | -14.5wins | -0.03per pick | 73cpaid | -4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.